18 wins

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  • barry
    Veterans List
    • Jan 2003
    • 8499

    18 wins

    Analysing the soft draw we have this year, I see absolutely no reason why we wont win 18 games during the season which would ensure a top 2 spot, likely 1st.

    Rather than list wins, the 4 losses I expect are:
    Round 3. Brisbane at the gabba
    Round 6: WC in perth
    Round 10: StKilda in Melbourne
    Round 20: Brisbane at home. (which you could raffle with Round 8 Port at home)
  • OldE

    #2
    I certainly wouldn't complain

    Comment

    • footyhead
      Banned indefinitely by Moderators for posting totally inappropriate material
      • May 2003
      • 1367

      #3
      I did a little calculation the other day and allowing for a worst case scenario, say one win for every two games for the rest of the year by my calculations gets the swans at least 12 wins for the year.
      Money well spent for the Swans to be in the final 8.

      Comment

      • j s
        Think positive!
        • Jan 2003
        • 3303

        #4
        Re: 18 wins

        Originally posted by barry
        Round 3. Brisbane at the gabba
        Round 6: WC in perth
        Round 10: StKilda in Melbourne
        I hope you're wrong! I'm going to all three and want to be able to celebrate!

        Comment

        • Sanecow
          Suspended by the MRP
          • Mar 2003
          • 6917

          #5
          How many chickens do you see?

          http://tinyurl.com/4czrq

          Comment

          • Charlie
            On the Rookie List
            • Jan 2003
            • 4101

            #6
            Originally posted by Sanecow
            How many chickens do you see?

            http://tinyurl.com/4czrq
            Very good.
            We hate Anthony Rocca
            We hate Shannon Grant too
            We hate scumbag Gaspar
            But Leo WE LOVE YOU!

            Comment

            • dendol
              fat-arsed midfielder
              • Oct 2003
              • 1483

              #7
              Originally posted by Sanecow
              How many chickens do you see?

              http://tinyurl.com/4czrq
              LOL! I dont see why we're stopping at 18 wins though. I personally think that all games are winnable, so we could finish with 22 wins and be top of the ladder. Then we can get home ground advantage all the way to the GF, which means 24 wins on the trot, which makes us unbackable favourites to win the GF. Too easy.

              Comment

              • j s
                Think positive!
                • Jan 2003
                • 3303

                #8
                Originally posted by Sanecow
                How many chickens do you see?

                http://tinyurl.com/4czrq
                Only nineteen!

                Not counting the one already hatched there should be five more in that basket!

                Comment

                • bricon
                  On the Rookie List
                  • Jan 2003
                  • 277

                  #9
                  Very hard to see us winning 18 games in the H&A season when we consistently average only 4 away wins each year. Our best year in recent history was in 2003 where we won 5 away games in the H&A season.

                  Comment

                  • mocaholic
                    Regular in the Side
                    • Oct 2003
                    • 575

                    #10
                    The phrase "one week at a time", however hackneyed, is appropriate at this point.

                    We beat Hawthorn, faves for the spoon, at home by 10 goals. Let's not get carried away.
                    Insert Your Life [HERE]

                    Comment

                    • barry
                      Veterans List
                      • Jan 2003
                      • 8499

                      #11
                      Originally posted by bricon
                      Very hard to see us winning 18 games in the H&A season when we consistently average only 4 away wins each year. Our best year in recent history was in 2003 where we won 5 away games in the H&A season.
                      I knew this thread would draw out the nah-sayers.

                      Our away games are (Excluding manuka where we have the bigger crowd)

                      brisbane
                      Wc
                      St Kilda

                      which I've conceeded already.

                      Carlton - mid table side
                      Melbourne - mid table side
                      Adelaide - Spoon material
                      Essendon - mid table side
                      Hawthorn - hot spoon favourite

                      If we cant beat this motley crew in melbourne, there aint much point turning up for the GF down there.

                      Comment

                      • cruiser
                        What the frack!
                        • Jul 2004
                        • 6114

                        #12
                        Re: 18 wins

                        Originally posted by barry
                        Rather than list wins, the 4 losses I expect are:
                        Round 3. Brisbane at the gabba
                        Round 6: WC in perth
                        Round 10: StKilda in Melbourne
                        Round 20: Brisbane at home. (which you could raffle with Round 8 Port at home)
                        I think Brisbane Rd 3 and Rd 20, and Saints Rd 10 are winnable. However, we always suck against Adelaide at AAMI and Essendon in Melbourne.
                        Occupational hazards:
                        I don't eat animals since discovering this ability. I used to. But one day the lamb I was eating came through to me and ever since then I haven't been able to eat meat.
                        - animal psychic Amanda de Warren

                        Comment

                        • ROK Lobster
                          RWO Life Member
                          • Aug 2004
                          • 8658

                          #13
                          Originally posted by barry
                          I knew this thread would draw out the nah-sayers.

                          Our away games are (Excluding manuka where we have the bigger crowd)

                          brisbane
                          Wc
                          St Kilda

                          which I've conceeded already.

                          Carlton - mid table side
                          Melbourne - mid table side
                          Adelaide - Spoon material
                          Essendon - mid table side
                          Hawthorn - hot spoon favourite

                          If we cant beat this motley crew in melbourne, there aint much point turning up for the GF down there.
                          The wooden spooners beat us at home last year. I'm with the egg collectors. One hatched so far, let's keep our eye on the incubator.

                          Comment

                          • Schneiderman
                            The Fourth Captain
                            • Aug 2004
                            • 1615

                            #14
                            All the games are winnable, but there are other factors to consider:

                            - Injuries / suspensions
                            - Umpiring
                            - Our inexplicable ability to drop the easy games
                            - Weather (we aren't that hot in the wet)
                            - The pressure of expectations (like these ones here)

                            Remember that we haven't won more than 5 straight for a number of years now.

                            Having said all that, I still think about 16 wins is a reasonable expectation and would probably put us in the top four, and as high as 2nd on percentage.
                            Our Greatest Moment:

                            Saturday, 24th Sept, 2005 - 5:13pm

                            Comment

                            • Wil
                              On the Rookie List
                              • Jun 2004
                              • 619

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ROK Lobster
                              The wooden spooners beat us at home last year. I'm with the egg collectors. One hatched so far, let's keep our eye on the incubator.
                              Aye, how soon last year is forgotten?

                              Strange things happen, How many matches do we have Goldspink umpiring? How many coaches can get the right game plan to stop us? How many times will Roos slow the game down too much to our detriment? Swans are great at losing winnable games.

                              I am glad we are playing Geelong only once - they may beat us at home. Melbourne will probably beat us at least once this season. Can't see any reason why Port Adelaide can not beat us at home either.

                              Comment

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