New Ladder Prediction

[TheMase]

Just thought I would create a new one of these as we have lost the last couple.... Still have us just making the 8


1 Bris Lions 22 18 4 0 2457 1878 72 130.83
2 Port Adelaide 22 18 4 0 2368 1925 72 123.01
3 St Kilda 22 16 6 0 2394 1901 64 125.93
4 Melbourne 22 16 6 0 2247 1935 64 116.12
5 Geelong 22 15 7 0 2047 1848 60 110.76
6 Fremantle 22 12 10 0 2015 1901 48 105.99
7 Sydney 22 12 10 0 1938 1925 48 100.67
8 Essendon 22 12 10 0 2262 2252 48 100.44
9 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2193 2001 44 109.59
10 West Coast 22 10 12 0 2022 2155 40 093.82
11 Collingwood 22 8 14 0 1896 2055 32 092.26
12 Carlton 22 8 14 0 1914 2246 32 085.21
13 Adelaide 22 7 15 0 1996 2128 28 093.79
14 W Bulldogs 22 5 17 0 1958 2357 20 083.07
15 Richmond 22 5 17 0 1776 2337 20 075.99
16 Hawthorn 22 3 19 0 1735 2374 12 073.08


We lose to Brisbane and Melbourne.

[TheMase]

http://www.allthestats.com/stats/ladderpredict.asp

[robbieando]

Here's mine. I have us only losing to Brisbane

1 Bris Lions 22 18 4 0 2507 1828 72 137.14
2 Port Adelaide 22 18 4 0 2408 1885 72 127.74
3 St Kilda 22 16 6 0 2394 1901 64 125.93
4 Geelong 22 16 6 0 2087 1808 64 115.43
5 Melbourne 22 14 8 0 2237 1945 56 115.01
6 Sydney 22 13 9 0 1978 1885 52 104.93
7 Essendon 22 12 10 0 2262 2252 48 100.44
8 West Coast 22 12 10 0 2052 2125 48 096.56
9 Fremantle 22 11 11 0 2005 1911 44 104.91
10 Kangaroos 22 10 12 0 2163 2031 40 106.49
11 Carlton 22 9 13 0 1914 2246 36 085.21
12 Adelaide 22 7 15 0 1976 2148 28 091.99
13 Collingwood 22 7 15 0 1876 2075 28 090.40
14 Richmond 22 6 16 0 1766 2347 24 075.24
15 W Bulldogs 22 5 17 0 1948 2367 20 082.29
16 Hawthorn 22 2 20 0 1645 2464 8 066.76

Therefore

Week 1 -
Melbourne vs West Coast (MCG) Friday Night
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda (AAMI) Saturday
Sydney vs Essendon (TS) Saturday Night
Brisbane vs Geelong (GABBA) Sunday

Week 2 -
St Kilda vs Sydney (MCG) Friday Night
Geelong vs Melbourne (MCG) Saturday Night

Week 3 -
Port Adelaide vs Geelong (MCG) Saturday
Brisbane vs Sydney (GABBA) Saturday Night

Week 4 - Grand Final (MCG) Saturday

[TheMase]

Originally posted by robbieando
Here's mine. I have us only losing to Brisbane

Therefore

Week 1 -
Melbourne vs West Coast (MCG) Friday Night
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda (AAMI) Saturday
Sydney vs Essendon (TS) Saturday Night
Brisbane vs Geelong (GABBA) Sunday

Week 2 -
St Kilda vs Sydney (MCG) Friday Night
Geelong vs Melbourne (MCG) Saturday Night

Week 3 -
Port Adelaide vs Geelong (MCG) Saturday
Brisbane vs Sydney (GABBA) Saturday Night

Week 4 - Grand Final (MCG) Saturday

Gee.. I hope you're right Robbie. Because THAT is do-able (up until Brisbane), if we can get some fitness and form up in the run into the finals!

[Damien]

I tried to do mine, but the page I am using seems to be suggesting Richmond beat Melbourne last weekend, which is putting Melbourne out of the top 4 for me at the end of the year.

