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Collingwood by 15.
I am sick and tired of going into these Collingwood games believing we can win. The reality is that Mick Malthouse has the wood over Paul Roos. Put simply: when these two sides meet, Malthouse in the better coach; no if's but's or maybe's.
The last lost was personally particularly significant. Once again, (for the
1000th time it seems), I went to Homebush feeling like Gough Whitlam and the Labor Party in 1972, it was time for victory. Once again, (for the 1000th time it seems), I left the ground bitterly disappointed. (And that particular loss also represented the negative turning point in the Swan's 2008 season).
So in my view, it takes an optimist (or a masochist) to think that Sydney can beat the Pies.
As I stated above, so many times in the past 5 years, (particularly in seasons 2006, 2007 and 2008), I have thought it was our time to win... we were due... only to be disappointed.
The record since Round 21 2003 stands at just 2 wins and 6 losses. And only two of those 8 games were away from Sydney.
Even when on the mere two occasions when we HAVE beaten Collingwood in the past 1/2 decade:
-both games were in Sydney;
-in both seasons we finished either top 6 (2004) or were the premiers (2005), whilst they finished bottom 4 in both years (13th in 2004, and 15th in 2005); and
-the margin was only by a goal (2004), or a point (2005).
I'm sick of taking the bait. In Round 21 this year I'll be as usual supporting Sydney, but this time I'm tipping the Pies.
PS. Yes, I know the games at Telstra Dome, where Collingwood? record is perceived to be not the best. That perception is however ill founded. For the record, since 2000 Collingwood has had 26 wins and 23 losses (or 53.1%) at Telstra Dome, compared with 60 wins and 59 losses for the MCG (or 50.4%) for the same period. And the Swans don't exactly have a great recent record themselves at Telstra Dome, having only won one of the last five games there, and that win was by just two points.
I am sick and tired of going into these Collingwood games believing we can win. The reality is that Mick Malthouse has the wood over Paul Roos. Put simply: when these two sides meet, Malthouse in the better coach; no if's but's or maybe's.
The last lost was personally particularly significant. Once again, (for the
1000th time it seems), I went to Homebush feeling like Gough Whitlam and the Labor Party in 1972, it was time for victory. Once again, (for the 1000th time it seems), I left the ground bitterly disappointed. (And that particular loss also represented the negative turning point in the Swan's 2008 season).
So in my view, it takes an optimist (or a masochist) to think that Sydney can beat the Pies.
As I stated above, so many times in the past 5 years, (particularly in seasons 2006, 2007 and 2008), I have thought it was our time to win... we were due... only to be disappointed.
The record since Round 21 2003 stands at just 2 wins and 6 losses. And only two of those 8 games were away from Sydney.
Even when on the mere two occasions when we HAVE beaten Collingwood in the past 1/2 decade:
-both games were in Sydney;
-in both seasons we finished either top 6 (2004) or were the premiers (2005), whilst they finished bottom 4 in both years (13th in 2004, and 15th in 2005); and
-the margin was only by a goal (2004), or a point (2005).
I'm sick of taking the bait. In Round 21 this year I'll be as usual supporting Sydney, but this time I'm tipping the Pies.
PS. Yes, I know the games at Telstra Dome, where Collingwood? record is perceived to be not the best. That perception is however ill founded. For the record, since 2000 Collingwood has had 26 wins and 23 losses (or 53.1%) at Telstra Dome, compared with 60 wins and 59 losses for the MCG (or 50.4%) for the same period. And the Swans don't exactly have a great recent record themselves at Telstra Dome, having only won one of the last five games there, and that win was by just two points.
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