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The Cats also had a training run at Kardinia Park against Brisbane today to help them get back into form. Yes we should beat Melbourne and Brisbane but it's hard to call the Hawthorn and Bulldogs games 50/50s. I'm desperately hopeful but I'm going to remain hopeful about our chances rather than optimistic at this stage. Seabs and Braddy back at the business end of the year could make things interesting though.
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Today's a draft of your epitaph -
I'm not being optimistic....nay....I'm just saying that there are reasons to think some results are possible....and that 5 of them would do!"I'll acknowledge there are more talented teams in the competition but I won't acknowledge that there is a better team in the competition" Paul Roos March 2005Comment
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North losing tonight basically gaurantees us making the finals if we beat one of Melbourne and Brisbane.
Beat those two and one of either Hawks, Dogs or Cats and we should get a home final.
DST"Looking forward to a rebuilt, new, fast and exciting Swans model in 2010"
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Bailey Ladder & Finals Predictor - AFL.com.au
I think we're going to end up playing the Hawks in the Finals...probably the one in the bottom 4 you wouldn't like to meet.The eternal connundrum "what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object" was finally solved when David Hasselhoff punched himself in the face.Comment
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And now they are still above us.
See, bad result for us.Comment
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Run home for the Swans: Loss, Maybe, Loss, Maybe, MaybeLast edited by sWAns63; 25 July 2010, 05:35 PM.Comment
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i wouldnt let some of the players run home, id drop them off on the way somewhere out in the forest
kirky can hang his head out the window like a dog, maybe he will fall outLast edited by swansrule100; 25 July 2010, 05:50 PM.Theres not much left to sayComment
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LOL LOL RAOTFLMAO...at me that is."I'll acknowledge there are more talented teams in the competition but I won't acknowledge that there is a better team in the competition" Paul Roos March 2005Comment
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Season over, red rover.In memory of my little Staffy - Dicey, 17.06.2005 to 1.12.2011- I'll miss you mate.Comment
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The only person more pessimistic than many of you guys is Paul Roos: Roos rating his side currently worthy of finishing anywhere between ?seventh and twelfth?. Of course, quotes taken out of the context of their full sentence can be misleading, and Roos might have been saying that, across our full season performance to date, we deserve to finish between seventh and twelfth.
However, if he was saying that we actually might finish 12th... geez, that'd be a stretch. The sides out of the 8 have almost universally awful percentage (the best is Melbourne with 94%, and for them % mostly doesn't matter as they've played a draw). Even presuming that we lose our last 5 games (naturally), a few of them by heavy margins, all of the teams on 12th to 15th spot on the ladder could catch up with us for wins (indeed, even West Coast could still match us for competition points... but I don't think the most gifted mathematician in the world could construct a scenario where the Swans finish last!). However, none of them could realistically catch our percentage. So they'd need to finish with one win more than us to consign us to 12th spot (and this is presuming that all of the teams positioned 9-11 win a few as well). Anyone feel like backing Essendon or Port to win 4 games in the run home? How about Brisbane or Richmond to win all 5?
As I think others might have intimated, Sydney could well and truly still make the 8 by winning just one more game. Following Adelaide's performance on the weekend, North Melbourne have by far the best chance of catching an existing top 8 side... and presuming just one more win for us, they still need to win 3 of their last 5 to get their noses in front. Bearing in mind that they play the Dogs and St Kilda (it's very hard to like their chances in either game), they would therefore have to win all 3 of their winnable games (Freo at home, West Coast away, Melbourne) to get over the top of us. The equation is even tougher for the only other teams with any meaningful chance at all, Adelaide and Melbourne, as they need to win 4 from 5 (except in the unlikely event that Adelaide can make up 183 points on us, to get ahead on percentage and therefore only need 3 wins). Adelaide has a shocker, being rewarded for beating Geelong by having to play the other 3 sides ensconced in the top 4 over the next 5 weeks! Melbourne, amazingly, has perhaps the best opportunity of any side outside the 8, in the sense that the worst assignment remaining for them is 6th-placed Hawthorn. If they repeat the dose from yesterday over and over again, they'll win all 5, make the 8 in a canter, and maybe push for 6th spot over Hawthorn! However, consistency has hardly been their friend in 2010, as is to be expected of a young side.
There are a huge number of mediocre teams in the comp in 2010 (but really none who have been chopping blocks week-in, week-out all year). That adds up to 'good news' (in heavily inverted commas) for averagely perfoming sides (like us) hoping to make the 8.
Maybe not such bad news, really. I think the finals experience from 2003 and 2004 was invaluable in 2005 (especially contrasting the 2004 qualifying final debacle with the 2005 PF last-quarter triumph), and even without the Swans 'playing the yoof' to the extent that some posters would like, the fact remains that something like half the side (11 players, easy) will play their first AFL final in Swans' colours if we make it. That's worth something if we make it to crunch time in 2011.Comment
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