AFL Ladder Predictor

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  • Charlie
    On the Rookie List
    • Jan 2003
    • 4101

    AFL Ladder Predictor

    This is a shameless rip-off of an amateur website, but I'll post it only because the other one now requires (free) registration. Good old AFL website - always coming up with it's own ideas.

    Australian Football League. All the latest AFL news, AFL video, results, scores and information


    I came up with the following ladder at the end of round 22:
    West Coast
    Adelaide
    Sydney
    St Kilda
    Geelong
    Kangaroos
    Port Adelaide (!)
    Brisbane
    ---------------------
    Fremantle
    Bulldogs
    Melbourne
    Richmond
    Essendon
    Collingwood
    Hawthorn
    Carlton

    Finals:
    1 West Coast v 4 St Kilda (Subiaco)
    2 Adelaide v 3 Sydney (Football Park)
    5 Geelong v 8 Brisbane (MCG)
    6 Kangaroos v 7 Port Adelaide (MCG)

    Fremantle v St Kilda at Subi in round 21 is an absolutely massive game.
    We hate Anthony Rocca
    We hate Shannon Grant too
    We hate scumbag Gaspar
    But Leo WE LOVE YOU!
  • NMWBloods
    Taking Refuge!!
    • Jan 2003
    • 15819

    #2
    I came up with a similar top 8, but with Swans in 4th and StKilda in 3rd.

    It's also quite easy to get Richmond and the Bulldogs into 8th. Melbourne could also do it if they turn around in the next 4 weeks, which is difficult but not unheard of.
    Captain Logic is not steering this tugboat.

    "[T]here are things that matter more and he's reading and thinking about them: heaven, reincarnation. Life and death are the only things that are truly a matter of life and death. Not football."

    Comment

    • swans_premiers
      On the Rookie List
      • Feb 2003
      • 1101

      #3
      Re: AFL Ladder Predictor

      Originally posted by Charlie
      2 Adelaide v 3 Sydney (Football Park)
      Bring it on.... Look how vulnerable they've been at home this season against top 8 sides.

      AAMI Adelaide 7.11 (53) West Coast 9.10 (64)
      AAMI Adelaide 10.14 (74) Kangaroos 10.4 (64)
      AAMI Adelaide 8.15 (63) Bris Lions 11.6 (72)
      AAMI Adelaide 14.10 (94) Fremantle 14.4 (88)
      AAMI Adelaide 8.6 (54) Sydney 6.11 (47)
      Adam Goodes: Rising Star 99, Brownlow 2003, 2006
      Swans Premiers 1909, 1918,1933,2005, 2012

      Comment

      • james_law90

        #4
        i think the ladder after rnd 22 will be -

        West Coast
        Adelaide
        St Kilda
        Sydney
        Geelong
        Kangaroos
        Brisbane
        Bulldogs
        ---------------------
        Melbourne
        Port Adelaide
        Fremantle
        Richmond
        Essendon
        Collingwood
        Hawthorn
        Carlton

        Comment

        • cruiser
          What the frack!
          • Jul 2004
          • 6114

          #5
          Just had another go on the ladder predictor and even if Sydney drops one of its last four games, we'll finish 4th. Win all four and we'll also finish 4th as I cant see St Kilda losing any (plays Geelong, North, Freo (a) and Bris).

          I am convinced that playing WC first up and losing, winning a home final the following week, then playing an away prelim final against Adelaide or St Kilda is the best route to the GF.
          Occupational hazards:
          I don't eat animals since discovering this ability. I used to. But one day the lamb I was eating came through to me and ever since then I haven't been able to eat meat.
          - animal psychic Amanda de Warren

          Comment

          • giant
            Veterans List
            • Mar 2005
            • 4731

            #6
            Originally posted by cruiser
            Just had another go on the ladder predictor and even if Sydney drops one of its last four games, we'll finish 4th. Win all four and we'll also finish 4th as I cant see St Kilda losing any (plays Geelong, North, Freo (a) and Bris).

            I am convinced that playing WC first up and losing, winning a home final the following week, then playing an away prelim final against Adelaide or St Kilda is the best route to the GF.
            God help us if Saints go in to the finals on 9 game winning streak. I don't think that will happen - I reckon they'll lose at least one of North, Freo or Brissie.

            Comment

            • cruiser
              What the frack!
              • Jul 2004
              • 6114

              #7
              Originally posted by cruiser
              I am convinced that playing WC first up and losing, winning a home final the following week, then playing an away prelim final against Adelaide or St Kilda is the best route to the GF.
              Of course I should have added that beating West Coast in Perth would be even better.
              Occupational hazards:
              I don't eat animals since discovering this ability. I used to. But one day the lamb I was eating came through to me and ever since then I haven't been able to eat meat.
              - animal psychic Amanda de Warren

              Comment

              • barry
                Veterans List
                • Jan 2003
                • 8499

                #8
                Originally posted by cruiser


                I am convinced that playing WC first up and losing, winning a home final the following week, then playing an away prelim final against Adelaide or St Kilda is the best route to the GF.
                I used to be in that camp, and I agree it may be the best route to get to a GF, but to win one I think you want to avoid travelling twice: to a prelim then GF.

