Run Home !

[Auntie.Gerald]

Hawks - have the easiest

Carlton, Sydney, West Coast pretty similar run home

My prediction for 2011 final round the table looking like this

1. Collingwood
2. Geelong (to loose last round game against Pies)
3. Hawks
4. Carlton
5. WC
6. Sydney

[Cpt. Kirk]

Hawks are going to go down to were we are.
Loss of Roughead will hurt then severely

[wolftone57]

Hawks are going to go down to were we are.
Loss of Roughead will hurt then severely

Yes the Hawks are hurting, almost all their backs are out & now one half of the fearsome twosome. By the way if Bailey comes back Roughy would have gone back to the forwards, too bad for them. blues gles look a better bet for top 4. We could just sneak in if we get it all together against the blues & Pies.

[mcs]

We need to beat Carlton in my opinion on the weekend to give ourselves a good shot at top 4. I don't think we will get near the Pies however next weekend. Hawks have injury troubles, and West Coast may begin to tire as the season goes on with a lot of young players having their first big impact year (but then so may we). From here, I'd be disappointed with 6th, almost happy with 5th and very pleased to finish top 4. Top 4 is very much a chance though, but whether we really want to meet Collingwood or Geelong in the 1st week is another question all together. But then we'd end up with a genuine chance at playing in a Prelim final this year. We certainly are doing well at beating the teams that are below us- with the exception of the draw against the Dees we've won every game against teams below us currently on the ladder. The 0-3 against the teams above us is a lot more worrying though. We still look a big step behind the Pies and Geelong and a bit smaller step behind the Dorks and Carlton. I have no doubtt though that if we bring our A game on Sunday we can beat the Blues. They are a better team then last year, but I don't think anywhere near as good as the Melbourne media make them out to be.

We are pretty well placed though, and while the football has been up and down this season, and the skill level nowhere near I think it should or could be, we are doing ok. No excuses to not get a home final at the very least from here.

For out of the games remaining we have:
- 2 very difficult games (Pies home and Geelong away). Likely return 0 points.
- 3 home games that we should win if we are serious about having a good year (Brisbane, Dogs and St Kilda). Last two have potential to be tricky though. Predicted return 8 points.
- 2 away games we should win on exposed form (Gold Coast Away, Adelaide away). Predicted return 8 points.
- 2 difficult away games (Essendon and Carlton- although Essendon are struggling recently). Predicted return 4 points.
- 1 difficult home game (Fremantle) that we need to win. Predicted return 4 points.
- 1 potentially difficult away game (Richmond) that we need to win. Predicted return 4 points.

That would leave us with 58 points, which in most years is enough to get into the top 4. We need to improve our home record in the 2nd half of the season to ensure we give ourselves every chance to finish in the top 4. The next 2 weeks will be tough (I'd be very happy with a win this week and an improved performance against the ferals the week after), and then well I think our draw is pretty kind. If we were to play to our potential, there is no reason we can't get 8 wins in the 2nd half of the season. 7 as I've predicted would probably be enough to sneak into the top 4, assuming the Dorks struggle with injury hampers their performance. Those 2 lost points against the Dees may come back to bite us though.

[Bloody Hell]

I think our home record should have a * against it.

The * being wet weather play.