Finals

[Swansongster]

What say ye now RWOers?

Top 4, Perhaps?

[CureTheSane]

I'm looking at top 4 now.
Somehow I feel 5th or 6th is better than 3rd or 4th but you have to strive for wins and the best results.

Making the finals is now ours to lose.

[aardvark]

We are still a game and a lot of percentage out of 4th. Top four with our draw seems a big ask. The bye round will be huge for us if we make it.

[Thunder Shaker]

We are still a game and a lot of percentage out of 4th. Top four with our draw seems a big ask. The bye round will be huge for us if we make it.

Realistically, we should win enough games from here to make the finals. Top four is a bridge too far IMO. We would have to displace one of the current sides in the top four. While mathematically possible, I consider it unlikely. Port have several winnable games and the other top four sides are too far in front.

[Mug Punter]

I'm looking at top 4 now.
Somehow I feel 5th or 6th is better than 3rd or 4th but you have to strive for wins and the best results.

Making the finals is now ours to lose.

I agree. It's ours to lose now, that result tonight was absolutely massive.

Just hoping we don't have too many casualties for next week against the Saints - Reid and Rohan both mentioned on here. Dawson looked good today as did Hayward for the limited output so we have good depth now.

For me making the finals and winning one would feel like a monumental winning year

[ugg]

Port are one game and lots of percentage ahead of us. GWS are two games but slightly lower percentage than us. We need to make up two games on either one with six games to go

i.e. Even if we win all six at least one will have to drop two games. Not impossible but less likely than more likely to happen.

[707]

Top four looks a bridge too far, not because we can't win all remaining games but because the sides above us are unlikely to also drop two given that none of them play each other in the run home. We are in good form, in the eight and good % amongst the 5-8 sides.

We can get to fifth or sixth and get a home final first week, be nice to knock out Wretchmond!

Saints have a tough draw from now, Essendon by dint of being spooners last year have a soft draw, Melbourne have Port and GWS in the run home, Richmond have GWS & Geelong.

Great to see K Jack & McVeigh in such good form, they will be important in the run home. The pre finals bye will assist us. Just need to put the Saints away next week then onto the big stage at the MCG against the Hawks which will be a test of the coaching staff as much as the players.

[Thunder Shaker]

Port are one game and lots of percentage ahead of us. GWS are two games but slightly lower percentage than us. We need to make up two games on either one with six games to go

i.e. Even if we win all six at least one will have to drop two games. Not impossible but less likely than more likely to happen.

If we win all six, two of the top four must drop a game because we play them. Even so, would one of these sides drop enough additional games to surrender their top four spot?

We could pass Geelong or GWS because they are vulnerable: both have dropped games to teams outside the top eight and GWS have a few injuries. Even so, I don't see it happening. I think we will finish fifth.

[Markwebbos]

With the week off before finals fifth might be better than fourth

[mcs]

With the week off before finals fifth might be better than fourth

Top 4 remains unlikely but in this topsy turvy season, who knows.

I like old man Teddy's analogy of the Swans season - sums it up to a tee

Ted Richards on Twitter: "Still chopping #AFLGiantsSwans https://t.co/IXijYuO7Li"

[AnnieH]

I've changed my mind.
We just might be more than fodder.

[Markwebbos]

"FOR THE sake of fairness, Sydney CEO Andrew Ireland believes any final hosted by Greater Western Sydney should be held at ANZ Stadium."

Bring back ANZ Stadium for all-Sydney final: Swans - M.afl.com.au

"Ireland also threw up the controversial option of the SCG, which can hold 46,000, something Swans chairman Andrew Pridham agreed with."

"The SCG would be my pick ? I'm being serious," Pridham said.

[barry]

Bring back ANZ. Lols, no ROFLOL!

[707]

Just perused the final six rounds, other than our games, there are twenty other games where teams still in the race for a final 8 berth play each other so plenty of opportunity for teams to push up or drop out. Here's a quick summary

This week we have games between contenders Melb-Port, Richmond-GWS, Adel-Geelong and of course Swans-Saints.

Round 20 is a biggie, Geelong-Swans, WCE-Saints, Richmond-Hawks, GWS-Melb, Adel-Port.

Final round is also huge, WCE-Adel, Geelong-GWS, Richmond-Saints, Dogs-Hawks.

Playing 5 contenders over the last 6 rounds, Adel, GWS, Saints. Saints look like missing out, particularly if we beat them this week.

Playing 4 contenders over the last 6 rounds, Swans, Richmond, Geelong, Dogs. Dogs with a tough run and lots of ground to make up, no fairytale this year.

[707]

Bring back ANZ. Lols, no ROFLOL!

Pre emptive strike by the club to put the AFL on notice (if there's anyone left at the AFL to take notice) that we had to play at ANZ last year for our home final so GWS will have to this year. You can't have a final that 60,000+ want to attend at a 23,000 capacity stadium.

Difficult to tell on TV as you can't see the home stand but what was the make up of the 21,000 record crowd Saturday night, it sounded 50/50.