So, the win last night gives us a very high probability of making the finals. If we beat the Kangaroos next week - it's virtually certain.
However, odds are that we are not going to finish any higher than 7th or 8th. Which will almost certainly means that we will play Fremantle or Geelong (maybe Essendon) at the MCG in the first week of the finals.
Here's the AFL ladder predictor: http://afl.com.au/default.asp?pg=afl...ticleid=163389
You know that MCG obligation we all hate? - well, it may save us from playing Freo at Subiaco! At the very least it won't cost us anything.
The other thing that strikes me, is that our injury worries CAN still evaporate before the finals, (no, I won't touch wood - I'm not superstitious).
Here's what I mean:
Davis - Has had 2 weeks in the reserves. He should play this week.
Williams - Seems to be a week-to-week proposition.
Schneider - The only source I've heard about him, says it's just a tweak. Maybe 1 more week, (plus 2 weeks in the reserves I hope). Prossibly back for Richmond.
Fixter - I believe he'll play reserves next week. He probably needs to show something special to get back in the team this year.
Which, still leaves us with the possibility of fielding the best team we have all year - in Round 22/Finals Week 1.
This team CAN beat anyone:
B.....Crouch....Schauble....C Bolton
HB....Barry.....Goodes......Nicks
C.....Kennelly..Williams....Mathews
HF....O'Keefe...Hall........Maxfield
F.....Davis.....O.Loughlin..Schneider
Ruck..Ball......Kirk........J Bolton
I/C...Bevan.....Doyle.......Fosdike....Buchanan
Emg...Ablett....Fixter......James......LRT
So, for those of you presupposed to optimism there is plenty of hope.
For the more realistic of us, there is at least the likelihood of a 50/50 elimination final in Round 1 of the finals.
However, odds are that we are not going to finish any higher than 7th or 8th. Which will almost certainly means that we will play Fremantle or Geelong (maybe Essendon) at the MCG in the first week of the finals.
Here's the AFL ladder predictor: http://afl.com.au/default.asp?pg=afl...ticleid=163389
You know that MCG obligation we all hate? - well, it may save us from playing Freo at Subiaco! At the very least it won't cost us anything.
The other thing that strikes me, is that our injury worries CAN still evaporate before the finals, (no, I won't touch wood - I'm not superstitious).
Here's what I mean:
Davis - Has had 2 weeks in the reserves. He should play this week.
Williams - Seems to be a week-to-week proposition.
Schneider - The only source I've heard about him, says it's just a tweak. Maybe 1 more week, (plus 2 weeks in the reserves I hope). Prossibly back for Richmond.
Fixter - I believe he'll play reserves next week. He probably needs to show something special to get back in the team this year.
Which, still leaves us with the possibility of fielding the best team we have all year - in Round 22/Finals Week 1.
This team CAN beat anyone:
B.....Crouch....Schauble....C Bolton
HB....Barry.....Goodes......Nicks
C.....Kennelly..Williams....Mathews
HF....O'Keefe...Hall........Maxfield
F.....Davis.....O.Loughlin..Schneider
Ruck..Ball......Kirk........J Bolton
I/C...Bevan.....Doyle.......Fosdike....Buchanan
Emg...Ablett....Fixter......James......LRT
So, for those of you presupposed to optimism there is plenty of hope.
For the more realistic of us, there is at least the likelihood of a 50/50 elimination final in Round 1 of the finals.

avis Hall O'Keefe
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