How we?re travelling at the moment...

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  • mcs
    Travelling Swannie!!
    • Jul 2007
    • 8199

    #16
    At the start of the season if you had of said 6-4 after 10 rounds I would of snapped your hands off. I think that should be a minimum from where we are now. I expect we will lose at Geelong (We never win down there- but we did beat Adelaide in Adelaide this year, so who knows?), and the Dogs will be hard (Though I think we will match up far better this year against them then we have over the previous couple of years), but I do think the other three games we should be very hopeful of victories.

    We should beat Freo with it at the SCG and all (even with their good start to the season), and I think we can beat the Hawks (at what will be my 1st footy game at the G!!!). I'd be happy with 6-4, but I feel we have a definite chance to be at least 7-3 after 10 rounds. Whatever we are, I'd hope from here the worst we will be coming into the bye round would be 7-5 (Should beat the Bombers at Home, who knows with Hot and Cold Port at AAMI in round twelve). I'd like to think we could be 8-4 or 9-3, but we will just have to wait and see.

    Its so hard to judge where we are truly at due to who we have played so far, but unlike the last 2 seasons where there has been clear indications that we are a long way off the pace of the best teams, this year those indications are not there so far imo. There are far more positive signs from our play, and the big negatives (Terrible disposal, poor choice of man to HB to, poor kicking,general decision making etc) are vastly improved this season. Still plenty of work to do, but the signs are good.

    I'm not saying that we are anywhere near the best teams potentially come the end of the year, but I feel we have made a lot of progress so far, and with it proving a very even competition so far, there is no reason if we can do well over the next 6 weeks or so that we can be sitting very nicely halfway through the season and with a real chance of finishing somewhere between say 4-7.
    Last edited by mcs; 27 April 2010, 09:41 PM.
    "You get the feeling that like Monty Python's Black Knight, the Swans would regard amputation as merely a flesh wound."

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    • Thunder Shaker
      Aut vincere aut mori
      • Apr 2004
      • 4266

      #17
      We should still be in the 8 at the end of May. Still being in the top four would be a real bonus.

      We definitely need to see some wins against quality sides before we can assess how well we are going. It's good being at the top of the ladder right now, but the sides we have beaten so far have three wins between them. If we are 6-2 or better after eight rounds, then one can start talking to our supervisors about the need to take time off in September.
      "Unbelievable!" -- Nick Davis leaves his mark on the 2005 semi final

      Comment

      • andyn
        On the Rookie List
        • Nov 2009
        • 102

        #18
        I love this cautious optimism we all have! Can't wait till Saturday night (even though I usually become a nervous wreck)
        follow me on twitter

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        • Big Al
          Veterans List
          • Feb 2005
          • 7007

          #19
          Originally posted by BSA5
          It's not the fall that kills you. It's the rapid negative acceleration when you reach the ground that does it.
          Guns don't kill people......


          husbands who come home early do.
          ..And the Swans are the Premiers...The Ultimate Team...The Ultimate Warriors. They have overcome the highly fancied Hawks in brilliant style. Sydney the 2012 Premiers - Gerard Whately ABC

          Here it is Again! - Huddo SEN

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          • BigD
            Swans Tragic No. 1
            • Apr 2007
            • 394

            #20
            I think the next four weeks will truly tell the story as to how the Swans are travelling.
            Red & White forever.

            Comment

            • Nico
              Veterans List
              • Jan 2003
              • 11356

              #21
              Originally posted by Dalai Lama
              A keen observation may suggest that we can not get any higher on the ladder than we are after round five.
              Unless of course they are smoking some of that Tibetan Weed.
              http://www.nostalgiamusic.co.uk/secu...res/srh806.jpg

              Comment

              • cruiser
                What the frack!
                • Jul 2004
                • 6114

                #22
                Originally posted by andyn
                Can't wait till Saturday night (even though I usually become a nervous wreck)
                Me too, am really looking forward to it but will be very nervous come the first bounce.
                Occupational hazards:
                I don't eat animals since discovering this ability. I used to. But one day the lamb I was eating came through to me and ever since then I haven't been able to eat meat.
                - animal psychic Amanda de Warren

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                • Nico
                  Veterans List
                  • Jan 2003
                  • 11356

                  #23
                  Originally posted by ShockOfHair
                  I agree with BSA5 that no-one's unbeatable this year.

                  The Swans are looking pretty good. We may have beaten lowly sides but we really put 'em away. Two years ago we would have won those games by three or four goals. The addition of pace and the sharper kicking skills have made a huge difference. We've now got all the ingredients of a top side - mongrel defence, inside and midfielders, power forwards, small forwards, rucks, on-field leadership, team ethos, coaching smarts. We just need to get consistency.

                  I had Swans finishing at 6-10 at the start of the year but I'm upgrading my forecast to 4-7.

