Masters of List Management

[MomentByMoment]

I think our defensive pipeline is in better shape than we realise:
Mal - Biggs
Shaw - Rohan
Smith - Zac Jones
Ted - AJ
Grundy - X
Dane - Dane.

Biggs and Rohan are going to become the new Mal and Rhyce partnership, giving us run and driving kicks into the 50.

AJ has already shown his worth and will come back.

X has the right genes and will be a star in the same mould as his brother.

Sam will be the jewel in the crown. Swinging back when we need him.

Alir - will be our ruck man.

[barry]

I think our defensive pipeline is in better shape than we realise:
Mal - Biggs
Shaw - Rohan
Smith - Zac Jones
Ted - AJ
Grundy - X
Dane - Dane.

Biggs and Rohan are going to become the new Mal and Rhyce partnership, giving us run and driving kicks into the 50.

AJ has already shown his worth and will come back.

X has the right genes and will be a star in the same mould as his brother.

Sam will be the jewel in the crown. Swinging back when we need him.

Alir - will be our ruck man.

Is AJ big enough to hold down a key position ?

And if X follows his brothers progress, he wont be much good until he's 27.

I think we need to be on the lookout for a tall key defender to replace Ted.

[cyanide]

Is AJ big enough to hold down a key position ?

And if X follows his brothers progress, he wont be much good until he's 27.

I think we need to be on the lookout for a tall key defender to replace Ted.

Sam Reid!

[tasmania60]

Melbournes FRAWELY ?

[Melbournehammer]

i dont put any belief in aj coming back. i HOPE he does. and I HOPE he will be the player that we remember. But I don't think any reliance or pressure should be put on the fella.

[Auntie.Gerald]

joel Tippett could play a lock down role

i popped in one of the threads recently ???

here it is

Swans Academy and player watch - Page 55

[southsideswan]

I was just looking at Joel Tippetts details. He has been on the rookie list for the last 7 years (3 clubs) wonder if that is record. I realise he got promoted to seniors list on 2 occasions.

[ugg]

There was a break in between Gold Coast and North Melbourne where he was playing in the SANFL.

[Auntie.Gerald]

a fair few KPP backs have had similar pathways

[Auntie.Gerald]

when you type in "how to get invited to the afl draft combine" in google i can only find that players are invited by clubs in general ??

is that true ?

[aardvark]

when you type in "how to get invited to the afl draft combine" in google i can only find that players are invited by clubs in general ??

is that true ?

This sorta helps AG....
UPDATED: 2013 National Draft Combine Invites Announced + Important Draft Dates – SuperCoach Paige

[MomentByMoment]

I have a feeling Ted may keep going for a while. Hopefully long enough for a smooth transition.

[Auntie.Gerald]

This sorta helps AG....
UPDATED: 2013 National Draft Combine Invites Announced + Important Draft Dates ? SuperCoach Paige

Cheers Aardvark !

[SimonH]

This is a solid article, without the hysteria, about the likely replacement for COLA. And it touches on Swans' list management generally.

One thing it mentions is that if Goodes plays on in 2015, we can't afford to pay him his current salary. That's no surprise. The fact is that the departure of ROK (and LRT) at the end of this year, plus Goodes' retirement (whether at the end of 2014 or 2015) will be valuable in freeing up precious cap space. We will need all we can get. The list of other players likely to retire before the 2016 season isn't long, and they're not at the 'stratospheric pay' level anyway. (Apart from those 3, the next 2 oldest players on our list are Rhyce Shaw and Ted Richards.)

While I still believe that the Franklin decision is likely to be regarded by Swans fans in 2019-2022 as 'selling off the future to pay for the present', it's occurred to me that what the Swans have done is put the house on the continuing financial success, and resultant expansion, of the AFL as a competition.

