Are we now a genuine Premiership threat?

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  • Matty10
    Senior Player
    • Jun 2007
    • 1331

    Is anyone a fan of the AFL ladder predictor?

    I just had a go with the last four rounds. Pretty interesting.

    Comment

    • TheBloods
      Suspended by the MRP
      • Feb 2020
      • 2047

      Originally posted by Matty10
      Is anyone a fan of the AFL ladder predictor?

      I just had a go with the last four rounds. Pretty interesting.

      No

      Comment

      • barry
        Veterans List
        • Jan 2003
        • 8499

        Originally posted by Matty10
        Is anyone a fan of the AFL ladder predictor?

        I just had a go with the last four rounds. Pretty interesting.
        Don't leave us in suspense. Can we make top 4?

        Comment

        • longmile
          Crumber
          • Apr 2011
          • 3367

          Originally posted by Matty10
          Is anyone a fan of the AFL ladder predictor?

          I just had a go with the last four rounds. Pretty interesting.
          My go at it had us finishing 5th and playing Richmond in round 1 of the finals. This would most likely be at the MCG. Would much rather come 6th and play WCE at GMHBA or Marvel.

          Comment

          • barry
            Veterans List
            • Jan 2003
            • 8499

            We arent going to get a home ground advantage through the finals, so either in top 4 for double chance, or outside top 4 is all we are competing for.

            Comment

            • 707
              Veterans List
              • Aug 2009
              • 6204

              Originally posted by longmile
              My go at it had us finishing 5th and playing Richmond in round 1 of the finals. This would most likely be at the MCG. Would much rather come 6th and play WCE at GMHBA or Marvel.
              If we finish 5th or 6th, as the higher placed team it will be our "home ground" so would be at Metricon.

              Comment

              • Matty10
                Senior Player
                • Jun 2007
                • 1331

                Originally posted by barry
                Don't leave us in suspense. Can we make top 4?
                I had us finishing 3rd.

                Comment

                • Kafka's Ghost
                  Regular in the Side
                  • Sep 2017
                  • 903

                  Originally posted by 707
                  If we finish 5th or 6th, as the higher placed team it will be our "home ground" so would be at Metricon.
                  Even better would be GMHBA; all the Victorian fans will hopefully be able to go, and we play the ground well.

                  Comment

                  • barry
                    Veterans List
                    • Jan 2003
                    • 8499

                    Originally posted by Matty10
                    I had us finishing 3rd.
                    I wouldnt mind meeting the dogs first up, so dont get to meet them in any cut-throat finals before the grand final, if they make it.
                    So whatever position makes that happen is our best chance.

                    Comment

                    • Goal Sneak
                      Out of Bounds on the Full
                      • Jun 2006
                      • 653

                      Originally posted by Matty10
                      I had us finishing 3rd.
                      How do you go at footy tipping?

                      Comment

                      • Matty10
                        Senior Player
                        • Jun 2007
                        • 1331

                        Are we now a genuine Premiership threat?

                        Originally posted by Goal Sneak
                        How do you go at footy tipping?
                        Ha ha. Good question.

                        I am not suggesting you should put any faith in my prediction (and did not initially volunteer my assessment), I was simply having a bit of fun with the calculations (and then posted the results when asked). Others have and will get different results. There are also so many possible outcomes that it is foolish to put too much weight on it. But, I like to dream, and it is a bit of fun.

                        Having said that, I did not manipulate the results to achieve a desired outcome and I have a modest amount of faith in my tipping ability (although I have not entered any competitions in years - I don’t enjoy the games as much when I do). There are a lot of close calls though. You should try it. See what you come up with.
                        Last edited by Matty10; 28 July 2021, 03:43 PM.

                        Comment

                        • Goal Sneak
                          Out of Bounds on the Full
                          • Jun 2006
                          • 653

                          Originally posted by Matty10
                          Ha ha. Good question.

                          I am not suggesting you should put any faith in my prediction (and did not initially volunteer my assessment), I was simply having a bit of fun with the calculations (and then posted the results when asked). Others have and will get different results. There are also so many possible outcomes that it is foolish to put too much weight on it. But, I like to dream, and it is a bit of fun.

                          Having said that, I did not manipulate the results to achieve a desired outcome and I have a modest amount of faith in my tipping ability (although I have not entered any competitions in years - I don’t enjoy the games as much when I do). There are a lot of close calls though. You should try it. See what you come up with.
                          I'm more than happy to go with your scenario of 3rd place. I don't enter tipping comps anymore for the same reason. I never once got a perfect round so have little faith in my predicted result of 6th. It was fun to go through the finals and knock each team out until the Swans were declared Premiers.

                          Comment

                          • Markwebbos
                            Veterans List
                            • Jul 2016
                            • 7186

                            For Swans to make top 4:

                            1. We have to win every remaining game (possible)
                            2. Port need to lose at least one (potentially round 23 v Doggies)
                            3. Demons need to lose a couple (also possible)
                            4. We need to close the %age gap to Port.

                            If we make top-4 we will deserve it and others won’t.

                            Comment

                            • MattW
                              Veterans List
                              • May 2011
                              • 4220

                              Here's the ladder and run-in.

                              - Demons: Suns, Eagles, Crows, Cats
                              - Port: GWS, Crows, Carlton, Bulldogs
                              - Brisbane: Hawthorn, Fremantle, Collingwood, Eagles
                              - Swans: Essendon, St Kilda, North, Suns.

                              If we win all four, we need two of the following three scenarios to occur:
                              - Demons to lose two;
                              - Port to lose one;
                              - Brisbane to lose one.

                              Odds are against us, but it's possible.

                              Sent from my SM-G973F using Tapatalk

                              Comment

                              • Mark26
                                Senior Player
                                • Jan 2017
                                • 1535

                                Martin Pegan on the AFL site seems to think so. I know we go under the radar a bit (with the media), but it's nice to have an overwhelmingly positive article on our style of play. Credit to the coaches and players for making it happen.

                                Comment

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