Finals

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  • CureTheSane
    Carpe Noctem
    • Jan 2003
    • 5032

    Finals

    So where do the naysayers/non-believers sit now?
    Still in a precarious position, but not far away from the 8.
    The next 5 games will tell the story. Win 4 and surely everyone will be back on board?
    The difference between insanity and genius is measured only in success.
  • RogueSwan
    McVeigh for Brownlow
    • Apr 2003
    • 4602

    #2
    Originally posted by CureTheSane
    So where do the naysayers/non-believers sit now?
    Still in a precarious position, but not far away from the 8.
    The next 5 games will tell the story. Win 4 and surely everyone will be back on board?
    If we keep playing like the last two games finals are distinct possibility but drop off in any way and we won't make it after our terrible start.
    "Fortunately, this is the internet, so knowing nothing is no obstacle to having an opinion!." Beerman 18-07-2017

    Comment

    • aardvark
      Veterans List
      • Mar 2010
      • 5685

      #3
      We won't lose another game and AJ will win the Norm Smith.....

      Comment

      • graemed
        Swans2win
        • Jan 2003
        • 410

        #4
        Finals

        Originally posted by CureTheSane
        So where do the naysayers/non-believers sit now?
        Still in a precarious position, but not far away from the 8.
        The next 5 games will tell the story. Win 4 and surely everyone will be back on board?
        Now here's the thing...glass half full/empty.

        If you just look a the last two games and the ladder you can easily be seduced into thinking glass half full.

        If you look further and think about the draw and the task ahead...we'll half empty.

        Consider:
        13 games remaining, win 10 then with reasonable percentage we should be ok.

        Well let's examine the fixture what games could we lose,

        - Richmond at MCG, haven't won there in some time, last match still haunts me.
        - Melbourne at MCG, have had real problems beating them at their home, look to be far stronger team than in the past as well.
        - GWS at Spotless, can't remember the last time we actually beat them anywhere except last year at SCG.
        - Geelong at Kardinia Park, based on their efforts against Western Bulldogs, that looks tough, but we did win there last year and we play well there.
        - Adelaide, at Adelaide Oval, hmmm... Betts and Walker are scary on their home deck.

        Of the Home games: no certainties against Bulldogs, Essendon (on current form) or Dockers. Not to mention this week.

        Do I think we can do it?

        I do. Our best is as good as it gets. It's just that so much depends on injuries to key players as we've already observed this year.

        Comment

        • AB Swannie
          Senior Player
          • Mar 2017
          • 1579

          #5
          FWIW, the bookies rate us less than a 50/50 chance to make the finals ($2.25). However, I think 50/50 is just about right. If we can stay fit and keep close to the current side on the park, I'd back us to win 10 of the next 13 games and finish 13-9. Even a 12-10 finish with decent percentage might be good enough.

          Comment

          • bloodspirit
            Clubman
            • Apr 2015
            • 4448

            #6
            I reckon the bookies have it about right. Really depends on us maintaining our form and what injuries we suffer. If we win the next two I reckon odds will tighten to just below $2. The Bulldogs is a big one although I really shouldn't be looking past the Hawks.
            All opinions are not equal. Some are a very great deal more robust, sophisticated, and well supported in logic and argument than others. -Douglas Adams, author (11 Mar 1952-2001)

            Comment

            • waswan
              Senior Player
              • Oct 2015
              • 2047

              #7
              Book your flights its a lock

              Comment

              • crackedactor
                Regular in the Side
                • May 2012
                • 919

                #8
                Originally posted by bloodspirit
                I reckon the bookies have it about right. Really depends on us maintaining our form and what injuries we suffer. If we win the next two I reckon odds will tighten to just below $2. The Bulldogs is a big one although I really shouldn't be looking past the Hawks.
                I have little doubt we will make the finals, that 3rd quarter on Saturday was awesome. Richardson said that st Kilda butchered the ball . Yes they did because the way we intimidated them with the running and tackling. Their confidence was shot. Disappointed if it's not a 10 goal plus win on Friday night. Then the$2 odds will disappear.


                Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

                Comment

                • top40
                  Regular in the Side
                  • May 2007
                  • 933

                  #9
                  This is the most unpredictable season I can ever remember, so you never know.

                  However, unlike the Bulldogs in 2016, who only once left Melbourne in the Finals, a 7th finish for us in 2017 would mean constant successful interstate travel to win the flag, ( except a semi final or preliminary final against the Giants). Very unlikely.


                  Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk HD

                  Comment

                  • 707
                    Veterans List
                    • Aug 2009
                    • 6204

                    #10
                    A host of teams on five wins, given they all keep playing each other not all of them can stay ahead of us if we can beat them as well.

                    Is the strangest year I've ever seen, anything is possible. What I do know is that we should not fear anyone from now on, anywhere.

                    Comment

                    • waswan
                      Senior Player
                      • Oct 2015
                      • 2047

                      #11
                      GWS are cooked too many injuries will start to bit soon

                      Comment

                      • bloodspirit
                        Clubman
                        • Apr 2015
                        • 4448

                        #12
                        Most of their injured players are due back before finals.
                        All opinions are not equal. Some are a very great deal more robust, sophisticated, and well supported in logic and argument than others. -Douglas Adams, author (11 Mar 1952-2001)

                        Comment

                        • Bloody Hell
                          Senior Player
                          • Oct 2006
                          • 3085

                          #13
                          17-6

                          Double chance. Win first up away. Week off. Home Final. Grand Final. Premiership.... Easy.
                          The eternal connundrum "what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object" was finally solved when David Hasselhoff punched himself in the face.

                          Comment

                          • longmile
                            Crumber
                            • Apr 2011
                            • 3367

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Bloody Hell
                            17-6

                            Grand Final. Premiership.... Easy.
                            mmmm

                            Comment

                            • Markwebbos
                              Veterans List
                              • Jul 2016
                              • 7186

                              #15
                              I'm just glad to see the Swans playing well again. If they can keep that up (and keep most of their best players fit) I think they'll scrape in. It's a ridiculously even year.

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