Team vs Collingwood

[Mike_B]

Unfortunately we don't have the depth to cover a bunch of injuries while blooding youngsters and not exposing them to potential poundings as per Brisbane this year with the likes of Pratt, Corrie and Macdonald.

Let's just be thankful that we have the bye this week and not next otherwise we could have really struggled to name a side.

[sharpie]

Swans Welcome Timely Bye

http://afl.com.au/default.asp?pg=news&spg=display&articleid=155153

New article on AFL site

It says that the possible changes are

IN: O'Loughlin, Ball, Doyle, Barry
OUT: Buchanan, Fosdike

Willo and Crouch expected to be ok.

Team may look a little like:

B: Crouch, Bolton, Bevan
HB: Barry, Goodes, Kennelly
C: Maxfield, Williams, Mathews
HF: O'Keefe, Hall, McVeigh
F: Davis, O'Loughlin, Nicks
FOLL: Ball, Kirk, Bolton
I/C: Ablett, James, LRT, Doyle

[Tooth Fairy]

Originally posted by Go Swannies
...and there is still talk that we should not have let Nicky D play.

Oh gawd really? was he that bad again? good team lifting inspiration, or dowdy injury prone lethargicism from saint nick?

edit: **** that sounds too anti nick, i will imply that it may not be his fault he's playing injured.

[Thunder Shaker]

Jared Crouch: he'll play, he's only got concussion. He'd rather play with a wooden leg than miss a game.

Our prospects: We will not finish fifth. Even with a full list fifth would be difficult. Seventh to ninth is more likely. Have you seen the Swans' draw? We got Collingwood, Carlton and Adelaide, which should give us two or three wins, but after that it's top-nine sides for six weeks in a row: Geelong, Fremantle, Brisbane, Kangaroos, Melbourne, Essendon. Round 22 we have Richmond. Even with a full list, that is a daunting draw.

With a draw like that, and all our injuries, we would be doing well to win six more games to sneak into eighth.

[penga]

Originally posted by Thunder Shaker
Seventh to ninth is more likely. Have you seen the Swans' draw? Geelong, Fremantle, Brisbane, Kangaroos, Melbourne, Essendon.

i disagree, we should have the bulk of our list back by the collingwood game and the beauty of those six weeks is that they will all be 8 point games. we couldve had 5th spot if we had won last week

if results of other games fall our way and we win against the pies, blues, crows, tigers and kangaroos - we SHOULD win those games - and then snag 2 of 3 from dockers, lions and bombers - all home games - and then snag 1 from the dees or cats - both away games, thats 8 from 10 TOO EASY

edit: thats a 14-8 record, same record as last year...

our seasons (or is that seasones ) normally have a purple patch and then a poor patch and then a good patch, i reckon we arent far off from a purple patch

[floppinab]

With both Fozzy and Buccy out, Fixter will get another run in the 2's this weekend, he would have to be a shoe in to come back in for Collingwood you would think.

[NMWBloods]

Originally posted by Thunder Shaker
Our prospects: We will not finish fifth. Even with a full list fifth would be difficult. Seventh to ninth is more likely. Have you seen the Swans' draw? We got Collingwood, Carlton and Adelaide, which should give us two or three wins, but after that it's top-nine sides for six weeks in a row: Geelong, Fremantle, Brisbane, Kangaroos, Melbourne, Essendon. Round 22 we have Richmond. Even with a full list, that is a daunting draw.

With a draw like that, and all our injuries, we would be doing well to win six more games to sneak into eighth.

I tend to agree.

I have the final ladder after the H&A rounds like this:

Bris Lions	18	4
St Kilda	17	5
Melbourne	15	7
Essendon	15	7
Geelong		14	8
Port Adelaide	13	9
Sydney		13	9
Fremantle	12	10

Kangaroos	10	12
West Coast	10	12
Collingwood	9	13
Adelaide	8	14
W Bulldogs	6	16
Carlton		6	16
Hawthorn	5	17
Richmond	5	17

[penga]

is there a ladder predictor site or anything like that?

[NMWBloods]

http://www.allthestats.com/stats/ladderpredict.asp

[penga]

well according to my predictions:

1 Bris Lions 	18 4 
2 Melbourne 	16 6 
3 St K 		15 7
4 Port	 	15 7 
5 Sydney 	14 8 
6 Geelong 	14 8 
7 Fremantle 	12 10 
8 Essendon 	12 10 


9 Adelaide 	9 13 
10 West Coast 	9 13 
11 Collingwood 	9 13 
12 Carlton 	9 13 
13 Kangaroos  	8 14 
14 W Bulldogs 	8 14 
15 Hawthorn 	4 18
16 Richmond 	4 18

[penga]

with a slight change in your % NMW, we could knock port out of the finals first week again at home this time

[penga]

from my ladder, finals would be:

Bris v Port (GABBA) - Bris
Melb v St K (MCG) - Melb
Syd v Ess (SA) - Syd
Geel v Freo (TD) - Geel

PA v Geel (FP) - Geel
St K v Syd (MCG) - Syd

Bris v Geel (GABBA) - Bris
Melb v Syd (MCG) - Syd

Bris v Syd (MCG) - Bris

[hammo]

I admire your optimism Penga

[penga]

Originally posted by hammo
I admire your optimism Penga

i realise it is optimistic, but i reckon it isnt out of the realms of all possibilities...

[sharp9]

Anyway, back to the teams for next week

Last week's team was

Backs: J. Crouch C. Bolton P. Bevan
Half Backs: L. Ablett A. Goodes T. Kennelly
Centre: S. Maxfield P. Williams B. Mathews
Half Forwards: R. O'Keefe B. Hall J. McVeigh
Forwards: A. Buchanan M. Powell M. Nicks
Followers: J. Bolton, B. Kirk, L. Roberts-Thomson
Interchange: N. Fosdike, H. James, N. Davis, J. Meiklejohn
Emergency: S. Dempster, J. Thewlis

Since then...out Fosdike, Buchanan

In Barry, O'loughlin, Ball, Doyle.

So next week's team should be..

Backs: J. Crouch C. Bolton P. Bevan
Half Backs: L. Barry A. Goodes T. Kennelly
Centre: S. Maxfield P. Williams B. Mathews
Half Forwards: R. O'Keefe B. Hall J. McVeigh
Forwards: N. Davis M O'Loughlin M. Nicks
Followers: J. Ball, J. Bolton, B. Kirk,
Interchange: L. Ablett , H. James, M. Powell, S. Doyle
Emergency: B. Fixter, J. Thewlis, L. Roberts-Thomson

In other words the 2 ruckmen are replaced (straight swap)

The roughy is whether (for team balance) we need another midfielder/small forward, in which case Fixter, Thewlis or McGlone would come in for Powell or James.