Ladder Prediction

[swansrule100]

found a cool site

if you go through and select your tips for each game left it will show u what ur ladder will end up being

http://www.allthestats.com/stats/ladderpredict.asp

u may have to sign up to use it but its quick and free

i got

1 St Kilda
2 Bris Lions
3 Melbourne
4 Port Adelaide
5 Sydney
6 Geelong
7 Essendon
8 Kangaroos

9 Fremantle
10 Collingwood
11 Adelaide
12 West Coast
13 Carlton
14 W Bulldogs
15 Richmond
16 Hawthorn


and i tipped the swans to win all but the dockers game

[Bart]

Re: Ladder Prediction

I have us 4th winning every game

As you can see Geelong is the big 8 pointer. Win that one and we a chance. Lose it and 4th is gone I would think.

Lions at the Gabba week 1 - I'll take that

1 Bris Lions 22 17 5
2 Port Adelaide 22 17 5
3 Melbourne 22 16 6
4 Sydney 22 16 6
5 Geelong 22 14 8
6 St Kilda 22 13 9
7 Kangaroos 22 13 9
8 Fremantle 22 12 10
9 Essendon 22 12 10 0
10 West Coast 22 10 12
11 Adelaide 22 9 13
12 Collingwood 22 9 13
13 Carlton 22 6 16
14 W Bulldogs 22 4 18
15 Hawthorn 22 4 18
16 Richmond 22 4 18

[swansrule100]

Round Rd 16
Mar
WC v Ess Sub
Carl v Kang OO
Rich v StK TD
Coll v Bris MCG
Adel v Frem FP
Geel v Syd SS
Haw v Port MCG
Melb v WB TD

ALL home teams but sydney and stkilda win

Round Rd 17
Mar
StK v Ess TD
Kang v Haw MCG
Frem v Syd Sub
Bris v Adel Gabba
WB v Coll TD
Port v WC FP
Geel v Carl TD
Rich v Melb MCG

all home teams but sydney collingwood and melbourne win

Round Rd 18
Mar
Adel v Kang FP
Carl v Frem OO
Coll v Rich MCG
Ess v Port TD
Syd v Bris SCG
Geel v StK SS
Melb v Haw MCG
WC v WB Sub

every home team wins

Round Rd 19
Mar
Frem v Coll Sub
StK v Adel YP
Ess v Carl MCG
Syd v Kang SCG
WB v Haw TD
Bris v WC Gabba
Rich v Geel MCG
Port v Melb FP

all home teams except adelaide, geelong and win


Round Rd 20
Mar
Ess v Coll MCG
Geel v Frem SS
Haw v Bris MCG
WB v Port Mar
Melb v Syd TD
Adel v Rich FP
Kang v StK TD
WC v Carl Sub

all home teams win except sydney win away

Round Rd 21
Mar
Coll v Port MCG
Carl v Melb OO
Adel v Geel FP
Syd v Ess SA
WB v Kang TD
Bris v StK Gabba
Haw v Rich MCG
Frem v WC Sub

melbourne , kangaroos and richmond all win away

Round Rd 22
Mar
Coll v Carl MCG
Rich v Syd MCG
WC v Melb Sub
Bris v Kang Gabba
StK v Frem TD
Adel v Port FP
Ess v WB TD
Geel v Haw SS

all home teams win except sydney win away


and if this all happens u get the following ladder

1 Sydney 16 6
2 Bris Lions 15 7
3 Melbourne 15 7
4 St Kilda 14 8
5 Geelong 14 8
6 Port Adelaide 13 9
7 Essendon 13 9
8 Kangaroos 11 11

9 Adelaide 11 11
10 West Coast 11 11
11 Fremantle 10 12
12 Collingwood 10 12
13 Carlton 8 14
14 W Bulldogs 6 16
15 Richmond 5 17
16 Hawthorn 4 18

guess its a dream and a pointless post but i like that ladder

[penga]

Originally posted by swansrule100

all home teams win except sydney win away

Round Rd 21
Syd v Ess SA

FWIW, that is our home game... SA = Stadium Australia

[swansrule100]

nah thats from the round before

the prediction for round 21 is underneath it!

like this
Round Rd 21
Mar
Coll v Port MCG
Carl v Melb OO
Adel v Geel FP
Syd v Ess SA
WB v Kang TD
Bris v StK Gabba
Haw v Rich MCG
Frem v WC Sub

melbourne , kangaroos and richmond all win away

the bit about sydney winning away is for round 20

[midaro]

Here's the really frightening one. Picking the winners based on current ladder positions (including us beating Freo away):

1 St Kilda
2 Port Adelaide
3 Bris Lions
4 Melbourne
5 Geelong
6 Essendon
7 Kangaroos
8 Fremantle

9 Sydney
10 West Coast
11 Collingwood
12 Adelaide
13 Carlton
14 W Bulldogs
15 Richmond
16 Hawthorn

We miss the 8 on percentage. Who said "a win's a win"?

[swansrule100]

who did we lose to when we finish 9th??

the swans need to have a massive win somewhere

[midaro]

Originally posted by swansrule100
who did we lose to when we finish 9th??

Just to teams currently above us on the ladder... simple as that.

