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It's the first time I'm genuinely excited about playing GWS and think that it could be more than a ho hum victory. (Yes, I know they beat us - I was there).
Having said that I think it will be a fairly comfortable win for the Swans 3-4 goals I would say.
The boys will be tired after the conditions last week, but they have an 8 day break and training loads will be adjusted accordingly. GWS haven't exactly had easy games the past coupl of weeks either.
Of course we should win - on paper. I'll only be happy with a win on the ground. And if we approach it the way we did Richmond we will get a sharp reality test.
He reminds him of the guys, close-set, slow, and never rattled, who were play-makers on the team. (John Updike, seeing Josh Kennedy in a crystal ball)
I think the players and coaching staff know how important every game is in terms of top four and won't be treating this or any game lightly, particularly in light of what happened against Richmond. I repeat, Swans by five goals or more.
Should be a cracking game, a great Sunday arvo and public holiday on the Monday. Might have to enjoy a few beers, hopefully I'm not reaching for the harder stuff by the end! I think we'll win, by a closer margin of 2-3 goals. Heeney and Rohan to kick 6 between them.
On paper there is not much in this game. We are 6th in attack, 2nd in defence & have the best %. Giants are 2nd in attack, 6th in defence and have 3rd best %. We have lost two games, one against a good team (Adelaide) away and one we threw away against an average side (Richmond). Giants have lost three away games against quality teams (us, Crows & Cats) and one away game against an average side (Demons) they threw away. The Giants draw so far has been marginally harder than ours, but there is little in it. Neither team lays down, no losses by more than four goals. Pound for pound we are a better team, but they are playing at home and no one has got close to them at Spotless this year. Two weeks ago I would have said we had no chance, but sometimes lately their defence has gone AWOL and they've let in cheap goals, and they have struggled with winning the contested ball of late (albeit against quality opposition), and that is one of our strong points. Put aside our finals appearances this is the biggest game from a code perspective in Sydney in years. Swans by 17.
I find myself bemused by the strangely overconfident nature of most of the comments.
I cannot shake the feeling that they are strongest where we are weakest; i.e. tall forwards that are mobile and strong in contested marking, speed on the outside, excellent kicks to position.
Anyone who thinks they do not match up well against our strengths are kidding themselves; clearances through Ward, Coniglio, Greene, Shiel, Hopper and Mumford who are all great in close; a backline that boasts Shaw, Haynes, Davis, Patful, Williams, Wilson and Kelly; depth through the midfield that is the envy of the competition and small forwards that can convert.
I cannot help but feel anxious about this and as for a 3-4 goal victory I'll take a point.
The long term weather forecast is for rain (again) so that may be in our favour as our forwards rely less on marking to score as we saw last week. Although they are very skilled and if we allow them time and space to hit targets no amount of bad weather will temper their ability to score.
The lack of speed of our midfield again surfaces as an issue especially as the likes of Scully, Whitfield, Steele, Wilson, Kelly, Shiel and Coniglio can all cut you up.
For us to win, those with even a little pace like Lloyd, Rohan, Jones, K Jack, Rampe, Cunningham, Smith, Heeney and Mills must step up. I believe this is a game that B Jack is built for and he must get his chance this week in place of Hewett if he is unfit. Rose will miss out to Mills otherwise no change. Do not expect Ted to play.
I doubt Hewett will play this week given he also missed a week with concussion last year and how cautious everyone is with this kind of injury. So would expect a straight swap of Mills for Hewett. Rose offers good pressure and might be okay in a defensive forward role against Shaw. It will also allow Heeney to play a bit more up field.
Agree with graemed that this is no easy game; a tossup at best. The Giants showed plenty of pace and skill against Geelong, but the Cats applied tremendous pressure all over the ground and we will have to do the same if we are to win.
Jeremy Cameron is like a slightly taller version of Jack Gunston. He's very agile and dangerous at ground level, but can be defended by a smaller player like Rampe, who I think will take him. All the Giants' tall forwards had poor games against the Cats. It's hard to say it they are tiring or will bounce back in front of their home crowd.
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