We are being rated (by bookies) at around a 10-1 shot for the flag next year. I think that's a fair assessment. It's really not as bad as it seems. It's difficult to win a premiership under any conditions and Hawthorn have easily disposed of the past 3 challengers in the GF. WCE have improved their list with the Jetta acquisition and will get their 2 best key defenders back from injury.
I can understand how those outside the club see lots of holes in our list, but I think it's more that we have a number of players with little experience that we will depend upon to step up if we are to make a serious challenge for the title. An objective observer would say that's not likely to happen. Usually clubs with lots of players with under 50 games experience don't win premierships.
Our coaching staff should approach next year as the beginning of a 3 year period to challenge for another premiership. We will have to give substantial game time to several players with little or not experience, in some cases, just to see how they perform, in others to give them badly needed experience in preparation for 2017 and beyond.
If we remain in the top 4 and see most of our inexperienced players make good progress, then I would call it a successful year. It will be a bit reminiscent of 2011, which I found quite enjoyable because can you see something good was happening. A lot has to go right, particularly with players like Rohan and Towers for us to have a real crack at a premiership next year. The 10-1 odds seem about right that all these pieces will come together well, but it's not out of the question.
I can understand how those outside the club see lots of holes in our list, but I think it's more that we have a number of players with little experience that we will depend upon to step up if we are to make a serious challenge for the title. An objective observer would say that's not likely to happen. Usually clubs with lots of players with under 50 games experience don't win premierships.
Our coaching staff should approach next year as the beginning of a 3 year period to challenge for another premiership. We will have to give substantial game time to several players with little or not experience, in some cases, just to see how they perform, in others to give them badly needed experience in preparation for 2017 and beyond.
- Jones, Mills and Hewett should all be very good players and should get a more than just a handful of games next year. Jones is probably ready for a regular starting position. He could be used as a defensive (run with) midfielder to help his development. He has the tools to do that well. Both of our captains did lots of time in that role in their early years.
- I think we need someone like Rohan to provide rebound out of defense. We might try Nic Newman and see how that goes, which means that Towers, Heeney and Cunningham will need to have big years providing small forward options to compliment our formidable tall forward line.
- I would like to see us fast track Abe Davis and try to get him a dozen games next year, most likely as a forward. This could give us a bit more flexibility with Reid in that he could move to defense if needed.
- We need to find 2 good players out of Xav Richards, Aliir, Melican and a reconstructed AJ, with the latter 2 likely to remain questionable even after next season.
- It would be nice to get a healthy year from Naismith and see progress with Nankervis. Naismith looks to have the traits of a high quality mobile ruckman who can also win more than his share of the ruck contests. Nanka will take a few years to develop.
If we remain in the top 4 and see most of our inexperienced players make good progress, then I would call it a successful year. It will be a bit reminiscent of 2011, which I found quite enjoyable because can you see something good was happening. A lot has to go right, particularly with players like Rohan and Towers for us to have a real crack at a premiership next year. The 10-1 odds seem about right that all these pieces will come together well, but it's not out of the question.
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