Encouragement or Kiss of Death?

[takeheed]

Mark Mclure had us missing the 8 last year. This year finishing behind Demons lol

[mcs]

I stand corrected. Richmond are not in the bottom group of teams and the Swans can't pencil in them as a win. Richmond are one of those tight middle teams.

Carlton are in the bottom rung were not terrible and should be able to get 6 or 7 wins.

Wonderful to see the evenness of the competition.

You are an oracle if you can judge the 'evenness of the competition' on the basis of 1 game plus a bunch of meaningless pre-season games....

[stevoswan]

The answer to the thread title question is in........it's a kiss of death! I think something is amiss at our Swans at the moment, I have a few theories and I think it's a combo of many dubious happenings from recent seasons sapping our clubs heart and permeating down to the players and last years GF may have been the last straw, affecting our players and all around them more than we realise. I fear that as a club we are in a deep emotional slump........ .......and not even Kirky's influence can get us up. I sincerely hope I'm wrong.

[Joel Ridge]

You are an oracle if you can judge the 'evenness of the competition' on the basis of 1 game plus a bunch of meaningless pre-season games....

Ok MCS. Here is my table and the results at the end of round 22. I'm going to predict wins. This is mathematically correlated to take in the total 198 games in the regular season. There is a huge glut of evenness in the middle. Football tipping will be impossible.

If I get close to the final table and predicted wins, you are welcome to refer to me as a futurist!

GWW - 20 Wins
Bulldogs - 17 Wins
Swans - 15 Wins
Geelong - 14 Wins
West Coast - 14 Wins
Crows - 13 Wins
Melborne- 12 Wins
Hawks - 10 Wins
Port - 10 Wins
Saints 10 Wins
Richmond 10 Wins
Essendon 10 Wins
Collingwood 10 Wins
North - 9 Wins
Gold Coast - 7 Wins
Freemantle - 7 Wins
Carlton - 6 Wins
Brisbane 4 Wins

[stevoswan]

In reference to my previous post, I would be very happy to be proven that wrong. 15 wins........I can't be that confident at the moment. Let's hope it's a really dry winter.......

[aardvark]

Mark Mclure had us missing the 8 last year. This year finishing behind Demons lol

He might be about right.

[mcs]

Ok MCS. Here is my table and the results at the end of round 22. I'm going to predict wins. This is mathematically correlated to take in the total 198 games in the regular season. There is a huge glut of evenness in the middle. Football tipping will be impossible.

If I get close to the final table and predicted wins, you are welcome to refer to me as a futurist!

GWW - 20 Wins
Bulldogs - 17 Wins
Swans - 15 Wins
Geelong - 14 Wins
West Coast - 14 Wins
Crows - 13 Wins
Melborne- 12 Wins
Hawks - 10 Wins
Port - 10 Wins
Saints 10 Wins
Richmond 10 Wins
Essendon 10 Wins
Collingwood 10 Wins
North - 9 Wins
Gold Coast - 7 Wins
Freemantle - 7 Wins
Carlton - 6 Wins
Brisbane 4 Wins

You may well be right, but lets see where its all washed out to in about 6 weeks time. Many a season has been predicted to be 'the most even ever' only for it to become apparent, once a reasonable sample is made, that it is in reality broadly similar in characteristic to other season. What is hard this year is judging which teams will hold ground, which teams will make ground, and while will go backwards.