YOUR prediction on where the swans will finish after th H & A season

[sharp9]

2nd.

My (very) detailed list analysis will follow sometime over the weekend but I can give you the overall result now which is that best list x prospects for improvement = rating for the season sees the following prediction

Adelaide
Sydney
Brisbane
St. Kilda
Bulldogs
Hawthorn
Essendon
West Coast
Collingwood
Melbourne
Richmond
Port Adelaide
Geelong
Kangaroos
Fremantle
Carlton

Things to note...many teams have a lot of talent at the top but little or no depth (Melb, Eagles)

Geelong are just ordinary and have less depth than most other teams as well. They will struggle.

Ditto Kangaroos.

Bulldogs, Richmond and Adelaide are the teams most poised to improve dramatically (a la Sydney 2005)

Adelaide were minor premiers despite having huge scope for improvement. Be afraid, be very, very afraid.

On a simple list analysis (which takes into account the ENTIRE 22) it is St. Kilda at the top, slightly ahead of Sydney.

Eagles are 5th equal with Essendon.

[Ryan Bomford]

Originally posted by sharp9

My rating for the season sees the following prediction

Adelaide
Sydney
Brisbane
St. Kilda
Bulldogs
Hawthorn
Essendon
West Coast
Collingwood
Melbourne
Richmond
Port Adelaide
Geelong
Kangaroos
Fremantle
Carlton

Geez, gutsy call Sharp and I can hardly wait for the supporting analysis. This is far more imaginative than the professional analysts who are predicting, more or less, the status quo from last year as least as far as the H&A goes.

[swans4ever]

Geelong
Adelaide
Swans
West Coast
St Kilda
Melbourne
Kangaroos
Bulldogs

Fremantle
Essendon
Collingwood
Brisbane
Richmond
Port Adelaide
Hawthorn
Carlton

[Legs Akimbo]

West Coast
Adelaide
Swans
Geelong
St Kilda
Melbourne
Fremantle
Collingwood
W. Bulldogs
Kangaroos
Port Adelaide
Essendon
Brisbane
Richmond
Hawthorn
Carlton

Melbourne Media to crack it because top three sides are interstate.

I think this year is make or break for Saints with their current list, but Ithink they are looking vulnerable. Brisbane will struggle but win will a few at home. (Fixter will come good for them) Essendon will be better next year. Bulldogs could go either way but they have injury problems.

[RogueSwan]

I used the AFL Excel fixture, unprotecting it of course. I then went through a did a win/loss for each game throwing in the occassional upset and came up with this.
Geelong 68
West Coast 68
Sydney 64
St. Kilda 64
Adelaide 60
Melbourne 44
Brisbane Lions 44
Western Bulldogs 44
Fremantle 44
Kangaroos 40
Port Adelaide 36
Richmond 36
Essendon 32
Collingwood 28
Hawthorn 16
Carlton 16

There seems to be a belief that Collingwood will be big improvers but other teams will also improve, enough to keep the Pies low in the table.

[dimelb]

Geelong
Sydney
Adelaide
West Coast

[Carolyn]

I would love the Swans to come 1st but I think they are going to come 3rd

Adelaide
Geelong
Swans
St Kilda
West Coast
Fremantle
Brisbane
Melbourne

Port Adelaide
Bulldogs
Essendon
Kangaroos
Collingwood
Richmond
Hawthorn
Carlton

[Zlatorog]

I hope they'll finish 4th.

[Big Al]

Adelaide
Geelong
Sydney
St Kilda

Fremantle
Brisbane
West Coast
Melbourne

Finals Fremantle d Melbourne
Brisbane d West Coast
Adelaide d St Kilda
Sydney d Geelong

Geelong d Fremantle
St Kilda d Brisbane

Sydney d St Kilda 73,000 at Telstra by 40 points
Geelong d Adelaide

Sydney d Geelong 12 point win after leading by 45 at half time

Well you can only dream

[ROK Lobster]

7th. Lose first final. Dream is over.

[Big Al]

Originally posted by ROK Lobster
7th. Lose first final. Dream is over.

Party Pooper

[Thunder Shaker]

Originally posted by Schneiderman
What about the GF??

The Eagles were not on top of the ladder at the time.

In each match I listed, the Swans won against opponents that were on top of the ladder at the time. In each case, the Swans were the first opponent to inflict losses, and other losses followed.

QF 2003 - Port were on top (18/22) but lost to us. They won the semi final but then lost the prelim. (1/3)

R11 2004 - The Saints were on top undefeated (10/10). They lost to us and their season went pearshaped. (7/15)

R17 2005 - The Eagles were flying high (16/17). After the Swans the Eagles lost form. (3/9)

Before Swans they look good: 90% win percentage (44/49)
After Swans exposed the pretenders: 41% (11/27)

[ROK Lobster]

Originally posted by Big Al
Party Pooper

Comng down tomorrow Big Al to watch the little'uns?

[Big Al]

Originally posted by ROK Lobster
Comng down tomorrow Big Al to watch the little'uns?

Nope. Going to the races at Rosehill tomorrow to throw away money on donkeys masquerading as thoroughbreds.

[Reggi]

2rd