[Grant]

Heres mine,with us losing to to brisbane and melbourne

1 Bris Lions 22 18 4 0 2457 1878 72 130.83
2 Port Adelaide 22 17 5 0 2358 1935 68 121.86
3 St Kilda 22 16 6 0 2394 1901 64 125.93
4 Melbourne 22 15 7 0 2237 1945 60 115.01
5 Geelong 22 15 7 0 2047 1848 60 110.76
6 Essendon 22 13 9 0 2272 2242 52 101.33
7 Fremantle 22 12 10 0 2015 1901 48 105.99
8 Sydney 22 12 10 0 1938 1925 48 100.67
9 West Coast 22 11 11 0 2032 2145 44 094.73
10 Kangaroos 22 10 12 0 2183 2011 40 108.55
11 Carlton 22 9 13 0 1924 2236 36 086.04
12 Adelaide 22 8 14 0 2006 2118 32 094.71
13 Collingwood 22 7 15 0 1886 2065 28 091.33
14 W Bulldogs 22 5 17 0 1958 2357 20 083.07
15 Richmond 22 5 17 0 1776 2337 20 075.99
16 Hawthorn 22 3 19 0 1735 2374 12 073.08

And it does say that richmond beat melbourne last week too.

[NMWBloods]

Originally posted by robbieando
Here's mine. I have us only losing to Brisbane

And in what fantasy world is this the case?

[barry]

Mase's prediction is the worst possible. We get a sudden death final in Perth!.

We are bottom 4 for sure, so all I can hope for is a home final or one in Melbourne.

Win that, and I'd be content with this year.

[j s]

Originally posted by robbieando
Week 3 -
Port Adelaide vs Geelong (MCG) Saturday
Brisbane vs Sydney (GABBA) Saturday Night

Week 4 - Grand Final (MCG) Saturday

Grand Final: Geelong vs Sydney (MCG) Saturday

(Will the Lee household survive this?)

Nice touch Robbie, organising for Port to miss their home final despite winning their QF.

Only one possible problem - does the TD rule apply in week 2? If so the Saints will undoubtedly play there. But if the TD rule is only week 1 then the "G" it will be (to pay back the game owed from last year)

[NMWBloods]

Originally posted by barry
We are bottom 4 for sure, so all I can hope for is a home final or one in Melbourne.

Win that, and I'd be content with this year.

Same.

In some ways though, I'd like to see us play a final in Melbourne in the first round, rather than at home. I think finals experience at the MCG would be very useful for next year.

[robbieando]

Originally posted by NMWBloods
And in what fantasy world is this the case?

My own

In any case we could win 4 out of our last 5, with the Demons match being a bit of an upset. But seeing as the game is at the Dome I can see us upseting the Dees.

Still got to think positive NMW.

[robbieando]

Originally posted by j s
Nice touch Robbie, organising for Port to miss their home final despite winning their QF.

Well with the rules as they are and with the Lions finishing first (on my ladder) and winning its QF, it would mean Port would miss out on a home Prelim Final.

Only one possible problem - does the TD rule apply in week 2?

No, only week one thankfully.

[dev]

PORT .....72
LIONS.....68
ST KILDA.64
MELB.......64
GEE.........64
SWANS....52
FREO.......48
WCE........48

If we can beat Brisbane, is it possible Geelong might beat St Kilda at SS and give Port the chance to end the season on top. Port have 4 sure wins and a good chance against Melb in SA.

[floppinab]

Hmmmmmm,

Looks like if we can't get 6th we 8th would be preferrable, want to try to avoid that trip to Perth.

Agreed that a final in Meb. would be a good thing

[barry]

Ideally, we would want:

- To finish 6th and host freo first up.
Otherwise, finish 5th and host a melb team, or finish 7th or 8th and play a melbourne team

- Have Brisbane and Port finish 1-2, and both win first finals.
That way, in the 2nd week of the finals we will play a melbourne team in melbourne
And "hopefully", qualify for the preliminary which has to be played at the MCG, making it a neutral game against Port or Brisbane.