A small project for the statistically minded

[Sanecow]

What are the win/loss ratios and percentages of the top eight teams this season when playing against each other? Has anyone already done the math? I'm very lazy.

[swantastic]

What are the win/loss ratios and percentages of the top eight teams this season when playing against each other? Has anyone already done the math? I'm very lazy.

Yep where @@@@@@ against the rest of the top 8,bar the Dawks.

[AnnieH]

Yep where @@@@@@ against the rest of the top 8,bar the Dawks.

I think that the dawks threw the game yesterday ... didn't want to play geelong in the finals.

As to the original question ... about 22.

[goswannie14]

I love this, first reply is by Swantastic (no offence meant mate. )

[swantastic]

I love this, first reply is by Swantastic (no offence meant mate. )

Nothing else too do since i'm home for the day.

[goswannie14]

Nothing else too do since i'm home for the day.

But it's perfect concreting weather.

[swantastic]

But it's perfect concreting weather.

Ah just the usual site red card/union crap,we have to go back tomorrow when the OHS rep isn't there.

[NMWBloods]

I actually started to work this out on the weekend (W-L only, not %).

I think we are 3-7.

Looking through the other sides quickly:
Geelong 7-3
Port 5-5
WC 6-3
'Roos 3-7 (0-3 after rd 3)
Hawthorn 5-5 (they were 4-0 at rd 10)
Collingwood 3-6 (2 against us)
Adelaide 6-4

[Sanecow]

Thanks!

[hammo]

I think that the dawks threw the game yesterday ... didn't want to play geelong in the finals.

And miss out on the double chance? How ridiculous.

[liz]

How about if you did the same analysis but based on whether the team was top 8 at the time you played them - ie an indication not only of their season's form in hindsight but some measure (albeit imperfect) of the form they were in at the time?

This season, in particular, I am not sure of the worth of a vs top 8 ladder. Maybe vs top 3 (given that Geelong, Port and WC seem to have been a notch above the rest, though even that is arguable except for Geelong). You could almost throw a blanket over the teams from 5th down to 13th given how close things have been in the middle of the table.

[NMWBloods]

Yep - I noticed that to some extent when going through it.

[Bloody Hell]

How about if you did the same analysis but based on whether the team was top 8 at the time you played them - ie an indication not only of their season's form in hindsight but some measure (albeit imperfect) of the form they were in at the time?

This season, in particular, I am not sure of the worth of a vs top 8 ladder. Maybe vs top 3 (given that Geelong, Port and WC seem to have been a notch above the rest, though even that is arguable except for Geelong). You could almost throw a blanket over the teams from 5th down to 13th given how close things have been in the middle of the table.

Port where nowhere all season, then came home very strongly. They were 9th when we started doing that ladder predictor thing at the start of July.

Where will our Bloods finish by rd 22? Take the ladder predictor and let's discuss!!

Though this particularly insightful post (#9) by myself stated they had a very easy run home.

[NMWBloods]

Not really. Port were 6-1 and top of the ladder. Then they lost their next 4 in a row and dropped to 10th. Then they went 9-2.

Didn't seem that easy a run home - WC, Adel, Haw, Geel.

[Sanecow]

This season, in particular, I am not sure of the worth of a vs top 8 ladder.

The worth for me was just to see how many times the teams had beaten each other in the regular season. I wasn't really after a measurement of "how good are they really". It is an imaginary ladder based on an eight team competition, an imaginary competition where not every team plays the same number of games in a season.