5 matchups that will decide the Grand Final

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  • ugg
    Can you feel it?
    Site Admin
    • Jan 2003
    • 15969

    5 matchups that will decide the Grand Final

    5 matchups that will decide the Grand Final

    One of the attractions of Australian rules football is the great individual battles that emerge within a team sport. Grand final matchups take that excitement to another level when the best performed players within the competition often end up playing on each other. All-Australians such as Judd & Goodes and Hall & Glass are expected to line up against each other in what will be terrific tussles, but here are 5 lesser profile matchups that are just as important to the outcome of the match:

    1) 32.Amon Buchanan v 37.Adam Selwood
    If Brett Kirk and Jude Bolton are the self-described Ford Cortinas of the Swans midfield, perhaps Buchanan is best described as a Mini Cooper. Small but solid, nippy and the ability to weave through heavy traffic but done so in a very stylish and eye-catching manner. Besides his ball-winning talents, Buchanan's delivery into the forward line is unerringly accurate and will be a major concern for the Eagles with the likes of Hall, O'Loughlin and O'Keefe usually on the end of those passes. Selwood performed extremely well in the qualifying final limiting Buchanan to just 14 touches while gathering 22 possessions himself. Selwood can manage to rack up many possessions in the game so Buchanan will also have to be on his toes to restrict the young Eagle's output.

    Buchanan's inside 50 delivery against Freo was top notch, and he finished with 17 possessions.
    Selwood blanketed Dogs captain Brad Johnson and ended up with 22 touches, while having 18 posesssions against Adelaide.

    2) 31.Brett Kirk v 4.Daniel Kerr
    During the week, Paul Roos described the midfield triumvirate of Judd, Cousins and Kerr as not only the best among the Eagles, but of the whole of the AFL. With such high regard for the damage the trio can inflict, there is big likelihood that the Swans best stopper will be assigned to one of them. Judd's pace would prove difficult for Kirk to handle, especially in the early stages of a game while Cousins's endurance and the fact he spends time at half-forward would make him an unlikely opponent. As such, Kirk will be thrusted with the onerous task of stopping Kerr, who has had a brilliant past 2 seasons highlighted by his high Brownlow finishes. The absence of Kerr in this year's qualifying final and the limited input he had in last year's GF due to an early injury went some way towards the Swans winning both matches.

    Kirk had a game high 28 touches, 8 marks and 6 tackles versus Freo.
    Kerr has average 27 posessions since his return to the team.

    3) 30.Lewis Roberts-Thomson v 29.Ashley Hansen
    This matchup resulted in a big 'win' for the Swans last year when Roberts-Thomson not only held Hansen very well, he provided great rebound from defence. According to some pundits, he deserved the Norm Smith Medal for his performance. However, the importance of Hansen to the Eagles's chances is not to be underestimated. In the 13 games Hansen has played this year, the Eagles have been unbeaten. Not a noted big goal-kicker, Hansen's strength lies in his willingness to lead up the ground and provide an option up towards the half-forward line and the wings. He gives the Eagles forward line a structure to work around with so that big marking forwards like Lynch and Hunter have the space and time to take their big grabs. The Swans's 'SOS' call to specialist coach Steven Silvagni this week hopefully will help Roberts-Thomson bounce back from a poor showing against Matthew Pavlich.

    LRT was well beaten by Pavlich early, ending up with 10 possessions and 3 tackles.
    Hansen had 2 big games since his return: 17 touches, 11 marks and a goal versus the Dogs and 21 touches, 11 marks and a goal against Adelaide.

    4) 24.Jude Bolton v 5.Tyson Stenglein
    Bolton is the undisputed clearance king of the Swans, averaging more than 5 per game during the 2006 season. The Eagles will be hoping to keep him below his season average and believe that "Stinga" is the man for the job. In the qualifying final, Stenglein held Bolton to a season low 8 possessions. Bolton needs to lift and break the hold of the Eagles no.1 tagger as the Swans will require him to fire in the many stoppages that are bound to occur on Saturday.

    Bolton was one of the Swans best against Fremantle notching 26 possessions and kicking 2 goals.
    Stenglein had 22 possessions in the preliminary final and 15 in the semi final.

    5) 6.Craig Bolton v 32.Andrew Embley
    Embley, standing at 190cm, is described as a 'tall wingman who pushes forward' and his flexibility poses matchup issues for many opposition coaches. In All-Australian Craig Bolton, standing 189cm tall, the Swans have the perfect matchup who can negate Embley in both his marking ability and mobility around the ground. Embley was sorely missed in the qualifying final when Bolton shut out his inexperienced replacement in Mark Le Cras and the Eagles struggled to find another avenue to goal. This clash of two in-form players should be a terrific battle and will be one to keep an eye on.

    Bolton is in tremendous form, restricting the dangerous Jeff Farmer to just 1 goal in the preliminary final, a week after earning a well-deserved All-Australian berth.
    Embley's form since returning in the semi-final against the Bulldogs has been terrific, picking up 29 possessions and 1 goal against the Dogs and 24 possessions and 2 goals against the Crows.


