Top 4 door opens

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  • barry
    Veterans List
    • Jan 2003
    • 8499

    Top 4 door opens

    Both Port and North loosing games they were expected to win, opens the door ever so slightly for us to finish top 4.
  • annew
    Senior Player
    • Mar 2006
    • 2164

    #2
    But we would have to win every game to finish top 4.

    Comment

    • Mike_B
      Peyow Peyow
      • Jan 2003
      • 6267

      #3
      Originally posted by barry
      Both Port and North loosing games they were expected to win, opens the door ever so slightly for us to finish top 4.
      I know it's a cliche about one week at a time, but while top 4 is still possible, missing the 8 is also a reality, so I'd much prefer us to just focus on the game at ahnd, win that, and worry about the outcomes later.

      I don't agree though about North being expected to win in Brisbane - Brisbane are on fire at the moment and while a month ago we could have expected a win up there in 2 weeks time, it's going to be a VERY tough game, especially with Jonathan Brown in the form he's in.

      I'm on the Chandwagon!!!

      If you cannot compete for the premiership, it's better to be young and exciting than middle-aged and dowdy.

      Comment

      • Zlatorog
        Senior Player
        • Jan 2006
        • 1748

        #4
        Although some results might fall our way, that still doesn't mean anything unless our players start winning the games that count. Top 4 is only viable if they win at the GABBA, which in my view is becoming less and less certain.
        Caution is in order as said by Mike above. If we are not careful we might mis top 8 altogether.
        Last edited by Zlatorog; 5 August 2007, 12:08 PM. Reason: Correcting my typos

        Comment

        • hammo
          Veterans List
          • Jul 2003
          • 5554

          #5
          Originally posted by Zlatorog
          If we are not careful we might miss top 8 altogether.
          Especially with the Gerhig / Reiwoldt and then Brown shows to come - our understrengthed defence will really get tested.
          "As everyone knows our style of football is defensive and unattractive, and as such I have completely forgotten how to mark or kick over the years" - Brett Kirk

          Comment

          • shaun..
            Stuck in Reserves
            • Jun 2007
            • 691

            #6
            Originally posted by Zlatorog
            Although some results might fall our way, that still doesn't mean anything unless our players start winning the games that count. Top 4 is only viable if they win at the GABBA, which in my view is becoming less and less certain.
            Caution is in order as said by Mike above. If we are not careful we might mis top 8 altogether.
            Correct, while results seem to be going our way for a top 4 prospect, it also means it could be equally devastating if we lose one or two games with our run home
            "In some ways we?re less predictable to ourselves and sometimes that can be detrimental because we don?t really know where we?re going" - P.Roos

            Comment

            • barry
              Veterans List
              • Jan 2003
              • 8499

              #7
              The permutations are doing my head in, but I think there is an extremely good chance that if we win 3 of our next 4 we will finish top 4. As long as the loss is not to one of our fellow top 4 contenders (ie we can lose to Brisbane or St Kilda).

              Amazing to think 13 wins can get you top 4.

              Comment

              • swantastic
                Veterans List
                • Jan 2006
                • 7275

                #8
                Originally posted by hammo
                Especially with the Gerhig / Reiwoldt and then Brown shows to come - our understrengthed defence will really get tested.
                Dont worry hammo,Leo will be back and Gayrig is out of sorts ATM.As long as we can drag sooky boy up the ground it will help us out alot.What can i say about Jonno he is on fire ATM,but i reckon we can keep him quiet the ones i worry about are Adcock and Brennan.
                Now this is a thread that i would expect on the ego -centric, wank session that is redandwhiteonline.com...

                Comment

                • Bloody Hell
                  Senior Player
                  • Oct 2006
                  • 3085

                  #9
                  Originally posted by hammo
                  Especially with the Gerhig / Reiwoldt and then Brown shows to come - our understrengthed defence will really get tested.
                  Craig Bolton.

                  If this man goes down we're @@@@@@.
                  The eternal connundrum "what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object" was finally solved when David Hasselhoff punched himself in the face.

                  Comment

                  • shaun..
                    Stuck in Reserves
                    • Jun 2007
                    • 691

                    #10
                    Yep, a bigger loss than Leo
                    "In some ways we?re less predictable to ourselves and sometimes that can be detrimental because we don?t really know where we?re going" - P.Roos

                    Comment

                    • dawson
                      Senior Player
                      • Mar 2003
                      • 1007

                      #11
                      The key is our percentage. Normally not very good - this year it is.
                      In affect it acts as an extra win which is why three wins should be enough - especially if Collingwood and Hawthorn are two of the three.

                      Comment

                      • TheHood
                        On the Rookie List
                        • Jan 2003
                        • 1938

                        #12
                        Keys to Success

                        St Kilda: Never played at TS before, lock up midfield wil halt supply to the dangerous Reiwoldt. SK been excellent off halfback, forwards must work hard and entry into 50 needs a 20% improvement on today.

                        Brisbane: No need to worry about Brown if supply is strangled. Lions fear Sydney, its been a while since they recorded a win against the Swans. Big hearts required at the stoppages because if Brisbane win those, they are faster and the star up forward could crush us.

                        Collingwood: Eratic form of late. Lucky to beat Carlton. Might just think that they are safe at home. Sydney's MCG record excellent, better that most Melbourne clubs. Must have a strong tag on Dale. Maybe Crouch will be in form by then. Ditto on the fast transition off half back.

                        Hawthorn: Haven't played on the SCG in ages. Should lose their nerve by Round 22 though can be dangerous. Beat them when we were in poor form. Spida a key for us. Pressure skills will be required as the Hawks hate being under pressure. Well known for their ability to kick and handpass backwards ALL day long.

                        Why should we lost any of these games? Brisbane will be the toughest one but very winnable.
                        The Pain of Discipline is Nothing Like The Pain of Disappointment

                        Comment

                        • Captain
                          Captain of the Side
                          • Feb 2004
                          • 3602

                          #13
                          Originally posted by annew
                          But we would have to win every game to finish top 4.
                          I don't agree, we can still make the 4 even if we drop one more.

                          Comment

                          • Hazcam
                            On the Rookie List
                            • Jun 2007
                            • 324

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Captain
                            I don't agree, we can still make the 4 even if we drop one more.
                            Not true, well "mathematically" yes but due to the log jam at the top you will need 56 point and % to make the top 4. It could actually come down to the last game vs Hawthorn, where a win could put us as high as 3rd and a loss at 6th.

                            Comment

                            • top40
                              Regular in the Side
                              • May 2007
                              • 933

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Captain
                              I don't agree, we can still make the 4 even if we drop one more.
                              In the 12 seasons past since the introduction of a 16 team/final 8 competition, there have been two instances of teams making to the final four with 13 wins. First, Adelaide in 1997, (who went on to win the premiership); and second, Collingwood in 2002, (who made the Grand Final that year and were only a goal and a half away from a flag)

                              Comment

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