2021 trading, drafting and list management: players and personnel

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  • Bangalore Swans
    Suspended by the MRP
    • Mar 2021
    • 1049

    Originally posted by 707
    Be more interested in swapping 16 for Richmond's 26 & 27 and taking Corey Warner with one of them :-)

    The club will be all over these type of trades if we are not that wedded to the handful of players likely to be at pick 16. Be prepared for anything to happen and don't get disappointed because the club knows waaaay more than we do about the draft pool.

    Don't try and justify pick swaps on points as points are only relevant when matching bids. Pick 7 & 8 may be worth more points than pick 1 but you never swap pick 1 for them
    Corey is the Swans big play. We get Corey and the pain of losing Dawson is mitigated.

    Comment

    • WomblingFree
      Warming the Bench
      • Sep 2021
      • 104

      Originally posted by 707
      Be more interested in swapping 16 for Richmond's 26 & 27 and taking Corey Warner with one of them :-)

      The club will be all over these type of trades if we are not that wedded to the handful of players likely to be at pick 16. Be prepared for anything to happen and don't get disappointed because the club knows waaaay more than we do about the draft pool.

      Don't try and justify pick swaps on points as points are only relevant when matching bids. Pick 7 & 8 may be worth more points than pick 1 but you never swap pick 1 for them
      All depends if we’ve got our hearts set on someone in the first round. Swapping our three picks for 26.27,28 from the Tigers would probably net Bazzo and Warner. It does seem to be regarded as an even draft.

      We’ll get three good picks that year. I’d expect Anderson so be a rookie but we’d probably match a later bid if we rate him.

      Comment

      • troyjones2525
        Swans Fanatic!
        • Mar 2008
        • 2908

        Just watched about 20 minutes of an Academy U19 game from 5 months ago against GWS on YouTube to keep a close eye on Anderson (#26) and I must say that I did like the look of him! He's a good sized inside mid and won a bit of ball but also won a few free kicks for great tackles too! He matched up a bit on young Green from GWS (Tom's younger brother) who is also a big lump of a lad for a midfielder and he certainly held his own and won a few contest's when matched on him.

        I think he'd definitely be worth a late pick or rookie pick as he hopefully has the potential to replace the likes of Joey and Parker as a strong inside mid if he continues to develop in a coupleof years!

        Sent from my SM-G998B using Tapatalk

        Comment

        • bloodspirit
          Clubman
          • Apr 2015
          • 4448

          Cal Twomey's latest 'Phantom Form Guide' has dropped: Cal Twomey's Phantom Form Guide: Top draft prospects' October ranking (afl.com.au). It's changed a fair bit after the first dozen with some players sliding and others climbing. Interesting considering it is a phantom form guide not a phantom draft and I don't think there has been any footy played since the last one (although there have been the combines).

          - - - Updated - - -

          Question: how come Collingwood has accumulated 9 picks to use to match the bid for Daicos? As far as I can tell they have delisted 6 and brought in two (Lipinski and Kreuger) so they shouldn't have anywhere near 9 list spots open. Didn't they introduce a rule a while back that you had to have list spots open equal to the number of picks you want to use for matching bids? Have they done away with that rule?
          All opinions are not equal. Some are a very great deal more robust, sophisticated, and well supported in logic and argument than others. -Douglas Adams, author (11 Mar 1952-2001)

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          • vicswan
            Registered User
            • Oct 2021
            • 11

            Originally posted by troyjones2525
            Just watched about 20 minutes of an Academy U19 game from 5 months ago against GWS on YouTube to keep a close eye on Anderson (#26) and I must say that I did like the look of him! He's a good sized inside mid and won a bit of ball but also won a few free kicks for great tackles too! He matched up a bit on young Green from GWS (Tom's younger brother) who is also a big lump of a lad for a midfielder and he certainly held his own and won a few contest's when matched on him.

            I think he'd definitely be worth a late pick or rookie pick as he hopefully has the potential to replace the likes of Joey and Parker as a strong inside mid if he continues to develop in a coupleof years!

            Sent from my SM-G998B using Tapatalk
            if you can watch his NAB game against Gippsland in Melbourne. He won best on the ground, made NAB team of the week ..........

            Comment

            • rickmat
              Regular in the Side
              • Mar 2018
              • 500

              I'd rather look at what Kevin Sheehan says about the youngsters in this year's draft. After all , he watches the youngsters in under age grades all over Australia. Most others depend on watching tape. Just look at Cal Toomeys picks, majority Victorian boys. The SA and WA boys had lots more opportunity to play and showcase their talent. So this year's draft will be like a lottery and we can pick up real bargains right the way through the draft.

              Comment

              • 707
                Veterans List
                • Aug 2009
                • 6204

                Originally posted by bloodspirit

                - - - Updated - - -

                Question: how come Collingwood has accumulated 9 picks to use to match the bid for Daicos? As far as I can tell they have delisted 6 and brought in two (Lipinski and Kreuger) so they shouldn't have anywhere near 9 list spots open. Didn't they introduce a rule a while back that you had to have list spots open equal to the number of picks you want to use for matching bids? Have they done away with that rule?
                You can only use picks that have a senior list vacancy attached to them. Pies may have 9 picks now but the actual number they take to the draft will be linked to the number of senior list vacancies at the last list lodgement before the draft. After that lodgement, the AFL will issue the final draft order which will reflect actual vacant list spots. Pies may also swap multiple picks for a single higher pick that is after their first four picks are swallowed matching Daicos or for a future pick. Saints look to be short of picks to match their two NGA's likely to be second round bids.

