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I think Carlton have been fortunate to have come across two teams who couldn't kick a goal to save themselves. Next week will be a greater challenge, that if they give Lions the same chances will come back to bite them ion the bum. I think next week will be the reckoning for Blues. I am tipping Lions by 10, if they kick straight.
Giants are in top form. First they dismantled Saints. Then Port. Next week they play Pies. People say giants and Pies play a similar game. They play the Richmond frenetic, get the ball on at all costs game. But there is a difference. With the Giants if they turn it over they back up and their mids get back or the defence destroys you. But Pies on the other hand, they give you a chance on every turnover and if you use the ball well you cut their defence out of the equation. Their mids do not fold back quick enough and sometimes not at all if they lose the ball. They can be exposed pretty badly. Dees exposed them after quarter time again and again but could not buy a goal. I think Giants get it done by about 30 points.
A Lions v Giants GF for me. These are the two really in form teams. The AFL will try to get Pies over the line but I think the Giants have far too much structure in place for the Pies. The Pies have a problem in the ruck and if you don't give Moore & Murphy what they want, the long bomb to intercept, they are loose as a goose. Their best player back there is Maynard anyway but Greene plays him very well. He'll play rope a dope on Maynard all day and he'll fall for it. Bobby Hill won't get the room he did against Dees. I think when Ash goes to him he is going to realise he is being taken by a bloke just as quick and elusive. He will have to play both ways all of a sudden, not his strong point.
Giants are in top form. First they dismantled Saints. Then Port. Next week they play Pies. People say giants and Pies play a similar game. They play the Richmond frenetic, get the ball on at all costs game. But there is a difference. With the Giants if they turn it over they back up and their mids get back or the defence destroys you. But Pies on the other hand, they give you a chance on every turnover and if you use the ball well you cut their defence out of the equation. Their mids do not fold back quick enough and sometimes not at all if they lose the ball. They can be exposed pretty badly. Dees exposed them after quarter time again and again but could not buy a goal. I think Giants get it done by about 30 points.
A Lions v Giants GF for me. These are the two really in form teams. The AFL will try to get Pies over the line but I think the Giants have far too much structure in place for the Pies. The Pies have a problem in the ruck and if you don't give Moore & Murphy what they want, the long bomb to intercept, they are loose as a goose. Their best player back there is Maynard anyway but Greene plays him very well. He'll play rope a dope on Maynard all day and he'll fall for it. Bobby Hill won't get the room he did against Dees. I think when Ash goes to him he is going to realise he is being taken by a bloke just as quick and elusive. He will have to play both ways all of a sudden, not his strong point.
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