We need to lose this weekend...

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  • Captain
    Captain of the Side
    • Feb 2004
    • 3602

    We need to lose this weekend...

    Yes I know it's a weird concept, but finishing 8th will give us a much easier run then 7th.

    My logic is as follows:

    If we lose, Adelaide win and all other results go to plan, then we will finish 8th and have the following (likely run):

    Week 1 : Play Kangas in Melb - would have a good chance
    Week 2 : Play Hawks in Melb - another good chance
    Week 3 : Play Port in Adl - tough but we play well against Port (especially in finals )
    Week 4: Cats at the G - we win the granny (Cats to choke)......

    This way we avoid the Eagles, don't play in Adelaide until the prelim and have 3 out of 4 games at the G.

    Finishing 7th would see us play the Hawks/Pies in Melb and then have to travel to Perth/Adelaide in week 2
  • Snake
    On the Rookie List
    • Mar 2007
    • 330

    #2
    Originally posted by Captain
    Yes I know it's a weird concept, but finishing 8th will give us a much easier run then 7th.

    My logic is as follows:

    If we lose, Adelaide win and all other results go to plan, then we will finish 8th and have the following (likely run):

    Week 1 : Play Kangas in Melb - would have a good chance
    Week 2 : Play Hawks in Melb - another good chance
    Week 3 : Play Port in Adl - tough but we play well against Port (especially in finals )
    Week 4: Cats at the G - we win the granny (Cats to choke)......

    This way we avoid the Eagles, don't play in Adelaide until the prelim and have 3 out of 4 games at the G.

    Finishing 7th would see us play the Hawks/Pies in Melb and then have to travel to Perth/Adelaide in week 2
    Good theory, the way the bloods are playing at the moment we will more than likely finish 8th.

    Comment

    • timthefish
      Regular in the Side
      • Sep 2003
      • 940

      #3
      well thank goodness things never go according to plan or prediction in afl. this means we can forget about anything stupid like hoping to lose on the eve of the finals.

      give me form over a decent draw any day.
      then again, i think it would be worth trying 15-16 players on field so what would i know

      Comment

      • ScottH
        It's Goodes to cheer!!
        • Sep 2003
        • 23665

        #4
        Originally posted by Snake
        Good theory, the way the bloods are playing at the moment we will more than likely finish 8th.
        And in 2 weeks time we'll be 8th.

        Comment

        • reigning premier
          Suspended by the MRP
          • Sep 2006
          • 4335

          #5
          The plan is fatally flawed.

          Yeah we can lose this week. No problems. But from that point on we're in trouble. We'll have to actually WIN games. Something that's looking less and less likely each time we play.

          Comment

          • Captain
            Captain of the Side
            • Feb 2004
            • 3602

            #6
            Of course form means a lot and if we lose this weekend, we would struggle to beat even Carlton.

            The point is, finishing 8th would give us a better run the 7th. If it was possible, I would love for us to beat the Hawks and finish 8th.

            Comment

            • barry
              Veterans List
              • Jan 2003
              • 8499

              #7
              I like your thinking Captain. A finals series of Hawthorn, North, Port and Geelong would be a god-send. You couldnt pick 4 easier sides.

              Comment

              • ItsAllGoodes
                Regular in the Side
                • Dec 2003
                • 675

                #8
                If we lose this weekend against the Hawks in Sydney...how can we consider a finals game against them at the MCG as being easy?

                The way we are playing...and the way the Hawks are playing...we will be no match for them in either game...something I hate to say!!
                Red and white till I die

                Comment

                • Captain
                  Captain of the Side
                  • Feb 2004
                  • 3602

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ItsAllGoodes
                  If we lose this weekend against the Hawks in Sydney...how can we consider a finals game against them at the MCG as being easy?

                  The way we are playing...and the way the Hawks are playing...we will be no match for them in either game...something I hate to say!!
                  To a certain extent I agree, however finals are a different kettle of fish, the Hawks are young and inexperienced and we seem to take our game to another level in finals. The mind is a powerful thing.

                  Another week down the track might also see the return of Leo, LRT, Micky O, Kennelly etc (assuming they don't play this week).

                  Comment

                  • Captain
                    Captain of the Side
                    • Feb 2004
                    • 3602

                    #10
                    Originally posted by barry
                    I like your thinking Captain. A finals series of Hawthorn, North, Port and Geelong would be a god-send. You couldnt pick 4 easier sides.
                    Exactly, would much rather that then Adelaide, Pies, WestCoast etc and would much rather play away games in Melbourne then Perth or Adelaide.

                    Comment

                    • 573v30
                      On the bandwagon...
                      • Sep 2005
                      • 5017

                      #11
                      I'd rather the team win and have momentum coming into the finals than relying on luck to fall on our side again.
                      I only support one team: The SYDNEY SWANS!!!!! :adore

                      Comment

                      • iigrover
                        Warming the Bench
                        • Sep 2005
                        • 245

                        #12
                        By my reckoning, attached, the will Swans have a pretty good finals run and will meet Wet Toast in the GF (and will win by a point)
                        Attached Files

                        Comment

                        • top40
                          Regular in the Side
                          • May 2007
                          • 933

                          #13
                          Bad form leading into the finals doesn't have to be a bad thing. Look at Hawthorn in 2001,Collingwood in 2002, and us in 2003 . All three teams had experienced bad upset losses in the last few rounds of the home and away season.

                          In 2001, the Hawks had lost in August that year at home to Freo, (with the Dcokers winning their very first game of the season), and lowly ranked St Kilda, (with Barry Hall kicking a goal at siren's end to finish his career as a Saint). Hawthorn then went on to go very close to a Grand Final appearance, with unexpected wins in the finals against us, (yes we were favourites), and Port Adelaide at Football Park. They finally lost in a close PF to the then very good Essendon.

                          In 2002 Collingwood had lost their round 22 game to wooden spooners, the Western Bulldogs. They went on to be within two kicks from a premiership with finals wins over Port (in a major upset), and the Crows in the PF.

                          In 2003, in the last month of the home and away season, we experienced bad losses to Collingwood at Telstra Stadium; and to Hawthorn, (who didn't qualify for the finals), at the SCG. We had also lost our number 1 ruckman Jason Ball to a shoulder injury. Yet against the odds we managed to upset Port Power the dominate minor premiers in week one of the finals, and obtain a home Preliminary Final and a week off.

                          Comment

                          • gossipcom
                            Senior Player
                            • Aug 2003
                            • 2585

                            #14
                            Well the match is officially a sell-out so it's going to be interesting to see if they tank it in front of a sell-out crowd to get that finals plan you want

                            Comment

                            • Captain
                              Captain of the Side
                              • Feb 2004
                              • 3602

                              #15
                              Originally posted by gossipcom
                              Well the match is officially a sell-out so it's going to be interesting to see if they tank it in front of a sell-out crowd to get that finals plan you want

                              A sell out at the scg means there will be about 15,000 spare seats

                              Why not tank? Rest Hall, Micky O, Spida and whoever else needs a break. Give blokes like LRT, Grundy, Laidlaw, Vogels etc a run and see who can step up.

                              Least then when we lose, we can blame it on the kids and know that having our good players back for the first week of the finals will make a difference and hence give us some confidence....

                              Comment

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