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Port and cats are the two that are most vulnerable in the top4 race
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He ate more cheese, than time allowed -
Nankervis kicks sealer for Tigers. Hawthorn are done. Happy times! I think it's us, Adelaide or GWS (who may have woken up
from their long sleep yesterday). Richmond are an interesting one. Second best defence in the league and three winnable games
to go. The Dogs are winning, but not beating anyone any good.Last edited by KTigers; 6 August 2017, 06:02 PM.Comment
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Hawks gone, couldn't be happier.
Port looking absolutely inept against the Crows but got an easy run home and big % so should salvage 4th.
Geelong look like falling out of top 4 with games against Tigers at Kardinia, Collingwood at the G and GWS at Kardinia. Might be missing Hawkins, Duncan & Ducker Snr going in for ankle surgery to miss all remaining minor round games so we could overtake them and finish 5th. Week off reset, win next four :-)
Battle at the bottom of the 8 is really hot.Comment
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Port are no sure things against Pies and then Dogs, will beat Suns.
Swans have an outside chance to snatch 4th.Comment
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Port are 5th and have lost a huge percentage today, down to 122%
We'd need to overtake Geelong 6 points ahead for 4th spot. If we win all 3 and they lose 2 we'd do it. They've got Richmond, Collingwood, GWS. It's possible they could drop two, especially without Selwood.
If he's got a syndesmosis then he'll be lucky to play again this yearComment
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I think the final 8 (in no particular order) will be Adelaide, GWS, Richmond, Geelong, Port, Sydney, Essendon, Melbourne.
Essendon: Adelaide, Gold Coast, Fremantle - 2 wins. (12 wins).
Melbourne: St Kilda, Brisbane, Collingwood - 2 wins likely. (12 wins)
Western Bulldogs: GWS, Port, Hawthorn - I cannot see them winning more than one of these. (12 wins)
West Coast: Carlton, GWS, Adelaide - 1 win (11 wins). If they can beat GWS or Adelaide they will make the finals on percentage, but I don't see that happening.
St Kilda: Melbourne, North Melbourne, Richmond - 2 wins (12 wins). Next week's game against Melbourne will be crucial.
It is not difficult to imagine all of these sides finishing on 12 wins. If so, percentage will be crucial. Essendon, West Coast and Melbourne have the best chances here."Unbelievable!" -- Nick Davis leaves his mark on the 2005 semi finalComment
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That's given us a real chance to overtake them on percentage. The gap is now only 5.3%, or about 78 points.
The downside is that gaining fourth relies on the vulnerable Geelong dropping two games and us winning all three, which is by no means certain when one of them is Adelaide away.
The upside is that finals are all but assured. Only three losses - or two very heavy losses - would see us missing the finals now.
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It has been such a fascinating season, giving us no end of possibilities for speculation."Unbelievable!" -- Nick Davis leaves his mark on the 2005 semi finalComment
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Ahhh I'll just sit back and (hopefully) enjoy the rideComment
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afl.com.au's assessment of our chances: "A brilliant win on Friday night and means a top-six finish is likely for the Swans, which puts them right back in flag calculations. Beat Adelaide on the road on Friday week and they could yet finish top four. As long as they don't play the Hawks again, the Swans are in the premiership race up to their ears."Comment
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Yes, a win against the Crows and we're in with a shot of fourth. Which would then probably mean a rematch against them in a qualifying final. Win that and it's a home prelim. Of course, that's the somewhat optimistic best case scenario. Though fifth or sixth isn't too bad. Win that, and we then probably face, either; a Richmond side terrified of going out in straight sets, or GWS, who seem to have put arrogance before achievement, or Geelong, who we have a habit of beating comfortably. All of which would be quite winnable. Which is the easy bit: the hard part would be winning an away prelim.Comment
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