2 or 3 winnable crunch games will decide if we finish 4th.

[Triple B]

No doubt we have a tough run, but we are 6 points clear and realistically those sides 6 points behind us are the only 3 sides who can tip us out of 4th.

Let's have a look at their run home:

Pies:
Adelaide (h)
North
Essendon
Hawthorn
StKilda
Port (a)
Sydney (h)
Freo (a)

Crows:
Collingwood (a)
Port
Sydney (a)
Carlton (h)
Richmond (h)
Essendon (a)
StKilda (a)
Bulldogs (h)

Lions:
Essendon (a)
West Coast (h)
Richmond (a)
North (GC)
Hawthorn (a)
Bulldogs (h)
Carlton (h)
Sydney (a)

If we win only 4 of our remaining 8 games, those sides behind us must still win 6 of the last 8 to get past us.

It's not hard to see a few losses for the other teams in their run home, but I guess they are all winnable.

Therefore, beating Carlton and Freo is a must and we'll be short odds to complete that double.

It's an old cliche, but the Adelaide, Collingwood and Brisbane games are absolutely 8 point games. Win 2 of those and i reckon 4th spot is sewn up, almost regardless of us sneaking a win over Hawks, Cats, or Bullies..

[mcs]

if we are good enough we will make the eight If we are not, then we wont. IMO Collingwood and Brisbane are the only two in with a shot of getting in front of us. Adelaide do have a resaonable draw but I reckon they really have gone backwards the last few weeks and might be about to struggle for the rest of the season like we might (Or might not)
The eight pointers are the critical games. I expect us to beat Brisbane in Sydney and I would hope we can finally break the stupid Adelaide hodoo, but Collingwood is almost a write off imo.

Looking at the draws, we have the hardest draw on paper, but I dont think any team has it that easy. The Pies for Instance have 4 big matches against Melbourne based clubs straight (North,Essendon, Hawthorn, St Kilda) and while you would expect them to win at least 3, they could also concievably only win one or 2.

But in the end, who knows? Take it one week at a time and see what happens. IMO the Pies was more of a speed bump (Perhaps now a major accident with the Barry Hall incident), but if we can manage to bounce back well against the Hawks (Even if we lose) then I still think we are in prime position to finish 4th.

[DST]

Beat Adelaide and Brisbane at home (along with wins against Freo and Carlton) we will finish fourth.

It is a very simple equation.

Wherther we will be in any shape to go further come finals than a preliminary final is another question and ar to early to call.

DST

[Thunder Shaker]

It's an old cliche, but the Adelaide, Collingwood and Brisbane games are absolutely 8 point games. Win 2 of those and i reckon 4th spot is sewn up

Win all 3 and it's a laydown mis?re.

[barry]

Running into the finals by beating Collingwood (MCG, Rnd 21) and Brisbane (SCG, Rnd 22) would be nice form.

[NTH DENI SWAN]

got nothing to worry about what is our run against the hawks and the blues good time to get them

[reigning premier]

Win all 3 and it's a laydown mis?re.

Not open misere?

[TheMase]

Been saying the same thing. We are still in a very good position.