So... for the Swans to finish top 2....

[liz]

It wasnt before?

[bloodsbigot]

How much do the hawks need to beat the pies next week to overtake our percentage?

[undy]

Guess how many points the pies will get and add that to the hawks points against. Multiply by our percentage. Divide by 100. Subtract the hawks points for.

So if the pies get 50 then the Hawks need to get 146.

Roughly 100 points assuming we don't improve or reduce our percentage much today.

I think.

[sharp9]

I did a few figures last week so this is off the top of my head now....It's tricky to be really accurate because our for and againsts vary so much...but I calculated (correctly) last week that we needed a 75 point win...and as it happened we got the chocolates by about .1% - they the lost by 20 points and lost the same amount off percentage as we gained. Last night their percentage didn't change. If our percentage doesn't change today (roughly a 90-65 point win) then we can afford a 20 point loss to Richmond UNLESS the Hawks belt Collingwood...anything more than 30 points will start boosting their percentage...so the answer to your question is that we can afford a 20 point loss to Richmond as long as we beat the Bulldogs by something like the same margin as The Hawks beat Collingwood. That figure can be slightly in our favour because big wins for them boost their percentage less than a big win for us because they have 300 more points against than we do. :-)

[sharp9]

And they play Friday night so we'll know

[aguy]

Yes this is where our superior defence across the season has an advantage

[ugg]

Scores today that would see us lose top spot

140-145
120-131
100-116
80-102
60-87
40-73

Smallest win that would see us drop our percentage below that of Hawthorn's
161-160

[aguy]

Scores today that would see us lose top spot

140-145
120-131
100-116
80-102
60-87
40-73

Smallest win that would see us drop our percentage below that of Hawthorn's
161-160

Thanks ugg.

[ScottH]

Scores today that would see us lose top spot

140-145
120-131
100-116
80-102
60-87
40-73

Smallest win that would see us drop our percentage below that of Hawthorn's
161-160

Just off the top of your head??

[aardvark]

Just off the top of your head??

He keeps a calculator in his hat....

[dawson]

Guaranteed top 2 finish! First since 1996 I think. Given the 6.8% we're ahead of Hawthorn we could still finish first if they win and we lose next week.
4th will be winner of Port-Freo game next week.

[ugg]

4th will be winner of Port-Freo game next week.

Or Geelong if Freo win and Lions beat Cats (which is not as far fetched as it initially seems, Brisbane usually play well against them)

[dawson]

Or Geelong if Freo win and Lions beat Cats (which is not as far fetched as it initially seems, Brisbane usually play well against them)

Down at Skilled?

[ugg]

Down at Skilled?

They should have won it last year if Lester had taken his time.

AFL Tables - Geelong v Brisbane Lions - Sat, 31-Aug-2013 2:10 PM - Match Stats

[dawson]

If Port win, they will have to do Perth-Sydney in consecutive weeks...