Where will we finish ?

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  • Wazza
    Regular in the Side
    • May 2004
    • 805

    #16
    my guess is Sydney could finish equal 8th with 4 - 5 other teams and whether we make the 8 will come down to %. I think we will win at least 6 more games?

    The Saints look like they will turn it around in the 2nd half, with nearly every game at home or MCG apart from the trip to Sydney, so they could make up ground quickly.

    I was trying to work out which team currently in the 8 could potentially fall away but there are so many games still to play - even if we win 6 more at least 3 of the teams currently above us will have to have really bad runs home.

    The game against Fremantle next week will do one of 2 things - set us up for a good run into 7th or 8th or set Fremantle up for a run to 8th.(I dont think Freo will make it into the 8 unless they beat us)



    Cheers

    Waz

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    • Zlatorog
      Senior Player
      • Jan 2006
      • 1748

      #17
      Originally posted by Bas
      Should bottom out and get decent draft picks. Trade McVeigh and Matthews and we should get some good players.
      Gee, who's going to pick them up?

      Comment

      • Hazcam
        On the Rookie List
        • Jun 2007
        • 324

        #18
        Originally posted by Wazza
        my guess is Sydney could finish equal 8th with 4 - 5 other teams and whether we make the 8 will come down to %. I think we will win at least 6 more games?

        The Saints look like they will turn it around in the 2nd half, with nearly every game at home or MCG apart from the trip to Sydney, so they could make up ground quickly.

        I was trying to work out which team currently in the 8 could potentially fall away but there are so many games still to play - even if we win 6 more at least 3 of the teams currently above us will have to have really bad runs home.

        The game against Fremantle next week will do one of 2 things - set us up for a good run into 7th or 8th or set Fremantle up for a run to 8th.(I dont think Freo will make it into the 8 unless they beat us)



        Cheers

        Waz
        yep
        freo will be pumped after they polaxed carlton
        this will see how good we are - looking at how we score against carlton who has the worst defence in the league.
        freo took 173 points off the blues which is what we get in 2-3 games.

        if we lose to freo then say goodbye to the season
        i think we'll finish 7th at best
        we wont beat west coast in perth
        we wont beat the pies at mcg
        our % will be the only thing that may help us come round 22

        Comment

        • schwattasboots
          On the Rookie List
          • Apr 2007
          • 91

          #19
          when is the heritage round

          i thought the hertiage round is this weekend
          t peace

          Comment

          • Hazcam
            On the Rookie List
            • Jun 2007
            • 324

            #20
            i think you need to look at the fct that since 2003 we have played in at least the 2nd week of the finals. you can't assume this will happen all the time. this year we went with the same philosphy of going with the older players (eg. getting spida) so we can milk out another premiership witht he list. If we had luck on our side we could well be going for 3 straight flags this year. thats a pretty amazing feat.

            im tipping a bottim 8 finish next year and a close call as to whether we make the finals or not this year. i've watched a fair few matches/highlights this year (thanks to foxtel) and there are alot of teams fairing better/look more promising than us: hawthorn, adelaide, west coast, collingwood, essendon, st kilda, north melbourne.

            we are in the 6-10th position as far as i see it.

            to compare how we've faired vs other major teams since 2000:

            '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06

            adelaide: 11th 8th p/f s/f 12th p/f p/f
            brisbane: s/f PREM PREM PREM g/f 11th 13th
            sydney:7th 7th 11th p/f s/f prem g/f
            essendon: PREM g/f s/f s/f s/f 13th 15th
            west coast: 13th 14th 8th 7th 7th g/f PREM
            collingwood: 15th 9th g/f g/f 13th 15th 5th
            port adelaide: 14th s/f p/f p/f PREM s/f 12th

            (hopefully the table came out rigth if not my apologies)

            basically out of the last 7 premiership sides and other consistent contenders, Sydney has made at least the 2nd week of the finals on 4/7 times.
            adelaide: 4 times
            brisbane: 5 times
            essendon: 4 times
            c'wood: 2 times
            port power: 5 times

            we've missed the finals only 1/7 times.
            adelaide: 2x
            brisbane: 2x
            essendon: 2x
            west coast: 2x
            collingwood: 4x
            port: 2x

            So based on that Sydney has been one of the most consistent sides post millenium. Although we unfortunately couldn't do a brisbane (3 straight) or a port adelaide (minor premiers 3 straight) but we've been pretty solid. It's interesting if you look at the trends, after a lean year or 2, sies come tot he fore for a few seasons before tapering out. Every team except for adelaide and collingwood has built up to a flag. Maybe this could be their year? Or even Hawthorn?

            Sydney will make up the finals numbers this year, sorry to say....

            Comment

            • swansrule100
              The quarterback
              • May 2004
              • 4538

              #21
              we will win the flag!










              no we wont i just wanted to say it
              Theres not much left to say

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