The theory is that as the comp continues to grow and revenues increase, player payments (and so salary caps) will continue to increase at above CPI. So what now looks like an outrageous deal of agreeing to pay someone over $1 million to play for a year (given the proportion that represents of a team's salary cap), will be standard practice for a team's #1 player by the time 2020 rolls around?because it'll be a lower proportion of a significantly increased cap. (Where the theory falls down, is when you consider the likelihood that Franklin will still be our #1 player then.)

The AFL's financial health is closely linked to TV rights?and the idea of large broadcasting corporations paying large fees for the rights to broadcast sport through TV sets, is under pressure from new technologies and likely to become more so over the next decade. It's too simplistic to say, 'As the TV rights become less valuable and the online rights more valuable, one will cancel the other out so the AFL will keep doing at least as well as before'. As Fairfax has found regarding the collapse of its 'rivers of gold' classified ad business, the expectations of the online market are different and so you typically will earn less than a dollar online for every dollar of 'old technology' revenue that you've lost. So the underlying theory isn't bulletproof. But the AFL's juggernaut-like expansion in revenues over the last 15 years (not slowed in any very significant way by the GFC) tells us that it's probably a fair bet to believe that more expansion is on the way. For the sake of the Swans' list, let's hope so.

[mcs]

This is a solid article, without the hysteria, about the likely replacement for COLA. And it touches on Swans' list management generally.

One thing it mentions is that if Goodes plays on in 2015, we can't afford to pay him his current salary. That's no surprise. The fact is that the departure of ROK (and LRT) at the end of this year, plus Goodes' retirement (whether at the end of 2014 or 2015) will be valuable in freeing up precious cap space. We will need all we can get. The list of other players likely to retire before the 2016 season isn't long, and they're not at the 'stratospheric pay' level anyway. (Apart from those 3, the next 2 oldest players on our list are Rhyce Shaw and Ted Richards.)

While I still believe that the Franklin decision is likely to be regarded by Swans fans in 2019-2022 as 'selling off the future to pay for the present', it's occurred to me that what the Swans have done is put the house on the continuing financial success, and resultant expansion, of the AFL as a competition.

The theory is that as the comp continues to grow and revenues increase, player payments (and so salary caps) will continue to increase at above CPI. So what now looks like an outrageous deal of agreeing to pay someone over $1 million to play for a year (given the proportion that represents of a team's salary cap), will be standard practice for a team's #1 player by the time 2020 rolls around?because it'll be a lower proportion of a significantly increased cap. (Where the theory falls down, is when you consider the likelihood that Franklin will still be our #1 player then.)

The AFL's financial health is closely linked to TV rights?and the idea of large broadcasting corporations paying large fees for the rights to broadcast sport through TV sets, is under pressure from new technologies and likely to become more so over the next decade. It's too simplistic to say, 'As the TV rights become less valuable and the online rights more valuable, one will cancel the other out so the AFL will keep doing at least as well as before'. As Fairfax has found regarding the collapse of its 'rivers of gold' classified ad business, the expectations of the online market are different and so you typically will earn less than a dollar online for every dollar of 'old technology' revenue that you've lost. So the underlying theory isn't bulletproof. But the AFL's juggernaut-like expansion in revenues over the last 15 years (not slowed in any very significant way by the GFC) tells us that it's probably a fair bet to believe that more expansion is on the way. For the sake of the Swans' list, let's hope so.

Some good points there SimonH. My guess as to how the AFL might counter this is that they will very closely look at an option to not sell tv rights themselves, but basically become a quasi-broadcaster, especially online. They've already moved to a proper inhouse media setup for their website. More control over the content leads to greater ability to leach money out of everyone.

We have clearly taken a gamble on the salary cap continuing to increase and that leading to Buddy's salary becoming more reasonable. To me its a decent gamble - if things fall right we might win another couple, maybe even 3 flags with Buddy in the team. For a team that has won 2 flags in the last 81 years, that seems a reasonable risk to take. I think that the club is also thinking about how a good few years now could make a huge difference to our ongoing viability during the 'less successful' times - its easy to get people to jump on the bandwagon, harder to keep them on it when its broken down at a mid-station!