Crowd Predictions for Sydney vs Collingwood

[Matt79]

62,000

[top40]

There was 72,000 back in 2003 on a wet cold night, when that season club membership was less than 20,000. If the game is properly promoted by the AFL and the two clubs, and Sydney are 15 and 3 and on top of the ladder, I can't see wny the crowd could not approach 75,000.

Another postitive factor is that there are no international rugby games on that weekend. The NRL have a South Sydney-Manly game (admittably two top 8 teams) playing in far away Gosford that night.

I stand by what I wrote above, if conditions are right the crowd will be 75,000 plus.

[BillyRayCypress]

I stand by what I wrote above, if conditions are right the crowd will be 75,000 plus.

Conditions are right like $100 bill give aways, free beers and $3:90 chips. Otherwise, nah . about 25,000 too many.

[BillyRayCypress]

Will the fact that Collingwood will be playing at Skoda this week will have any impact on the crowd for our game?

They'll case the houses this time and then break in next time. So no.

[top40]

Conditions are right like $100 bill give aways, free beers and $3:90 chips. Otherwise, nah . about 25,000 too many.

Why do you say this in light of the 2003 Swans-Collingwood crowd?.What's changed in 9 years?:

1. Sydney's Swans membership is higher-less than 20,000 in 2003 in Sydney, now almost 30,000.
2. Sydney's population has grown by 600,000-4.0 million in 2003, 4.6 million in 2012.
3. Registered junior AFL players have dramatically increased since 2003.
4. The Swans have in the past 7 years have won a Premiership and been in two Grand Finals.
5. The Pies in the past 3 years have won a Premiership and been in three Grand Finals.
6. For the 2003 game, Sydney had lost 7 games and were placed only 4th on the ladder. Compared with this year: 3 losses and 1st on the ladder.
7. The Round 1 ANZ game in 2003, Swans v Carlton, the crowd was only 30,000. The Round 1 ANZ game in 2012, GWS v Swans, the crowd was nearly 40,000.

So why would one be so gloomy about a really big crowd?.

[Dirtyburt]

So why would one be so gloomy about a really big crowd?.

Realism! The AFL propped the games up at the start of the homebush contract. They gave away a heap of tickets to junior clubs, or frankly anyone who could spell afl. It wa a novelty and people went.

Reality says unless it is a big final we won't see that crowd repeated again

[aardvark]

Be lucky to crack 45K I reckon.

[top40]

Why wouldnt the AFL prop this game up, particularly in light of the push to the Western Suburbs. I also thought I had made a point about the comparable 2003/2012 Round 1 games at Homebush. Round 1 2003 Sydney play a traditional Victorian team with a high following in NSW such as Carlton, whereupon just over 30,000 turn up. Hardly up an example of a successful prop up by the AFL nine years ago

Gee I hope the generals in Melbourne are reading the thread.

One other factor. In 2003 Sydney's past four years had seen them play in just two finals games, whereupn they were badly beaten both times. As of 2012 Sydney, in the past four years have played in six finals games, won three and almost won a fourth. Bottom line is that Sydney siders love a recent winner.

[BillyRayCypress]

Why do you say this in light of the 2003 Swans-Collingwood crowd?.What's changed in 9 years?:

So why would one be so gloomy about a really big crowd?.

I would love to see another 70 K plus crowd. Once you start getting near capacity then IMO it is better than the SCG because of the volume.

Sydney is fickle at the best of times. The AFL should be handing out tickets to junior players to get them to come to the game.

Sit them up on level 6.

[Teasdale77]

347,000.

Any less would be an insult and paint a clear picture of the damage gws has done.

LOL I've been to a couple of GWS games and i don't think those people used to go to Swans games. Pit bull fights maybe.


I expect 45,000 with 23,000 of them being Pies fans.

[A swans fan]

42,000 would be a great turn up, given small crowd numbers generally this year.

[DLBIA14]

I might be optimistic, but if we beat GC and Carlton AND Collingwood doesn't have a meltdown (which is the sort of bad form they are currently flirting with), 50 000+ might show. Collingwood fans travel well, Sydney fans have been waiting for this day for what has seemingly been their whole lives (7 years in bunny years is a long time ) and the bandwagoners have enough time to wake up to themselves. This town does love a winner and we do know from past experience that 70 000 had enough interest to come to a game. Out of hibernation they'll come.

Frankly we deserve a big crowd and I hope everyone going here is dragging a few others along with them.

[Gezball]

58000 if the weather is good. 44000 if the weather is bad. Can't wait!!!

[Dave]

51003

[Wardy]

Lots !!!! We should beat Carlton and hopefully this will spark the interest in the game - how good would it be if we pants the pies???