There's a reasonable chance...

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  • Charlie
    On the Rookie List
    • Jan 2003
    • 4101

    There's a reasonable chance...

    ... that at the end of next week, we could be in 2nd spot. If:
    - We beat Carlton
    - Port Adelaide beat West Coast (AAMI Stadium)
    - Essendon beat Brisbane (Docklands)
    - Fremantle beat Adelaide (Subiaco)

    We go into 2nd spot. There's also a much more unlikely scenario where we hit top. If we win by a huge margin (say 100 points, 150 to 50) and Port win by a very narrow margin (say 5 points, 120 to 115, but it has to be high scoring) we would go ahead of them very slightly on percentage.

    We'll see what happens, but 2nd spot is reasonably possible (only the Ess/Bris result wouldn't be considered likely to occur) and top isn't completely out of the question.
    We hate Anthony Rocca
    We hate Shannon Grant too
    We hate scumbag Gaspar
    But Leo WE LOVE YOU!
  • Big Country
    On the Rookie List
    • Jul 2003
    • 17

    #2
    Nice thought but come on, lets focus on winning the game next first, before focusing on other results

    Comment

    • Nico
      Veterans List
      • Jan 2003
      • 11339

      #3
      Every win is important now, and unfortunately there are no easy games. Had a look at our remaining gs and it is no easy run home. We must win 4 out of seven games.

      Carlton away - expect a win.
      Fremantle at home - tough one
      Adelaide way - real tough
      Hawthorn at home - tough, they are playing well
      Brisbane away - whew
      Collingwood at home - another toughy
      Melbourne away - tough, they are playing inspiring footy.

      2nd next week will mean jack if we can't win 4 out of 7 to stay in the top bracket.

      By the way, Collingwood are the movers, and they have the easiest run home with us being their toughest assignment.

      One week at a time folks, is the only way to approach it now.
      http://www.nostalgiamusic.co.uk/secu...res/srh806.jpg

      Comment

      • barry
        Veterans List
        • Jan 2003
        • 8499

        #4
        Originally posted by Nico
        Every win is important now, and unfortunately there are no easy games. Had a look at our remaining gs and it is no easy run home. We must win 4 out of seven games.

        Carlton away - expect a win.
        Fremantle at home - tough one
        Adelaide way - real tough
        Hawthorn at home - tough, they are playing well
        Brisbane away - whew
        Collingwood at home - another toughy
        Melbourne away - tough, they are playing inspiring footy.

        2nd next week will mean jack if we can't win 4 out of 7 to stay in the top bracket.

        By the way, Collingwood are the movers, and they have the easiest run home with us being their toughest assignment.

        One week at a time folks, is the only way to approach it now.
        I think you are being a little harsh. I see it as:
        Carlton away - easy win.
        Freo at home - Freo will be just happy to finish 7th or 8th. We should win comfotably.
        Adelaide away - tough
        Hawthorn home - Hawks could be out of contention by this stage, if they arent already. If so, an easy win here.
        Brisbane away - tough
        Collingwood home - In good form at the moment, but this game is six weeks away. We have a great record against them. We'd expect to win.
        Melbourne away - D's thinking of the end of season trip. Easy win.

        Being the final rounds will actually play into our hands I think, because at least 2 of those sides will have closed up shop for the season. Still hard to win the 2 big away trips, but all others we will start favourites.

        Comment

        • Cheer Cheer
          On the Rookie List
          • Jan 2003
          • 934

          #5
          I was thinking along the same lines as charlie today.
          This upcoming round is a real chance to move up the ladder and hopefully cement a top4 position for good.
          Huge round.
          No.1 ticket holder of Nick Davis Fan Club...

          Comment

          • j s
            Think positive!
            • Jan 2003
            • 3303

            #6
            Re: There's a reasonable chance...

            Originally posted by Charlie

            There's also a much more unlikely scenario where we hit top. If we win by a huge margin (say 100 points, 150 to 50) and Port win by a very narrow margin (say 5 points, 120 to 115, but it has to be high scoring) we would go ahead of them very slightly on percentage.
            There seems to be a slight flaw in your logic Charlie. Port (44) is 4 points ahead of Sydney (40). How can we possibly go ahead of them if they win?

            Comment

            • penga
              Senior Player
              • Jan 2003
              • 2601

              #7
              Originally posted by barry
              because at least 2 of those sides will have closed up shop for the season
              this is where these sides get under the guard of the finals contenders
              C'mon Chels!

