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  • Triple B
    Formerly 'BBB'
    • Feb 2003
    • 6999

    #16
    Originally posted by Plugger46
    I reckon we're extremely good value this week.

    Don't mind Adelaide eiher, think they're overs. Play Etihad well (run Carlton and Collingwood close) and they're better than what they showed against Brisbane.
    Strangely enough, I sent an email to a work colleague not 10 minutes ago with exactly that "Swans are good value at evens or just under and Adelaide are good value at $2.50 or better"

    He's a mad punter on the NRL but often asks if I 'like anything in your game?'. He has me on a pedestal atm after I told him I thought Port were a huge chance of knocking off a Richmond side bound to be on a huge letdown after a stirring win in the Dreamtime game in front of 85K the week before. $4.40, thx for coming...
    Driver of the Dan Hannebery bandwagon....all aboard. 4th April 09

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    • Triple B
      Formerly 'BBB'
      • Feb 2003
      • 6999

      #17
      The Centrebet 'AFL Friday Fill-up' this week is called 'The Big Gulp - Swallow This'

      The Swallow brothers to get 50 disposals or more between them @ $5.00 when they go head to head on Sat. night..

      Andrew averages 28 this year and David 19, so they won't be far away on an average day, so I reckon 4/1 is pretty nice odds.

      My only worry is David may be named the sub.
      Driver of the Dan Hannebery bandwagon....all aboard. 4th April 09

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      • ugg
        Can you feel it?
        Site Admin
        • Jan 2003
        • 15978

        #18
        No way he'll be named sub, they actually have a sniff of winning this one. Prestia or Weller for the sub.
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        • Plugger46
          Senior Player
          • Apr 2003
          • 3674

          #19
          Money for jam I reckon Triple B.

          I don't mind Essendon with Jobe back this week, reckon they're an entirely different team with him playing.
          Bloods

          "Lockett is the best of all time" - Robert Harvey, Darrel Baldock, Nathan Burke, Kevin Bartlett, Bob Skilton

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          • ugg
            Can you feel it?
            Site Admin
            • Jan 2003
            • 15978

            #20
            Gold Coast concede the most disposals of any team in the AFL 398.8. Swallow senior might get 50 on his own judging by his performance last week.
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            • Jeffers1984
              Veterans List
              • Jan 2003
              • 4564

              #21
              This is probably blasphemy but would the value bet due to the impending bad weather and our shocking wet weather performances be Richmond winning 1-39 at $4.00?

              Just sayin...
              Official Driver Of The "Who Gives A @@@@ As The Player Will Get Delisted Anyway" Bandwagon.

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              • Triple B
                Formerly 'BBB'
                • Feb 2003
                • 6999

                #22
                Originally posted by Jeffers1984
                This is probably blasphemy but would the value bet due to the impending bad weather and our shocking wet weather performances be Richmond winning 1-39 at $4.00?

                Just sayin...
                Blasphemy or not, when my work colleague asked me this week, I said Richmond were just ridiculous overs. At $4.00, they are great value.

                That said, even though we don't fire great in the wet, Richmond are not big bodied like Geelong and I'm not particularly worried about the wet weather against them...
                Driver of the Dan Hannebery bandwagon....all aboard. 4th April 09

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                • ugg
                  Can you feel it?
                  Site Admin
                  • Jan 2003
                  • 15978

                  #23
                  $4 is for Richmond straight up. 1-39 should get better odds
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                  • Nich
                    Senior Player
                    • May 2010
                    • 1291

                    #24
                    1st Goal Scorer - Matt Spangher $67 on TABSportsbet. Centrebet has him at $21 so kudos to their research team.

                    Do we reckon he will start forward???

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                    • ScottH
                      It's Goodes to cheer!!
                      • Sep 2003
                      • 23665

                      #25
                      Originally posted by Nich
                      1st Goal Scorer - Matt Spangher $67 on TABSportsbet. Centrebet has him at $21 so kudos to their research team.

                      Do we reckon he will start forward???
                      Could be the sub!!

                      Someone has put $45K on us to win.

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                      • Nich
                        Senior Player
                        • May 2010
                        • 1291

                        #26
                        You reckon? I know Team Sheets aren't the be all end all but seeing as though he is in the starting team and Horse has mentioned he'll be partnering up down front with Sam I would have thought he would start. Looks like a straight swap for Jesse to me.

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                        • ScottH
                          It's Goodes to cheer!!
                          • Sep 2003
                          • 23665

                          #27
                          Originally posted by Nich
                          You reckon? I know Team Sheets aren't the be all end all but seeing as though he is in the starting team and Horse has mentioned he'll be partnering up down front with Sam I would have thought he would start. Looks like a straight swap for Jesse to me.
                          You're probably right. But the sub rule just adds another layer of doubt on these kinds of bets.

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                          • Nich
                            Senior Player
                            • May 2010
                            • 1291

                            #28
                            True, true. Although I wouldn't be laying 45k on so if I lose $10 on the sub rule I think I should still be able to pay for dinner Sunday night : )

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                            • ugg
                              Can you feel it?
                              Site Admin
                              • Jan 2003
                              • 15978

                              #29
                              Not a hard and fast rule but all our subs have come from the bench that is named on Thurs/Fri
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                              • Nich
                                Senior Player
                                • May 2010
                                • 1291

                                #30
                                Would be funny if one day this thread caused a big media storm if we all jumped on a particular bet. Can imagine now the news story coming out about how Matt Spangher was backed from 70's into 20's to be first goal scorer!!! They'd think there was some betting conspiracy going on until they found out RWO have a thread on speccy bets.

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