Ladder Predictor

[Legs Akimbo]

Was playing around with the "Toyota ladder predictor' on the afl website and here's the deal...

If we win all remaining games and the favourites win other games, we'll finish second. If same happens, but we lose to Adelaide next week, we'll finish third. If we finish third, we'll face Adelaide at AAMI stadium in week 1 - big ask. If we lost that, we'd have a home game to get into the preliminary. If we won that, we'd most likely face West Coast in W.A ...i.e. probably screwed.

So, assuming we can win the last three winnable games, the game vs. Adelaide is for second spot on the ladder and massively increased chance of participation in GF via home final in week 1. We MUST win this game.

We are however, very unlikely to miss the finals now. Even if we won only one of the remaining games, 48 points would probably see us sneak in.

[midaro]

Yep.
We'll make the finals for certain now, but third would be death.

[swans_premiers]

Adelaide haven't won 6 games in a row ever and they're currently sitting on 5.

Let's hope they stay on 5.

[Refried Noodle]

Re: Ladder Predictor

Originally posted by Legs Akimbo
If we win all remaining games and the favourites win other games, we'll finish second. If same happens, but we lose to Adelaide next week, we'll finish third. If we finish third, we'll face Adelaide at AAMI stadium in week 1 - big ask. If we lost that, we'd have a home game to get into the preliminary. If we won that, we'd most likely face West Coast in W.A ...i.e. probably screwed.

Entered in my tips to it too and with reasonable tipping gave Sydney finishing in 4th spot and two wins clear of 5th (Winning all games cept v Adelaide). I can't decide if 3rd is better or worse than 4th.

[DST]

Re: Re: Ladder Predictor

Originally posted by Refried Noodle
Entered in my tips to it too and with reasonable tipping gave Sydney finishing in 4th spot and two wins clear of 5th (Winning all games cept v Adelaide). I can't decide if 3rd is better or worse than 4th.

This year, fourth is much better than third.

If we played West Coast first up in Perth, it would mean we would have the luxury of playing them with the double chance.

No way would I want to be going to Perth to play a knock out final.

Also, word is the MCG deal is still not ready which would mean a Adelaide v Sydney prelim in Melbourne rather than Footy Park which makes it a real 50/50 game.

But that is getting to carries away 5 more tough games (for varying reasons) to come but our fate is in our own hands now.

DST

[Charlie]

Re: Re: Ladder Predictor

Originally posted by Refried Noodle
Entered in my tips to it too and with reasonable tipping gave Sydney finishing in 4th spot and two wins clear of 5th (Winning all games cept v Adelaide). I can't decide if 3rd is better or worse than 4th.

Beat Adelaide next week, and it might not matter - they have West Coast at Subiaco in round 22... meaning that all we'd need to do is keep winning to claim second.

[cruiser]

Re: Re: Re: Ladder Predictor

Originally posted by DST
This year, fourth is much better than third.

If we played West Coast first up in Perth, it would mean we would have the luxury of playing them with the double chance.

No way would I want to be going to Perth to play a knock out final.

Also, word is the MCG deal is still not ready which would mean a Adelaide v Sydney prelim in Melbourne rather than Footy Park which makes it a real 50/50 game.

Good point. If we dont beat Adelaide this weekend to try to grab 2nd then we should hope for 4th. But if we do play a final in Adelaide, we have a good finals record there

[cruiser]

Re: Re: Re: Ladder Predictor

Originally posted by Charlie
Beat Adelaide next week, and it might not matter - they have West Coast at Subiaco in round 22... meaning that all we'd need to do is keep winning to claim second.

They also have a 'showdown' against Port and their record in local derbys is not good.

[Xie Shan]

Re: Re: Re: Ladder Predictor

Originally posted by DST
Also, word is the MCG deal is still not ready which would mean a Adelaide v Sydney prelim in Melbourne rather than Footy Park which makes it a real 50/50 game.

This would be great for us, obviously, but it would be a shame for Adelaide getting screwed by the MCC contract twice in four years.
Oh well, what a pity!

I somehow think that if the Swans qualify for a home prelim, regardless of where they finish in the top 4 (that is if they remain top 4), the AFL will bend over backwards to make sure that it is played at Telstra Stadium - they don't want to miss out on the big $$$ that would come from another 70,000+ crowd at Homebush.

[barry]

Re: Re: Re: Re: Ladder Predictor

Originally posted by sydfan83

I somehow think that if the Swans qualify for a home prelim, regardless of where they finish in the top 4 (that is if they remain top 4), the AFL will bend over backwards to make sure that it is played at Telstra Stadium - they don't want to miss out on the big $$$ that would come from another 70,000+ crowd at Homebush.

And associated TV rights $$ up for grabs this year.
Bigger TV audience in Sydney if the game is in Sydney.

[Schneiderman]

Originally posted by midaro
Yep.
We'll make the finals for certain now, but third would be death.

Well we could always win it and go straight into the PF. Its not out of the realms of possibility. I think it may have been done before.