                  Lion steak coming up.
                  Keen observation there Shocker. Every side has lost a game already so I guess that means no side is unbeatable.
                  http://www.nostalgiamusic.co.uk/secu...res/srh806.jpg

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                  • hammo
                    Veterans List
                    • Jul 2003
                    • 5554

                    #24
                    Originally posted by BigD
                    I think the next four weeks will truly tell the story as to how the Swans are travelling.
                    Absolutely.

                    It's been more than 12 months since we've beaten a top 8 side - Carlton in round 4 last year.

                    So a real test of where we are at coming up.
                    "As everyone knows our style of football is defensive and unattractive, and as such I have completely forgotten how to mark or kick over the years" - Brett Kirk

                    Comment

                    • Go Swannies
                      Veterans List
                      • Sep 2003
                      • 5697

                      #25
                      Originally posted by hammo
                      Absolutely.

                      It's been more than 12 months since we've beaten a top 8 side - Carlton in round 4 last year.

                      So a real test of where we are at coming up.
                      It seems to be a very even comp this year so I'd be unhappy if we didn't win at least half of the Brion, Cats, Dogs, Freo, Pies games. The Dees beat the Lions but we can't on the SCG = a problem.

                      Comment

                      • Matty10
                        Senior Player
                        • Jun 2007
                        • 1331

                        #26
                        Originally posted by hammo
                        It's been more than 12 months since we've beaten a top 8 side.
                        I hate stats like that - you can't argue with them - hopefully it is no longer accurate come Sunday.

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                        • msb
                          On the Rookie List
                          • Mar 2006
                          • 827

                          #27
                          Originally posted by Flossie
                          I think we can beat the Lions, maybe not the Cats (but who knows - we might) Hawks I'm pretty confident we can beat, only Freo and the Dogs are a question mark.
                          Nah, we'll roll freo at the SCG, Subiaco though a different story

                          Comment

                          • Cheer Squad
                            Sydney Swans
                            • Apr 2007
                            • 1948

                            #28
                            I thought we would beat Brisbane reasonably comfortably, and so it proved, but only after a cracker of a game, especially that third quarter - how good was that?

                            What is of concern is the mounting injury toll:

                            Craig Bolton - 8 weeks with an ankle injury
                            Mark Seaby - ankle injury, out for how long???
                            Ted Richards - ankle injury, out for how long???
                            Jarrad Moore - ankle injury, out for how long???
                            Ben McGlynn - quad injury, couple of weeks away
                            Craig Bird (remember him?) - couple of weeks away with an ankle injury
                            Ryan O'Keefe - concussion! considering how strongly he's built, he must have copped a real whack
                            Jude Bolton - concussion - he'll probably be right
                            Daniel Hannebery - shoulder - I hope that's not going to be an ongoing problem

                            We can't sustain too much more damage like this.

                            But I still think we've got our best chance in many years next week of knocking off Geelong at home.

                            Comment

                            • CureTheSane
                              Carpe Noctem
                              • Jan 2003
                              • 5032

                              #29
                              WTF is it with all the ankles?
                              Ground condition?
                              New boots?
                              The difference between insanity and genius is measured only in success.

                              Comment

                              • mcs
                                Travelling Swannie!!
                                • Jul 2007
                                • 8199

                                #30
                                Originally posted by Cheer Squad
                                I thought we would beat Brisbane reasonably comfortably, and so it proved, but only after a cracker of a game, especially that third quarter - how good was that?

                                What is of concern is the mounting injury toll:

                                Craig Bolton - 8 weeks with an ankle injury
                                Mark Seaby - ankle injury, out for how long???
                                Ted Richards - ankle injury, out for how long???
                                Jarrad Moore - ankle injury, out for how long???
                                Ben McGlynn - quad injury, couple of weeks away
                                Craig Bird (remember him?) - couple of weeks away with an ankle injury
                                Ryan O'Keefe - concussion! considering how strongly he's built, he must have copped a real whack
                                Jude Bolton - concussion - he'll probably be right
                                Daniel Hannebery - shoulder - I hope that's not going to be an ongoing problem

                                We can't sustain too much more damage like this.

                                But I still think we've got our best chance in many years next week of knocking off Geelong at home.
                                Bird said last night at the forward pocket function he hopes to be playing reserves next week or the week after. O'keefe did hit his head very hard indeed- hopefully he and Bolton will be ok for next week. Hanners didn't seem to affected when he came back in the 2nd half, so hopefully it was a clean dislocation and he will not miss much or any footy.

                                Fingers crossed most aren't too long term, as it would be such a shame if injuries ripped apart our season after the fantastic start we have had to the year.
                                "You get the feeling that like Monty Python's Black Knight, the Swans would regard amputation as merely a flesh wound."

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