Top 4 Reality thread.

[Bas]

Let's look at this for last 4 rounds.

The games are:

Sydney
1. Fremantle;
2. Geelong;
3. Collingwood;
4. Brisbane.

2 maybe 3 wins at very best.

Crows
1. Richmond;
2. Essendon;
3. St Kilda;
3. Bulldogs.

2 maybe 3 wins

Norf
1. Bulldogs;
2. Carlton;
3. Geelong;
4. Port.

Probably 2 wins

St Kilda
1. Collingwood;
2. Fremantle (A)
3. Adelaide (H)
4. Essendon.

Probably 2 wins maybe 3. Next weeks game to be a big one.

Eddie's Mob
1. St Kilda;
2. Port;
3. Sydney;
4. Fremantle.

Who know's could win 4 or lose all. You would think 2 maybe 3.

I thought this might improve the guess work but it hawsn't really. Essendon starting to be nuisance value. I think magpies have the best 4 games.
Norf has worst draw in my opinion.

Next game we lose, we lose 4th spot as well.

[Lohengrin]

You should put in where the games are.

[ugg]

We have to beat Collingwood (assuming we beat Freo and Brissie and lose to Geelong) otherwise we will be usurped by the winner of the St Kilda/Adelaide game in Round 21.

[mcs]

we have to win one of Geelong/Collingwood imo to make the 4, but that of course is presiding on us beating Freo and Brisbane (Which I think we can but it wont be easy). Lucky for us, none of those teams are setting the world alight and we might be lucky enough to end up the last one standing for the 4.

Not that I think it really matters- The Pies are probably the only ones that could scare Geelong come finals time and even then I think the whole lot are cannon Fodder for the Hawks and Geelong. I do think however the Dogs are not going well at all and imo wont really threaten come finals time. They were very underwhelming imo today.

[573v30]

3 wins to guarantee 4th spots, 2 wins might be enough if we're lucky.

[barry]

Simple fact is, if we cant beat Freo and Brisbane at home, then we might as well tank for draft picks. You have to assume those two will be wins.

Geelong is tough, but they have never played at homebush, so we are a rough chance out there.

Collingwood is in free-fall. They could actually be out of finals contention by the time we play them. We are actually a chance.

So I think we are good for 2 wins, and a chance to snatch 3. As the incumbant, 4th spot is still in our destiny.

A big win against post-derby Freo this week will turn things around. Could have Leo, Goodes and Malceski back for that game!

[NMWBloods]

I remain confident we will win 3 and finish with 13 wins. That should be enough to keep fourth. North almost certainly will lose one. Adelaide most likely. StKilda same.

We have a chance then of 2 or 3 finals. However, we do then get the late start for next season again...

[annew]

Bulldogs are saying that they are going to rest players for the finals so we cant count on them winning against the other teams to help us make 4th - Bugger!!! NM will probably beat them and Adelaide too so we have to win 3 of our last 4 to keep 4th spot. Oh well it was nice dreaming.

[Captain]

I still think we will come 4th if we win 2 games.

Kangas will most likely lose 2.

Pies are sure to lose 1 and Saints/Crows aren't in good enough form to win 3/4.

Obviously would be a lot better if we can win 3 of our next 4.

[Plugger46]

Pretty confident we'll hold 4th, due to the fact that no one below us is any better.

[Dogzbody]

I think Saints are the smokey.......

Ive done several ladder predictions, and Saints keep coming in 4th. I base our performaces on 2/4, I honestly think we will have to beat Collingwood to make fourth (and that includes wins against Bris and Freo)

We wont beat Geelong, I dont really think anyone will.

[bennyfrou]

I think Saints are the smokey.......

Ive done several ladder predictions, and Saints keep coming in 4th. I base our performaces on 2/4, I honestly think we will have to beat Collingwood to make fourth (and that includes wins against Bris and Freo)

We wont beat Geelong, I dont really think anyone will.

Knowing our swannies it is possible we will beat Geelong and Collingwood and lose to Freo and brisbane!!

I reckon we will win 2/4 and finish 4th on percentage only.

[Cheer Squad]

Geelong is tough, but they have never played at homebush, so we are a rough chance out there.

We played the Cats at Homebush in Round 5, 2006, and won that game by 22 points.

[waterfowl]

To keep the No4 spot would be awesome but we need to have resolved most of the injury problems by then and have the team in really good form. If it goes to plan and the miraculous happens and we make the GF - I guess we'll have three chances at Geelong to get their measure.

[T-bag]

Pretty confident we'll hold 4th, due to the fact that no one below us is any better.

You are right. No one below us is any better, but they seem to be able to find ways to win and we can't