[swansrule100]

bugger

i like my ladder where we finish first better :P

[midaro]

Originally posted by swansrule100
bugger

i like my ladder where we finish first better :P

So do I.

[Damien]

Based on who I would tip each round...

We are playing Geelong at Telstra Stadium first week of the finals...I can live with that I think lol.

St. Kilda are nominated as the side to ruin Port at AAMI Stadium the first week of the finals

1 Bris Lions 22 17 5 0 2349 1947 68 120.64
2 Port Adelaide 22 17 5 0 2353 1972 68 119.32
3 St Kilda 22 16 6 0 2362 1928 64 122.51
4 Melbourne 22 16 6 0 2254 1970 64 114.41
5 Essendon 22 15 7 0 2307 2178 60 105.92
6 Sydney 22 14 8 0 1985 1910 56 103.92
7 Geelong 22 12 10 0 2040 1906 48 107.03
8 Fremantle 22 12 10 0 2005 1910 48 104.97

[swansrule100]

Originally posted by Damien
Based on who I would tip each round...

We are playing Geelong at Telstra Stadium first week of the finals...I can live with that I think lol.

St. Kilda are nominated as the side to ruin Port at AAMI Stadium the first week of the finals

1 Bris Lions 22 17 5 0 2349 1947 68 120.64
2 Port Adelaide 22 17 5 0 2353 1972 68 119.32
3 St Kilda 22 16 6 0 2362 1928 64 122.51
4 Melbourne 22 16 6 0 2254 1970 64 114.41
5 Essendon 22 15 7 0 2307 2178 60 105.92
6 Sydney 22 14 8 0 1985 1910 56 103.92
7 Geelong 22 12 10 0 2040 1906 48 107.03
8 Fremantle 22 12 10 0 2005 1910 48 104.97

i think based on that

bris v melb gabba
port v stk aami
ess v freo in melbourne

and sydney forced to play geelong in melbourne the way the afl is talking

[Damien]

Originally posted by Damien
Based on who I would tip each round...

We are playing Geelong at Telstra Stadium first week of the finals...I can live with that I think lol.

St. Kilda are nominated as the side to ruin Port at AAMI Stadium the first week of the finals

1 Bris Lions 22 17 5 0 2349 1947 68 120.64
2 Port Adelaide 22 17 5 0 2353 1972 68 119.32
3 St Kilda 22 16 6 0 2362 1928 64 122.51
4 Melbourne 22 16 6 0 2254 1970 64 114.41
5 Essendon 22 15 7 0 2307 2178 60 105.92
6 Sydney 22 14 8 0 1985 1910 56 103.92
7 Geelong 22 12 10 0 2040 1906 48 107.03
8 Fremantle 22 12 10 0 2005 1910 48 104.97

Actually mine would cause some problems - Don't the AFL want to play 2 games at the MCG first week?

Based on that ladder, Essendon are the only Melbourne club with game the first week.

They should get two in the 2nd week with Melbourne and St.Kilda the likely hosts of the Semi-Finals.

Big problems the Prelim week though with the possibility of 4 interstate clubs playing - and Port having to play their prelim in Melbourne.

[Charlie]

1 Bris Lions 22 17 5 0 2439 1857 68 131.34
2 Port Adelaide 22 17 5 0 2403 1922 68 125.02
3 Melbourne 22 16 6 0 2284 1940 64 117.73
4 St Kilda 22 15 7 0 2372 1918 60 123.67
5 Geelong 22 15 7 0 2110 1836 60 114.92
6 Sydney 22 14 8 0 2035 1860 56 109.40
7 Essendon 22 13 9 0 2327 2158 52 107.83
8 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2188 2048 44 106.83
9 West Coast 22 11 11 0 2035 2142 44 095.00
10 Fremantle 22 10 12 0 1975 1940 40 101.80
11 Adelaide 22 9 13 0 2078 2017 36 103.02
12 Collingwood 22 8 14 0 1888 2080 32 090.76
13 Carlton 22 8 14 0 1874 2344 32 079.94
14 Richmond 22 5 17 0 1735 2402 20 072.23
15 W Bulldogs 22 4 18 0 1907 2459 16 077.55
16 Hawthorn 22 3 19 0 1699 2426 12 070.03

Finals:
Brisbane vs St Kilda - Gabba
Port Adelaide vs Melbourne - AAMI Stadium
Geelong vs Kangaroos - MCG
Sydney vs Essendon - Stadium Australia

Leaves us tracking towards a probable semi-final against Melbourne at the MCG... ouch.

Obviously, what this doesn't really take into account is upsets. The only upset I really went for is the Roos to beat St Kilda. If we can avoid suffering upsets, but rather pull them off... the occasional upset can only be good for us.

edit: Apparently, I didn't even tip the Roos to beat St Kilda. So that's NO upsets. Or at least, major upsets. Minor upsets are too subjective.

[Damien]

Originally posted by swansrule100
i think based on that

bris v melb gabba
port v stk aami
ess v freo in melbourne

and sydney forced to play geelong in melbourne the way the afl is talking

Thinking about it though - I think the AFL would prefer to pay back the MCG next year rather than not allowing the Swans to have a home final.

It would be a big call to deny Sydney an AFL final with the amount invested in NSW over the past few years.