Changes for Adelaide
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Forget Grundy, he's gone. We'll have to send LRT down back to replace him.
We're going to have to select our strongest possible midfield - that means Goodes not up front - and then see if we can cobble something together with the forward line.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Everitt back, and Jesse. It's going to need a real team effort to win. Grundy's absence might shock them into action.Comment
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Forget Grundy, he's gone. We'll have to send LRT down back to replace him.
We're going to have to select our strongest possible midfield - that means Goodes not up front - and then see if we can cobble something together with the forward line.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Everitt back, and Jesse. It's going to need a real team effort to win. Grundy's absence might shock them into action.
I actually think LRT going back could help our forward line a bit - 3 pieces of tall timber is enough if you ask me, 4 can be more trouble than good. Tell Pyke/Mummy to lead away from Sammy, and then let Goodes do his thing as he sees fit - I think that is how we need to approach it. I don't think bringing in another tall forward is what we need - prefer to see Morton or TDL for that matter if they pick another forward rather than Everitt/Jesse.
It would not suprise me to see it be simply Nick Smith in for Grundy though. Will leave us a little short up forward potentially, but would give us an extra midfield rotation potentially - perhaps with Armstrong dropping back to be sub?"You get the feeling that like Monty Python's Black Knight, the Swans would regard amputation as merely a flesh wound."Comment
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Insufficient force would be the only way Reg could get off. Stupid from him. Would imagine the ins won't change. Reid/Smith in for Reg/Walsh. Remember Tony came in for Smith so we have an extra defender anyway. Ted v Walker, AJ v Tippett, Marty plays the 3rd tall role (often does anyway), Smooch gets his normal small fwd (Porpoise or Callinan). Tony and Mal will float around half-back wing as usual. The strength of our backline is that they're versatile, should help. LRT may fill the hole on occasion but I don't think he'll play as a key defender. If LRT goes down back it kills our Reid/Goodes/LRT/resting ruck tall setup up forward.Twitter: @tp_roseComment
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I'd hope we don't have to play Goodes in the midfield, and don't think we will unless we must - remember he kicked 5 against them earlier in the year and they really stuggled to deal with him, and I do feel he would have won us that game had it not been for the injury.
I actually think LRT going back could help our forward line a bit - 3 pieces of tall timber is enough if you ask me, 4 can be more trouble than good. Tell Pyke/Mummy to lead away from Sammy, and then let Goodes do his thing as he sees fit - I think that is how we need to approach it. I don't think bringing in another tall forward is what we need - prefer to see Morton or TDL for that matter if they pick another forward rather than Everitt/Jesse.
It would not suprise me to see it be simply Nick Smith in for Grundy though. Will leave us a little short up forward potentially, but would give us an extra midfield rotation potentially - perhaps with Armstrong dropping back to be sub?Comment
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LRT goes back and follows Tippett into the ruck. Leaves Pyke and Mummy to rotate thru FF and Goodes to roam around doing his own thing. With Smith in, Armstrong plays HB and Smiff rotates thru midfield or tags one of themYou can't argue with a sick mind - Joe WalshComment
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Adelaides weakness is its defence and we have to do everything we can to exploit this.Comment
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I like this but feel we have to tag Dangerfield who could destroy us in a few minutes of cameo performance in front of his home crowd. I would put Smith on him and play Armstrong for the whole game on HB.Sub should be Jetts on form .Comment
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We don't have anyone with the obvious attributes to tag Dangerfield. Like Goodes when at his best, his combination of size and pace makes him almost impossible to match up on. It will require a team effort to keep his influence under control. ROK is probably the one who has the size and strength to match him, though clearly not the pace. (Kennedy has the size too, but we're not going to be using him to tag anyone.)Comment
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Not sure we can win this with the usual defensive set up. Might be better to surprise Adelaide with less congestion, a touch more speed, and maintaining a forward structure. Reliance on the mids to kick goals after battering the ball forward is too uncertain in finals and against good teams. Save that for the rain or if we get a big lead.
Changes:
Out: Grundy; Walsh; Parker;
In: Reid; Smith; Everitt (sub)
Pyke and Mumford to do the job as second tall forward.Comment
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Smith doesn't have the size (strength) or speed to closely tag Dangerfield. What's more, Adelaide have a couple of very dangerous small forwards, and defending against this type is the craft that Nick has developed over the past few seasons. Makes more sense to me to use him in an important role that he is very good at, than to move him to a midfield tagging role against a player he is not physically well matched up against.
We don't have anyone with the obvious attributes to tag Dangerfield. Like Goodes when at his best, his combination of size and pace makes him almost impossible to match up on. It will require a team effort to keep his influence under control. ROK is probably the one who has the size and strength to match him, though clearly not the pace. (Kennedy has the size too, but we're not going to be using him to tag anyone.)
So for me,
Reid in for Walsh (who I thought was much improved), Smith in for Grundy (Stupidity), Malceski as Sub (run at the end of the game when we need it)Comment
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