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  • Jeffers1984
    Veterans List
    • Jan 2003
    • 4564

    #31
    Main thing is we finish top 4. Then i'll worry about who we play in the finals.
    Official Driver Of The "Who Gives A @@@@ As The Player Will Get Delisted Anyway" Bandwagon.

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    • barry
      Veterans List
      • Jan 2003
      • 8499

      #32
      Originally posted by NMWBloods
      Of course, the other issue to factor in if losing is who we will play in the SF - we still have to win that to actually worry aboutthe PF!
      I wonder what the stats are for top 4 losers, winning in the 2nd week where a significant home ground advantage exists.
      I'd guess its close to 90%.

      Even Port were doing it in their choking years.

      Comment

      • Maureenjenkin
        On the Rookie List
        • Sep 2003
        • 39

        #33
        I am worried about the Essendon game this week. I couldn't remember the last time we defeated Essendon here in Melbourne, I knew it was a long time ago. I looked it up on the AFL statistics site - it was in 1989 at Windy Hill by 5 points. Let's hope that the streak doe not continue. I will be barracking hard.

        Cheers

        MaureenI

        Comment

        • Thunder Shaker
          Aut vincere aut mori
          • Apr 2004
          • 4166

          #34
          Originally posted by barry
          I wonder what the stats are for top 4 losers, winning in the 2nd week where a significant home ground advantage exists.
          I'd guess its close to 90%.

          Even Port were doing it in their choking years.
          Since the current finals system was introduced that gave an advantage to the top four (2000?), only one side from the bottom four has made it to a preliminary final. The implication is that all but one semi final was won by the top four side that lost the previous week.

          If the system was introduced in 2000, then there have been ten semi finals. Thus your guess of 90% would be spot on.
          "Unbelievable!" -- Nick Davis leaves his mark on the 2005 semi final

          Comment

          • NMWBloods
            Taking Refuge!!
            • Jan 2003
            • 15819

            #35
            Doesn't surprise me. It's a major advantage, particularly when one of the sides is often an interstate one. Doesn't mean it's a given though.
            Captain Logic is not steering this tugboat.

            "[T]here are things that matter more and he's reading and thinking about them: heaven, reincarnation. Life and death are the only things that are truly a matter of life and death. Not football."

            Comment

            • barry
              Veterans List
              • Jan 2003
              • 8499

              #36
              Originally posted by Thunder Shaker
              Since the current finals system was introduced that gave an advantage to the top four (2000?), only one side from the bottom four has made it to a preliminary final. The implication is that all but one semi final was won by the top four side that lost the previous week.

              If the system was introduced in 2000, then there have been ten semi finals. Thus your guess of 90% would be spot on.
              Do you know what that team was, and who the 2nd final was against ?
              Was it a "neutral" venue ?

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