No
Are we now a genuine Premiership threat?
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"You get the feeling that like Monty Python's Black Knight, the Swans would regard amputation as merely a flesh wound."Comment
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It is laughable and i hope the team does not have confidence they will win the premiership . They need to keep the hunger
Confidence kills hunger and becomes complacency
look at our team and i think Chad is an upgrade on Bell and Reid an upgrade on Amartey and i reckon thats our best 22 out there . If we time it perfect we could have them all in the team at the right time - rd 23 going into finals
FIngers crossedComment
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Belief is not the same as confidence
We can win the flag this year. A long shot. But we’re a threatHe ate more cheese, than time allowedComment
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Maybe a rerun of West Coast at Geelong?Comment
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I was at the game today behind the goals with the cheer squad and it was like a home game with all of the fabulous support from the Swans loyalists from the South days. We have by far the biggest away support of any non-Victorian Club.Comment
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In reality, I don’t think we’re quite in the serious contender category just yet, but I didn’t think we’d win both the last 2 weeks fairly convincingly.Comment
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And barring covid shutting down Victoria again, the GF will be at the MCG until at least 2058. So I guess either wish for a health disaster for an entire state or accept that the Grand Final has a home for the next quarter of a century.Comment
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We play very well at Marvel Stadium. Have a good record there. Be happy to play the GF there.Comment
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My assessment of the remainder of the season.
Sydney's remaining games:
Collingwood (H), Fremantle (A), Carlton (H), St Kilda (A), Hawthorn (H), Port Adelaide (A), West Coast (H), Western Bulldogs (A), GWS Giants (A), Fremantle (H), Essendon (A), St Kilda (H), North Melbourne (A), Gold Coast (H). Return matches in italics.
Expected number of premiership points from each game (on a scale of 0 to 4):
Collingwood (4), Fremantle (2), Carlton (3), St Kilda (2), Hawthorn (4), Port Adelaide (1), West Coast (3), Western Bulldogs (1), GWS Giants (2), Fremantle (3), Essendon (2), St Kilda (3), North Melbourne (4), Gold Coast (2).
Games expected to win (4/4):
Collingwood, Hawthorn, North Melbourne.
Games where a win is likely (3/4):
Carlton, West Coast, Fremantle (H), St Kilda (H).
Games with even chances (2/4):
Fremantle (A), St Kilda (A), GWS Giants (A), Essendon (A), Gold Coast (H).
Games where a win is unlikely (1/4):
Port Adelaide, Western Bulldogs.
Total expected premiership points:
From these games 36 (9 wins, 5 losses), at end of season 56 (14 wins, 8 losses).
Collingwood (4) WIN (30 points). +0
Fremantle (2) LOSS (2 points). -2
Carlton (3) WIN (22 points). -1
St Kilda (2) WIN (9 points). +1
Hawthorn (4) LOSS (38 points) -3
(BYE)
Port Adelaide (1) LOSS (10 points) -4
West Coast (3) WIN (92 points) -3
Western Bulldogs (1) WIN (13 points). +0
The running total is currently zero, so the predictions have been fairly accurate overall. The individual match results are not as good, though they balance out: the unexpected Hawthorn loss is balanced by the unexpected win over the Dogs.
It's also interesting seeing how our form has improved after the bye.
The remaining games are: GWS Giants (2), Fremantle (3), Essendon (2), St Kilda (3), North Melbourne (4), Gold Coast (2). These add up to 16, so four more wins are predicted out of these last six games. That would give us 14 wins. Win all six, and we would be in with a good chance of a top four finish."Unbelievable!" -- Nick Davis leaves his mark on the 2005 semi finalComment
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