Sharp9's Sharp Analysis

[sharp9]

As promised I have completed a comprehensive analysis of the errors made on Saturday night.
My mark for "errors" is a little harsher than most stats....ie not making a proper effort to "try" and get rid of the ball after a tackle (without prior opportunity) is an error...even if no other player in the whole competition has ever been pinged like that (Buchanan).

Similarly fumbling followed by a high tackle on the bloke who grabs the ball is an error (Kennelly).


Dropping a two handed mark (even though it was contested) is an error (Vogels et al)

In my analysis of EVERY Swans error in the game I have also noted if the error resulted in a turnover (this includes kicking a behind, btw) and if the error resulted in a goal.

11 of St.Kilda's 15 goals came from, or would not have resulted without, straight-forward Swans errors.

I also noted how many of the errors were deliveries into the 50 that were astray....12 (Buchanan 2 for all you Buchanan haters).

I have noted possessions and errors and the resulting percentage (remembering that some errors did not have a possession attached such as missed marks, stupid frees and missed Hand - Passes).

Even a quick glance will show who is by far the best and worst players in the team at the moment. Everything else in the middle needs some interpretation. For examples Vogels has a 66% error rate...but then 3 possessions and 2 errors is not really enough to make a complete decision is it?.

My full text notes the nature of every player's every error.

Kirk had a shocking 6 kicks and 12 (yes 12) handballs. but wait there's worse. He ALSO had 4 MISSED handballs (two botched kicks too, but I have a feeling that they are counted as possessions).

In other words he only tried to kick on 1 out of each four times he got the ball. Mmmmm.

Enjoy

[Ryan Bomford]

Hey Sharp,

Do you run a consultancy? I could use this kind of analysis on my staff ATM.

[NMWBloods]

Nothing specifically wrong with a ratio of 6 kicks : 12 handballs. As an inside player that happens, particularly when you have a crowded game plan.

Your zip file seems to be empty.

[ugg]

rename it with an extension of .zip

[ScottH]

Originally posted by NMWBloods
Your zip file seems to be empty.

Worked OK for me Bloods.

[sharp9]

Right Click and download if it won't open in the browser.

Barry Hall is a Superstar, BTW... in case anyone was unsure.

His "hit" ration for balls inside fifty to a leading player would be close to 100% for the year. Makes everyone else look second rate. Not to mention how good his hands are picking up from the ground.

Dissapointed with someone of his efforts when the delivery was ****e on Sat, though. I reckon he could have made some of those errors look better than they were. Oh, well.

[giant]

Thanks for helping me to relive every horrific moment of Saturday night.

I'm just off to get some counselling - I may be some time....

[Nico]

Good stuff but you missed Saddo's kick to 3 on one contest from HBF to just on centre in last Q.

Also Ablett's 30 metre backwards and sideways kick to LRT that LRT had nowhere to go with. Not an error as such but no reason to do it. Put LRT under pressure, then tried to get himself out by going for a handpass from LRT under super pressure - goal on turnover. Symptomatic of the dumb things we do through negative tactics and direction.

The number of times we go backwards in our back half and even from the wing is quite frightening. It seems predicated on the Paganism of no U turns. Spot someone up who has a better view of what is downfield.

The folly of this is it slows everything up and allows players to be picked up, telegraphs the intentions of leading forwards, allows players to drop into the "hole", and fosters flooding. Playing back and holding onto the footy destroys positive play.

While it was new it worked. A tactic destined for the footy graveyard to be only used by the Sydney Swans.

[NMWBloods]

Stupid work computer - finally managed to open it.

Very good work.

[sharp9]

Originally posted by Nico
Good stuff but you missed Saddo's kick to 3 on one contest from HBF to just on centre in last Q.

Also Ablett's 30 metre backwards and sideways kick to LRT that LRT had nowhere to go with. Not an error as such but no reason to do it.

Well spotted,Nico. I had credited that error to Crouch (because it was almost identical to what Crouch did earlier in the game).

So Crouch is back to 40% error rate (6/15) and Ablett up to 41.67% (5/12).