                The picks a team has can change with further pick swaps in the lead up to and during the draft. I think there's a no swap embargo for a week before the draft.

                Comment

                • 707
                  Veterans List
                  • Aug 2009
                  • 6204

                  Originally posted by rickmat
                  I'd rather look at what Kevin Sheehan says about the youngsters in this year's draft. After all , he watches the youngsters in under age grades all over Australia. Most others depend on watching tape. Just look at Cal Toomeys picks, majority Victorian boys. The SA and WA boys had lots more opportunity to play and showcase their talent. So this year's draft will be like a lottery and we can pick up real bargains right the way through the draft.
                  Sheehan never says anything negative about a player, pumps up everyone's tyres from pick 1 through to rookie picks. Twomey is fairly accurate from what I've read.

                  Comment

                  • rickmat
                    Regular in the Side
                    • Mar 2018
                    • 500

                    Agree to disagree, 707. Sheehan watches the youngsters from early age groups and has a good eye for talent. Otherwise wouldn't be used every year by many media outlets for his picks. I like his observations

                    Comment

                    • 707
                      Veterans List
                      • Aug 2009
                      • 6204

                      Originally posted by rickmat
                      Agree to disagree, 707. Sheehan watches the youngsters from early age groups and has a good eye for talent. Otherwise wouldn't be used every year by many media outlets for his picks. I like his observations
                      Correct, Sheehan knows his stuff as does Twomey. About the only two worth reading, most of the draft commentary in the media is by ex players who have hardly seen an U18 game or maybe never seen one! Majority of media just feed off Sheehan and Twomey to get their rankings

                      Comment

                      • Thunder Shaker
                        Aut vincere aut mori
                        • Apr 2004
                        • 4197

                        Originally posted by Ludwig
                        Cal Twomey is the one who usually gets the closest to what goes down on draft night.
                        Twomey is very good at the phantom drafts, so much so that when a club chooses differently inside the first five picks it's quite a surprise, such as North Melbourne's 2020 pick 2. It's not unusual for him to nail 8 of the first 10 picks. He's aware of the list needs of all the clubs and can made very good guesses. He would make an excellent recruiter.

                        This year's draft will be more difficult to predict because the Giants have pick 2 (ignoring the father-sons Daicos and Darcy) and this year has been impacted by the pandemic. It's not clear who the Giants would pick. With little opportunity for the prospects to showcase their talents, this year will be a lucky dip for the other clubs too. I wouldn't be surprised if there are more early draft busts and late graft gems than usual this year.
                        "Unbelievable!" -- Nick Davis leaves his mark on the 2005 semi final

                        Comment

                        • Markwebbos
                          Veterans List
                          • Jul 2016
                          • 7186

                          I think Twomey talks to the club recruiters A LOT and this informs both his form guide and his Phantom Draft

                          Comment

                          • Aprilbr
                            Senior Player
                            • Oct 2016
                            • 1803

                            Originally posted by Thunder Shaker
                            Twomey is very good at the phantom drafts, so much so that when a club chooses differently inside the first five picks it's quite a surprise, such as North Melbourne's 2020 pick 2. It's not unusual for him to nail 8 of the first 10 picks. He's aware of the list needs of all the clubs and can made very good guesses. He would make an excellent recruiter.

                            This year's draft will be more difficult to predict because the Giants have pick 2 (ignoring the father-sons Daicos and Darcy) and this year has been impacted by the pandemic. It's not clear who the Giants would pick. With little opportunity for the prospects to showcase their talents, this year will be a lucky dip for the other clubs too. I wouldn't be surprised if there are more early draft busts and late graft gems than usual this year.
                            Agreed. I think that its a lottery this year given the lack of exposed form for players in Victoria etc over the past two years. Its worth highlighting that in a typical draft, 60% plus of drafted players come from Victoria, 30% or so from a combination of WA and SA and just 10% from all of the rest (NSW, Qld, NT, Tassie). Until those numbers start to change to provide greater balance, the Northern states will continue to face the dreaded "go home" disease. Its also why the Academies are so important to our future relative to the open draft.

                            Comment

                            • troyjones2525
                              Swans Fanatic!
                              • Mar 2008
                              • 2908

                              Originally posted by vicswan
                              if you can watch his NAB game against Gippsland in Melbourne. He won best on the ground, made NAB team of the week ..........
                              Is that game on YouTube anywhere?

                              Sent from my SM-G998B using Tapatalk

                              Comment

                              • troyjones2525
                                Swans Fanatic!
                                • Mar 2008
                                • 2908

                                Originally posted by Markwebbos
                                I think Twomey talks to the club recruiters A LOT and this informs both his form guide and his Phantom Draft
                                He also has a good relationship with the player managers so would get some mail off them regarding what the clubs are saying to their players.

                                Sent from my SM-G998B using Tapatalk

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