                Which means hosting the prelim, which means winning in week 1, which means going to Adelaide as 3rd place getter.

                Comment

                • BonBon
                  BMT2144
                  • Jul 2004
                  • 2190

                  #9
                  When I did my prediction, the top 4 were:

                  West Coast Eagles
                  Adelaide Crows
                  St. Kilda
                  Sydney Swans
                  Vicky Pollard: Oh my god I so can't believe you just said that this is like the time I threw Anita's nokia in the canal as a joke and she's like you have well got to buy me another one and I'm like get over it and then Paul came over who's adopted anyway and started saying that I fancy Mark Bennett but oh my god just because I have sex with someone doesn't mean I fancy them.

                  Comment

                  • cruiser
                    What the frack!
                    • Jul 2004
                    • 6114

                    #10
                    Originally posted by barry
                    I used to be in that camp, and I agree it may be the best route to get to a GF, but to win one I think you want to avoid travelling twice: to a prelim then GF.

                    Which means hosting the prelim, which means winning in week 1, which means going to Adelaide as 3rd place getter.
                    I agree however I dont think we'll take 3rd place off the Saints. They look like they'll win their remaining four games. Pity we dont play them at home in round 22- what a ripper game that would be!
                    Occupational hazards:
                    I don't eat animals since discovering this ability. I used to. But one day the lamb I was eating came through to me and ever since then I haven't been able to eat meat.
                    - animal psychic Amanda de Warren

                    Comment

                    • barry
                      Veterans List
                      • Jan 2003
                      • 8499

                      #11
                      Saints are hot and cold. I think they will probably drop one before the end of the year. So if we want 3rd, we have to win the rest. Not impossible. I think backing up this week is the hardest one of the lot.

                      Comment

                      • BonBon
                        BMT2144
                        • Jul 2004
                        • 2190

                        #12
                        StK vs Geelong at TD - could go either way but StK have more advantage due to it being played at TD.

                        Kangaroos vs StK at TD - could go either way again.

                        Fremantle vs StK at S - Freo will win because it's at Subiaco.

                        StK vs Brisbane at TD - depends how well Brisbane progress to that stage IMO.

                        I'm guessing that St Kilda will win 3 out of the last 4 games.

                        I hope we win our last 4 (all of them) and we can do so. But knowing us we will probably lose one. This is getting serious. *Covers eyes*
                        Vicky Pollard: Oh my god I so can't believe you just said that this is like the time I threw Anita's nokia in the canal as a joke and she's like you have well got to buy me another one and I'm like get over it and then Paul came over who's adopted anyway and started saying that I fancy Mark Bennett but oh my god just because I have sex with someone doesn't mean I fancy them.

                        Comment

                        • Charlie
                          On the Rookie List
                          • Jan 2003
                          • 4101

                          #13
                          Update as of tonight's results:

                          West Coast 72
                          Adelaide 64
                          Sydney 60
                          St Kilda 56
                          Geelong 52
                          Kangaroos 52
                          Bulldogs 48
                          Brisbane 44
                          ----------------------
                          Fremantle 44
                          Port Adelaide 42
                          Richmond 40
                          Essendon 40
                          Melbourne 36
                          Collingwood 24
                          Hawthorn 16
                          Carlton 14

                          The Dogs are on a roll - who would have thought they'd thrash West Coast? I've changed my mind on Port beating Adelaide, and Melbourne are in free fall - they won't win another game.
                          We hate Anthony Rocca
                          We hate Shannon Grant too
                          We hate scumbag Gaspar
                          But Leo WE LOVE YOU!

                          Comment

                          • Charlie
                            On the Rookie List
                            • Jan 2003
                            • 4101

                            #14
                            Pending today's games.

                            West Coast 76
                            Adelaide 64
                            Sydney 60
                            St Kilda 56
                            Kangaroos 52
                            Bulldogs 48
                            Geelong 48
                            Brisbane 44
                            ---------------------
                            Fremantle 44
                            Melbourne 44
                            Port Adelaide 42
                            Richmond 40
                            Essendon 36
                            Collingwood 20
                            Carlton 18
                            Hawthorn 16

                            I love the look of that bottom five. The Melbourne Mafia gets what has been coming to them for years.
                            We hate Anthony Rocca
                            We hate Shannon Grant too
                            We hate scumbag Gaspar
                            But Leo WE LOVE YOU!

                            Comment

                            • Sanecow
                              Suspended by the MRP
                              • Mar 2003
                              • 6917

                              #15
                              Which game do you have the Saints losing? Freo?

                              Comment

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