              Comment

              • Charlie
                On the Rookie List
                • Jan 2003
                • 4101

                #8
                Re: Re: There's a reasonable chance...

                Originally posted by j s
                There seems to be a slight flaw in your logic Charlie. Port (44) is 4 points ahead of Sydney (40). How can we possibly go ahead of them if they win?
                Umm... yeah. Come to think of it... that one involves them losing the week after at the Gabba. Forgot to include that bit. Sorry.
                We hate Anthony Rocca
                We hate Shannon Grant too
                We hate scumbag Gaspar
                But Leo WE LOVE YOU!

                Comment

                • j s
                  Think positive!
                  • Jan 2003
                  • 3303

                  #9
                  There is certainly scope for a lot of movement amongst the top 8 teams as they play each other quite a lot.

                  The Crows have the worst draw playing top 8 sides in 6 of the last 7 games.

                  Sydney, Brisbane and Freo have 4 games.

                  Port, WC, Piies and North have 3 games.

                  We should view our 4 games against top 8 sides not as an obstacle but as an opportunity to climb the ladder. Of course we must also not let the other 3 games slip away. We must use those games to build percentage.

                  Comment

                  • nicko18
                    Warming the Bench
                    • Mar 2003
                    • 213

                    #10
                    Finals Draw

                    i havent been quite able to work out where we need to finish to be guaranteed a home final. lets say the ladder was like this.. what would be the venue allocation?

                    Port
                    Weagles
                    Lions
                    Crows
                    Sydney
                    Fremantle
                    Collingwood
                    Kangaroos

                    i assume the freo v pies game would be in melbourne

                    also:

                    Port
                    Eagles
                    Collingwood
                    Kangaroos
                    Lions
                    Sydney
                    Crows
                    Freo

                    which game of these would be played in melbourne? are the top 2 automatically exempt from a game in melbourne, and would they go for a match involving 2 interstate sides?

                    Comment

                    • midaro
                      On the Rookie List
                      • Jan 2003
                      • 1042

                      #11
                      Re: Finals Draw

                      Originally posted by nicko18

                      Port
                      Eagles
                      Collingwood
                      Kangaroos
                      Lions
                      Sydney
                      Crows
                      Freo

                      which game of these would be played in melbourne? are the top 2 automatically exempt from a game in melbourne, and would they go for a match involving 2 interstate sides?
                      I've asked the same thing numerous times in different places and never recieved a reply. Does the mandatory game at the MCG have to include a Victorian team?

                      Comment

                      • barry
                        Veterans List
                        • Jan 2003
                        • 8499

                        #12
                        Re: Re: Finals Draw

                        Originally posted by midaro
                        I've asked the same thing numerous times in different places and never recieved a reply. Does the mandatory game at the MCG have to include a Victorian team?
                        Its whatever the AFL decide to do. Realistically, if they had an ounce of integrity, they would take the lowest ranked home finalists if there are no automatic vic home finals, but you never know.

                        But dont worry about Sydney. If we earn a final, we'll get it. We are a "special case".

                        Comment

                        • nicko18
                          Warming the Bench
                          • Mar 2003
                          • 213

                          #13
                          Re: Re: Re: Finals Draw

                          Originally posted by barry
                          Its whatever the AFL decide to do. Realistically, if they had an ounce of integrity, they would take the lowest ranked home finalists if there are no automatic vic home finals, but you never know.

                          But dont worry about Sydney. If we earn a final, we'll get it. We are a "special case".
                          nah, imagine the whinging if we finish 6th and get a home final over 5th!!

                          Comment

                          • Charlie
                            On the Rookie List
                            • Jan 2003
                            • 4101

                            #14
                            Barry - I know you have been holding onto this belief... but IT WON'T HAPPEN!!! They'd never get away with it.
                            We hate Anthony Rocca
                            We hate Shannon Grant too
                            We hate scumbag Gaspar
                            But Leo WE LOVE YOU!

                            Comment

                            • barry
                              Veterans List
                              • Jan 2003
                              • 8499

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Charlie
                              Barry - I know you have been holding onto this belief... but IT WON'T HAPPEN!!! They'd never get away with it.
                              I know you dont agree with me, but I think it will. Time will tell.

                              Comment

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