Where will our Bloods finish by rd 22? Take the ladder predictor and let's discuss!!

[ScottH]

On current form I am not sure who anyone can seriously think that we will beat Brisbane at Brisbane. The Saints game and Collingwood are both 50/50's in my opinion. If we lose all three, I think we will miss the 8. To be safe, we need to win at least 2. If we win all 3, then we are a chance again.

Yep, Brisbane was never a sure win in Brisbane, but it looking an even tougher ask with the Lions current form. Saints and Pies, were always going to be the tough games.

BTW, cruiser, I don't think they will play a final at SS. I imagine it would be in either MCG, or TD.

[cruiser]

BTW, cruiser, I don't think they will play a final at SS. I imagine it would be in either MCG, or TD.

Of course, dunno what made me think that.

Re Brisbane, I don't for a moment think that it'll be a sure win but I think we're a chance. Even during the Lions premiership years Sydney played well at the Gabba (who can forget Halls match winning goal after the siren). I think that the Saints will be difficult at TS too. The only two games I have marked down as likely wins are Melbourne and Hawthorn.

[sydneyswans1989]

1 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2487 1674 76 148.5
4 West Coast 22 16 6 0 2158 1834 64 117.6
3 Port Adel 22 15 7 0 2366 2061 60 114.7
6 Collingwood 22 15 7 0 2077 2001 60 103.7
2 Kangaroos 22 14 8 0 2129 2015 56 105.6
7 Sydney 22 13 9 0 2084 1809 52 115.2
5 Hawthorn 22 13 9 0 2076 1898 52 109.3
9 St Kilda 22 12 10 0 1913 1965 48 97.3

8 Essendon 22 11 11 0 2202 2291 44 96.1
12 Adelaide 22 10 12 0 1942 1845 40 105.2
10 W Bulldogs 22 10 12 0 2185 2361 40 92.5
11 Bris Lions 22 9 12 1 2077 1951 38 106.4
13 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2156 2205 36 97.7
15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1864 2425 16 76.8
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2122 2818 16 75.3
16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1891 2576 6 73.4


Got us dropping one game to the pies away

[reigning premier]

1 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2451 1710 76 143.3
4 West Coast 22 15 7 0 2100 1892 60 110.9
2 Kangaroos 22 15 7 0 2135 2009 60 106.2
7 Sydney 22 14 8 0 2072 1821 56 113.7
3 Port Adel 22 14 8 0 2326 2101 56 110.7
6 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2047 2031 56 100.7
8 Essendon 22 12 10 0 2220 2273 48 97.6
9 St Kilda 22 12 10 0 1901 1977 48 96.1

12 Adelaide 22 11 11 0 1954 1833 44 106.6
10 W Bulldogs 22 11 11 0 2203 2343 44 94.0
11 Bris Lions 22 10 11 1 2089 1939 42 107.7
5 Hawthorn 22 10 12 0 2046 1928 40 106.1

Us winning everything........

Hawthorn losing everything.... (Which is a real possibility).....

The rest are all pretty straight fwd guesses.....

[hammo]

Assuming Swans win all remaining games, to make the top 4 we need:

* either West Coast or Port to lose 2 games

* Kangaroos to lose 3 games

Remembering we'll go past Hawthorn and Collingwood if we beat them, and also keep Brisbane at bay of we keep winning.

Our best hopes are that:

Geelong to keep winning - they'll knock off Kangaroos (1) and Port (1) for us.

West Coast keep winning - they'll knock off the Kangaroos (2)

Brisbane keep winning - they'll knock off Kanagaroos (3)

I can't see West Coast losing the 2 required, but obviously if Kanagroos manage to beat them then we need another loss to come from somewhere.

I agree with ROK Lobster though, the Swans still need to show a bit more to beat Brisbane, St Kilda and maybe Collingwood in current form.

[reigning premier]

I agree with ROK Lobster though, the Swans still need to show a bit more to beat Brisbane, St Kilda and maybe Collingwood in current form.

Amazing how things change in a few weeks....

Only a week or so ago we all thought the Lions game was money for jam and the Pies would be our loss in the run home. Now it's looking anything but that!!

The Pies are fading, and the Lions are roaring....

Regardless, we still have to win them all if we're any chance to make the 4....

[ScottH]

Only a week or so ago we all thought the Lions game was money for jam.

Not all of us.

Would making the 4(in 4th) and playing Geelong, in their current form, be anymore beneficial than 5th or 6th, and getting a first up home final? We'd still end up with and away PF.

[hammo]

Not all of us.

Would making the 4(in 4th) and playing Geelong, in their current form, be anymore beneficial than 5th or 6th, and getting a first up home final? We'd still end up with and away PF.

A first up home final and then possibly a trip to AAMI. We may not even get to the PF via that route!

[reigning premier]

Not all of us.

Would making the 4(in 4th) and playing Geelong, in their current form, be anymore beneficial than 5th or 6th, and getting a first up home final? We'd still end up with and away PF.

Would still prefer to have a crack at Geelong at Telstra Dome (Probably) in the first round when we can afford to drop one, rather than meet them in a sudden death game (SF, QF or PF!).

Then on GF day, at the MCG, the tables even up a bit!

[573v30]

1 Geelong 22 19 3 0 2534 1627 76 155.7
4 West Coast 22 15 7 0 2187 1805 60 121.1
7 Sydney 22 14 8 0 2106 1787 56 117.8
3 Port Adel 22 14 8 0 2373 2054 56 115.5
2 Kangaroos 22 14 8 0 2145 1999 56 107.3
6 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2105 1973 56 106.6
5 Hawthorn 22 13 9 0 2064 1910 52 108.0
9 St Kilda 22 13 9 0 1931 1947 52 99.1

8 Essendon 22 11 11 0 2216 2277 44 97.3
10 W Bulldogs 22 11 11 0 2166 2380 44 91.0
12 Adelaide 22 10 12 0 1967 1820 40 108.0
11 Bris Lions 22 9 12 1 2059 1969 38 104.5
13 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2148 2213 36 97.0
15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1832 2457 16 74.5
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2059 2881 16 71.4
16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1837 2630 6 69.8

[nat]

I'm terrible at this - i'm way too biased. I remember doing it at the beginning of the year and I had Sydney down winning every game.

[cruiser]

A first up home final and then possibly a trip to AAMI. We may not even get to the PF via that route!

Winning a first up home elimination final might be a good confidence boost as opposed to getting beaten by Geelong in a QF in Melbourne. And playing Port in a final at AAMI should hold no fear for us, rather, I think it'd frighten Port supporters.

[NMWBloods]

I'm terrible at this - i'm way too biased. I remember doing it at the beginning of the year and I had Sydney down winning every game.

And that's different to virtually every other forecast here in what way...?

[Xie Shan]

To be fair, when I tried the ladder predictor it was more out of curiosity as to what our likely finish would be in case we did go on and win all 5 games. So we're not all biased, although I won't judge anyone who views things through red-and-white-coloured glasses either!

[Zlatorog]

As I mentioned previously, in my books the Swans will finish 6th.