    3 of the 5 Eagles mentioned did not play in the qualifying final where the Swans managed to pip the Eagles by a solitary point. The inclusion of Hansen, Kerr and Embley add further class to what was already a terrific side. Their respective opponents will have to be 'switched on' if the Swans are to have any hope of toppling the Eagles in the big decider.
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  • Sanecow
    Suspended by the MRP
    • Mar 2003
    • 6917

    #2
    Couldn't disagree more about your list (well I could if you didn't mention Kerr). These are the only Eagles players I care about stopping, the rest are brand-X make-up-the-numbers footballers that we can match without too much pain.

    Judd
    Kerr
    Cousins
    - Tag them up in the usual fashion. A tough gig.

    Cox
    - Is Jolly awake enough to do the job?

    Hunter
    - Magic / B2 not a totally awful result.

    Lynch
    - LRT most likely, but maybe Jolly dropping back or or Richards playing in front of him.

    Comment

    • garethb83
      On the Rookie List
      • Sep 2005
      • 238

      #3
      I think we're leaving out the obvious one, Hall v Glass. I think if Hally owns Glass and kicks a few, it'll go a long way towards us winning.

      If this one goes the other way, will be a big effort for us to pull this one out!

      Comment

      • Layby
        Suspended by the MRP
        • May 2006
        • 1803

        #4
        Nope, Hall does much more than just kick goals.

        His marks up the ground will be equally important, especially with Mickey O on fire.

        Hall's goals are just a bonus, he scarifices goals to set up others

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        • ugg
          Can you feel it?
          Site Admin
          • Jan 2003
          • 15969

          #5
          I'm not saying that we shouldn't try to stop the likes of Judd, Cousins, Cox etc. I was trying to highlight the lesser profile matchups which I think could be important even if the big guns on either side are stopped.
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          • laughingnome
            Amateur Statsman
            • Jul 2006
            • 1624

            #6
            As with last year, it will probably come down to which club has the better "bottom 5" players as opposed to the top 5.
            10100111001 ;-)

            Comment

            • Sanecow
              Suspended by the MRP
              • Mar 2003
              • 6917

              #7
              Originally posted by laughingnome
              As with last year, it will probably come down to which club has the better "bottom 5" players as opposed to the top 5.
              If you try to name our bottom 5 (or 6, thanks Blight) we look alright.

              Comment

              • hammo
                Veterans List
                • Jul 2003
                • 5554

                #8
                What about the matchups for Goodes, ROK and Magic?

                West Coast have just as many headaches, if not more, than we do.
                "As everyone knows our style of football is defensive and unattractive, and as such I have completely forgotten how to mark or kick over the years" - Brett Kirk

                Comment

                • laughingnome
                  Amateur Statsman
                  • Jul 2006
                  • 1624

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Sanecow
                  If you try to name our bottom 5 (or 6, thanks Blight) we look alright.
                  Exactly what happened last year. West Coast had the best on ground, but also the worst. Team of champions etc etc.
                  10100111001 ;-)

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                  • BarneyG
                    On the Rookie List
                    • Apr 2004
                    • 161

                    #10
                    Originally posted by laughingnome
                    Exactly what happened last year. West Coast had the best on ground, but also the worst. Team of champions etc etc.
                    Totally agree, GF's are won by collective team efforts not by individual brillance.

                    Comment

                    • Claret
                      Support Staff
                      • Sep 2005
                      • 1104

                      #11
                      I have to agree with ugg in that LRT will go to Hansen. LRT struggles with the body-work style forward but uses his athleticism to good effect against a leading-style player, such as Hansen. We saw last week what happens when LRT is forced into a one-on-one test of strength. He'll be far more comfortable on Hansen.

                      I also think that Stenglein will go to O'Keefe. He's the only one with the engine and the size to go with him.
                      And the man who started it all, the Schneiderman . . . . .

                      Comment

                      • Sanecow
                        Suspended by the MRP
                        • Mar 2003
                        • 6917

                        #12
                        If LRT isn't on Lynch, who is? Barry? Richards?
                        Last edited by Sanecow; 29 September 2006, 03:02 PM.

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                        • ugg
                          Can you feel it?
                          Site Admin
                          • Jan 2003
                          • 15969

                          #13
                          The way I see it:

                          Barry-Lynch
                          LRT-Hansen
                          CBolton-Embley
                          Kennelly-Armstrong

                          Glass-Hall
                          Hunter-O'Louglin
                          B.Jones-O'Keefe
                          Wirrpanda-Schneider
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                          • Xie Shan
                            Senior Player
                            • Jan 2003
                            • 2929

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ugg
                            I'm not saying that we shouldn't try to stop the likes of Judd, Cousins, Cox etc. I was trying to highlight the lesser profile matchups which I think could be important even if the big guns on either side are stopped.
                            I like your thinking. Excellent summary - the interesting thing is that all of the Weagles mentioned are in form and have had good games since the QF, but this is offset by Buchy, Kirk and Jude, in particular, all being in good form last week. Slight question over LRT but Hansen, while a good player, is not of the calibre Pavlich is.

                            But who from the Eagles is going to stop Malceski and McVeigh? With the usual suspects from last year of Buchy, Kirk, Jude, NOG, Fossy all doing well in the midfield, the injection of these two into the team this season could be a big factor in determinining which midfield comes out on top. We know how well Eski can deliver the ball into the forward line, and McVeigh has been a dangerous goalsneak all year.

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