Saddo catupults down the standings to 40% as well (2/5)

Isn't this fun? We don't have one single reliable kicker in the team other than our full forward.

Craig Bolton, Leo Barry and Ryan O'Keefe were a disgrace. I have no idea what to do because at their best they are very, very good. Craig Bolton has played an entire match for six possessions that hit a target. It's not good enough!!!! Maybe he should be dropped. Did he read too much of his press from 2003? He was average all of last year and has been below average all of this year. What's the point? What is wrong with the set-up that he is playing so consistently shy of what he is capable of?

8 useful possessions for O'Keefe. He just doesn't seem to VALUE the ball when he gets it. He seems to fritter it away like he'll have another 10 opportunities soon. Nup!

As a related issue I believe that Sharp9's analysis should immediately be implemented by the coaching staff.

Notably Jarred Moore who CAN hit a target from a congested situation MUST be played henceforth. If any of Malceski, Willoughby and Schmidt can kick the ****ing thing accurately they should be picked ahead of Bevan, Mathews, Schneider, McVeigh, and Buchanan (in that order).

Dempster MUST come back in as well. LRT is out untill he can dispose of the ball and time his spoils better.

[Mike_B]

Originally posted by Nico
The number of times we go backwards in our back half and even from the wing is quite frightening. It seems predicated on the Paganism of no U turns.

Except that Mathews signature move is the U turn...

[Nico]

Originally posted by NMWBloods
Stupid work computer - finally managed to open it.

Very good work.

You must be a politician NMW. Paid plenty but does little work, unless of course you bark the orders.

[Nico]

Sharp9,

On Craig Bolton. He seems to always have a negating role and plays very deep in defence as the sweeper. A lot of good spoiling work goes unnoticed, but he suffers when he runs from defence because no one is there to present. I have always thought he should be used as a tall midfielder because he is tough has clean hands, and knows how to make space.

On O'Keefe. He established himself as a smart HFF but is not used as such. He finds himself part of the flood which I believe is foreign to his game. His forte is getting the footy inside 50 and can be relied on to kick a good % of goals.

To me the great weakness in the coaching is the inabilty to use the assets on offer. Without doubt the players are not being used as per their strengths and we are being coached to the lowest common denominator, hence the working class tag.

It is like any business, if you don't get the strengths and weakness right the business will rarely run to it's optimum, ansd many cases fail.

In our case to turn it around the game plan must be moulded to our strengths and weaknesses rather than the interminable negating tactics.

Our strength is 3 very good forwards . Solution, get it to them close to goals, not on the wing.

Will it be that one of the most brilliant forwards of the last decade in MOL will be lost to history because of the tactics of his 2 coaches ie. flooding.

[NMWBloods]

Originally posted by Nico
You must be a politician NMW. Paid plenty but does little work, unless of course you bark the orders.

It's all about time management. No need to actually work for the entire time I am at work, and still get more done than anyone else.

[barry]

Having an hour to kill today, I thought I'd watch the 1st half again what I taped off tv (didnt bother taping the 2nd half).
Knowing the result already made it easier to watch.

We werent that bad. Endevour was up there. The score line difference at 1/2 time was attributed to umpires (MOL non-mark in 1st quarter was a 12 point decision) and clangers by us.

Some interesting observations though:

Kirk: The worst cuplrit of handballing to a man under pressure. Every time he picks up the loose ball he handballs instantly to a voice without looking up. Often the voice is unsighted to the pressure he's under, and gets instantly tackled.

Matthews: It is beyond a joke that he is classified as leadership material. He plays favourites with his disposals perfering to kick to a contested buddy, than a young guy 30m clear. Roos should make a example of him and drop him immediately. Its not like he's a game winner. This them and us mentality is half our problem at the moment IMO.

Jolly/Ball: Poor ruckwork. Seemed to be no system. When they had a clear non-contested tap, they sent it straight to a pack of saints.

Swans: No matter how infuriating they are to watch "live", 2nd time around I kind of like them.