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I thought I'd put up some stats on our quarter by quarter performance for the year.
For all 16 games:
1st qtr - won 10, ave mgn 4 pts
2nd qtr - won 10, ave mgn 4 pts
3rd qtr - won 6, ave mgn (1) pts
4th qtr - won 11, ave mgn 9 pts
Overall - won 37/64, ave mgn 16 pts
For 11 games won:
1st qtr - won 7, ave mgn 9 pts
2nd qtr - won 10, ave mgn 12 pts
3rd qtr - won 5, ave mgn 3 pts
4th qtr - won 8, ave mgn 14 pts
Overall - won 30/44, ave mgn 38 pts
For 5 games lost:
1st qtr - won 3, ave mgn (6) pts
2nd qtr - won 0, ave mgn (12) pts
3rd qtr - won 1, ave mgn (11) pts
4th qtr - won 3, ave mgn (4) pts
Overall - won 7/16, ave mgn (32) pts
Average scores per qtr
For all 16 games:
Swans 3.3, 4.3, 3.2, 5.2
Opponents 3.2, 3.3, 3.3, 3.3
For 11 games won:
Swans 3.3, 5.3, 4.2, 5.4
Opponents 2.2, 3.3, 3.3, 3.2
For 5 games lost:
Swans 3.3, 1.3, 2.2, 3.3
Opponents 4.2, 4.2, 3.5, 3.3
Note: the scores do not exactly give the same winning margins due to rounding to nearest whole number
I think, in general terms, this shows that we are quite vulnerable during the middle of the game. The second qtr seems to be our make or break qtr. Our third qtrs are generally weak. Our final qtrs are pretty solid.
The only time we've lost a 2nd qtr and then won the game was against Essendon.
Carlton (first round) is the only time we've won all 4 qtrs.
When winning, we've won 3 qtrs six times and 2 qtrs four times.
When losing, we've won 2 qtrs twice and 1 qtr 3 times.
On average the final score for all games is:
15.9 v. 12.11
On average the final score when we win is:
17.11 v. 11.10
On average the final score when we lose is:
9.11 v. 14.12
What seems to fall apart for us when we lose is our ability to score goals in the middle of the game, most particularly the second quarter. I note that this seemed to be something that happened during the pre-season also.
When we do manage to do well in the second qtr, we generally go on and win, even with the third qtr slump.
Further to this, when we are in front at half time, we have won every time. When we are behind, we generally lose. The two exceptions to this were Essendon (down 1 pt) and W. Bulldogs (down 8pts). The Essendon game was rather unusual as it was the only game where we've won but failed to win the 2nd qtr.
We've also won every game where we've been in front at 3 qtr time and lost every game where we've been behind at 3 qtr time, except Melbourne.
Oh well, that will do for now. I'm sure there are other things that can be drawn out of the data.
For all 16 games:
1st qtr - won 10, ave mgn 4 pts
2nd qtr - won 10, ave mgn 4 pts
3rd qtr - won 6, ave mgn (1) pts
4th qtr - won 11, ave mgn 9 pts
Overall - won 37/64, ave mgn 16 pts
For 11 games won:
1st qtr - won 7, ave mgn 9 pts
2nd qtr - won 10, ave mgn 12 pts
3rd qtr - won 5, ave mgn 3 pts
4th qtr - won 8, ave mgn 14 pts
Overall - won 30/44, ave mgn 38 pts
For 5 games lost:
1st qtr - won 3, ave mgn (6) pts
2nd qtr - won 0, ave mgn (12) pts
3rd qtr - won 1, ave mgn (11) pts
4th qtr - won 3, ave mgn (4) pts
Overall - won 7/16, ave mgn (32) pts
Average scores per qtr
For all 16 games:
Swans 3.3, 4.3, 3.2, 5.2
Opponents 3.2, 3.3, 3.3, 3.3
For 11 games won:
Swans 3.3, 5.3, 4.2, 5.4
Opponents 2.2, 3.3, 3.3, 3.2
For 5 games lost:
Swans 3.3, 1.3, 2.2, 3.3
Opponents 4.2, 4.2, 3.5, 3.3
Note: the scores do not exactly give the same winning margins due to rounding to nearest whole number
I think, in general terms, this shows that we are quite vulnerable during the middle of the game. The second qtr seems to be our make or break qtr. Our third qtrs are generally weak. Our final qtrs are pretty solid.
The only time we've lost a 2nd qtr and then won the game was against Essendon.
Carlton (first round) is the only time we've won all 4 qtrs.
When winning, we've won 3 qtrs six times and 2 qtrs four times.
When losing, we've won 2 qtrs twice and 1 qtr 3 times.
On average the final score for all games is:
15.9 v. 12.11
On average the final score when we win is:
17.11 v. 11.10
On average the final score when we lose is:
9.11 v. 14.12
What seems to fall apart for us when we lose is our ability to score goals in the middle of the game, most particularly the second quarter. I note that this seemed to be something that happened during the pre-season also.
When we do manage to do well in the second qtr, we generally go on and win, even with the third qtr slump.
Further to this, when we are in front at half time, we have won every time. When we are behind, we generally lose. The two exceptions to this were Essendon (down 1 pt) and W. Bulldogs (down 8pts). The Essendon game was rather unusual as it was the only game where we've won but failed to win the 2nd qtr.
We've also won every game where we've been in front at 3 qtr time and lost every game where we've been behind at 3 qtr time, except Melbourne.
Oh well, that will do for now. I'm sure there are other things that can be drawn out of the data.
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