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  • Dirtyburt
    Suspended by the MRP
    • Apr 2012
    • 853

    #31
    Originally posted by dimelb
    Beau Waters is a serious out for the Eagles. Tilts the balance to the Pies, I think.
    Waters is a Beauty AA I would think. If he is serious injury, it will hurt them. Like Adelaide it is their defence which can be exploited

    Comment

    • Cant turn right
      Warming the Bench
      • Dec 2007
      • 231

      #32
      Originally posted by ugg
      Every year the teams that lose the Qualifying Final get talked down and the victor in the Elimination Final gets talked up (we were in this boat in 2008 and 2010) but the fact remains that in the past 10 years, 39 out of the 40 teams that play in a Preliminary Final are the Top 4 teams. That means only once out of 20 semi finals has the lower ranked team won. I'd back Collingwood and Adelaide to win this week.
      Agreed, I'll be amazed if Collingwood and Adelaide don't get through.

      Comment

      • goswannie14
        Leadership Group
        • Sep 2005
        • 11166

        #33
        Originally posted by Cant turn right
        Agreed, I'll be amazed if Collingwood and Adelaide don't get through.
        Prepare to be amazed. WCE and Crows to get through.
        Does God believe in Atheists?

        Comment

        • Dirtyburt
          Suspended by the MRP
          • Apr 2012
          • 853

          #34
          WCE vs pies will be a belter. Hopefully they hit each other bloody hard

          Comment

          • Bloody Hell
            Senior Player
            • Oct 2006
            • 3085

            #35
            Originally posted by goswannie14
            I'm tipping that we will play WCE in the PF.
            They were impressive against North and as noted above the Pies seem to be going downhill since they beat us.
            The eternal connundrum "what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object" was finally solved when David Hasselhoff punched himself in the face.

            Comment

            • Cheer Squad
              Sydney Swans
              • Apr 2007
              • 1948

              #36
              I wouldn't be surprised if Fremantle knock off the Crows. They were awesome against Geelong.

              Comment

              • cruiser
                What the frack!
                • Jul 2004
                • 6114

                #37
                Originally posted by The Big Cat
                No such thing. It's the Law of Probability and has nothing to do with averages but rather factors which have various influences on the result. If Collingwood have better personnel and effectively counter our game plan, then the Laws of Probability say they will continue to beat us. If the result was always a 50 - 50 chance then probability would say we have a 50% chance of winning next time. If we have always had a 50 - 50 chance of beating them then losing the last ten in a row would have had a probability of 1024 to 1.
                Whatever.
                Occupational hazards:
                I don't eat animals since discovering this ability. I used to. But one day the lamb I was eating came through to me and ever since then I haven't been able to eat meat.
                - animal psychic Amanda de Warren

                Comment

                • Triple B
                  Formerly 'BBB'
                  • Feb 2003
                  • 6999

                  #38
                  Originally posted by cruiser
                  Whatever.
                  LOL, you missed your chance for the pedantic retort to his pedantic reply Cruiser, it's one chance in 1024 which is 1023 to 1, not 1024 to 1....
                  Driver of the Dan Hannebery bandwagon....all aboard. 4th April 09

                  Comment

                  • Triple B
                    Formerly 'BBB'
                    • Feb 2003
                    • 6999

                    #39
                    Originally posted by ugg
                    Every year the teams that lose the Qualifying Final get talked down and the victor in the Elimination Final gets talked up (we were in this boat in 2008 and 2010) but the fact remains that in the past 10 years, 39 out of the 40 teams that play in a Preliminary Final are the Top 4 teams. That means only once out of 20 semi finals has the lower ranked team won. I'd back Collingwood and Adelaide to win this week.
                    I've won handsomely over the years following this very rule. I'd have won even more however would never bet against Sydney when they were ridiculously short before the Hawks semi last year. I know the prices were seriously all over the place because of the Buddy knee factor, but we were never entitled to be anywhere near favourites on the back of a win over StKilda.

                    That said, if the rule is ever going to be broken, the Pies/Weagles game is when it will happen given it is 4 v 5 and there was not much between them in the end. If not for a seriously bad injury run which is now better, the Eagles probably would have edged the Pies out of 4th.

                    Maybe I'm just hoping for a Weagles win. We obviously have an excellent recent record against them and they are travelling to Melbourne this week on a 6 day break and if they win will need to come back to Sydney, again on a 6-day break. May just be the straw that breaks that camel's back...
                    Driver of the Dan Hannebery bandwagon....all aboard. 4th April 09

                    Comment

                    • GoRhino
                      Pushing for Selection
                      • Aug 2008
                      • 68

                      #40
                      Originally posted by Dogzbody
                      Any news on ticketing? AFL website is not giving any valuable info. I need to organize ravel and leave etc as we are playing on Friday night. Any help appreciated.
                      Could anyone in the know advise if there is any doubt about the Venue for the Preliminary Final. There has been some scuttlebuck in the media that there is a possibility the game could be played at the SCG.

                      Comment

                      • neilfws
                        Senior Player
                        • Aug 2009
                        • 1834

                        #41
                        Originally posted by GoRhino
                        Could anyone in the know advise if there is any doubt about the Venue for the Preliminary Final. There has been some scuttlebuck in the media that there is a possibility the game could be played at the SCG.
                        It's booked in for the Friday night at ANZ.

                        I think the confusion came about because the date was uncertain, due to NRL games. Venue was never in doubt.

                        Comment

                        • barry
                          Veterans List
                          • Jan 2003
                          • 8499

                          #42
                          Originally posted by Triple B
                          I've won handsomely over the years following this very rule.
                          Ive been aware of this for a while, but never put any money down on it.

                          With the NRL finals now like the AFL, I think I might put $50 on all 4 finals in both codes this weekend, all backing the top 4 loser.

                          Comment

                          • Triple B
                            Formerly 'BBB'
                            • Feb 2003
                            • 6999

                            #43
                            Originally posted by GoRhino
                            Could anyone in the know advise if there is any doubt about the Venue for the Preliminary Final. There has been some scuttlebuck in the media that there is a possibility the game could be played at the SCG.

                            There was a potential for a problem if Souths won on the weekend, meaning 2 NRL and 1 AFL Prelims would needed to have been fit into that weekend. With one of the PF's in league now in Melbourne, problem solved...
                            Driver of the Dan Hannebery bandwagon....all aboard. 4th April 09

                            Comment

                            • AnnieH
                              RWOs Black Sheep
                              • Aug 2006
                              • 11332

                              #44
                              Which one do I want to lose more - Colliwobbles or Wet Cokers.
                              Wild speculation, unsubstantiated rumours, silly jokes and opposition delight in another's failures is what makes an internet forum fun.
                              Blessed are the cracked for they are the ones who let in the light.

                              Comment

                              • RogueSwan
                                McVeigh for Brownlow
                                • Apr 2003
                                • 4602

                                #45
                                Originally posted by neilfws
                                It's booked in for the Friday night at ANZ...
                                Well that's me out, definitely can't get to Sydney for a Friday night game, bugger.
                                "Fortunately, this is the internet, so knowing nothing is no obstacle to having an opinion!." Beerman 18-07-2017

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