2020 trading, drafting and list management: players and personnel

[Ludwig]

I hope this mess does not cost us the re-signing of Fox. He certainly deserves to play next season. The danger is that we sent a clear signal to him and he may look to go elsewhere on the basis of this. Hope I'm being overly pessimistic.

Don't worry. Fox won't do anything stupid. His manager is Xavier Richards.

[Auntie.Gerald]

If you can score more freely from your clearances than you allow your opponent to do from theirs, that matters more than the raw number of how many you win.

74% of teams who won this stat also won the game since 2018.

this weighted much higher when identifying teams that win games vs just being on top in clearances

[Ruck'n'Roll]

Richmond's success and Collingwood, Melbourne and North's lack of, shows that it's down to a dominant midfield and not so much that mythical beast, the tap ruckman. Win contested ball, stop the opposition with swarming tackle pressure, outside run and carry to beat the flood back into defense and just hard 2 way running in general are the ingredients for success.

We have recruited for the outside run and carry, now need to get someone to transform our inside attack and defence.

While Ludwig only denies the validity of Ruckmen as a group - Ralph has taken the next logical step and denied their very existence.

PS - Yes I'm back, mainly due to the PM's I received (and was very grateful for).

[Faunac8]

has anyone seen this article before?

"Of the last ten teams to win the AFL Grand Final, only five have boasted a positive clearance differential across their respective seasons.

Geelong 2011, Sydney 2012, Hawthorn 2013, and Richmond in both 2017 and 2019, all finished their years with less clearances on average than their opponents each week – and a premiership in hand."

Understanding how Clearances Shape the Results of AFL Games

food for thought re recruitment of specific players to suit success

It’s an opinion and really it seems like a 50/50 proposition generally speaking
They lost me when I noticed that they gave us 0% chance of making the eight next year and only Geelong or Richmond have a chance of winning the flag.
2020 AFL Premiership Futures | AFL Ladder Predictor - Stats Insider

[bloodspirit]

Don't worry. Fox won't do anything stupid. His manager is Xavier Richards.

That made me snort!

While Ludwig only denies the validity of Ruckmen as a group - Ralph has taken the next logical step and denied their very existence.

PS - Yes I'm back, mainly due to the PM's I received (and was very grateful for).

Welcome back! You've been missed. Nice post to come back with.

[bloodspirit]

Apologies if this has already been shared but how good is this young man? Early call but I can see him as a 250 game player for the Swans and that left foot disposal is a thing of rare beauty
BRAEDEN CAMPBELL HIGHLIGHTS | 2020 AFL Draft Prospect - YouTube

There's a lot to get excited about!

Also, just a question, after click that "+ thing (to the right of "reply with quote" under each post), how do you stop the same bits of material being quoted every time you try to respond to a post again?

[Ralph Dawg]

While Ludwig only denies the validity of Ruckmen as a group - Ralph has taken the next logical step and denied their very existence.

PS - Yes I'm back, mainly due to the PM's I received (and was very grateful for).

Haha - love it! Welcome back.

[liz]

There's a lot to get excited about!

Also, just a question, after click that "+ thing (to the right of "reply with quote" under each post), how do you stop the same bits of material being quoted every time you try to respond to a post again?

You have to click it again to remove it from "multipost". It's annoying that it doesn't automatically do remove it once you've included it in a multipost response, but unfortunately it doesn't. (And BF, which has a more sophisticated forum system, has exactly the same issue.)

[Thunder Shaker]

It’s an opinion and really it seems like a 50/50 proposition generally speaking
They lost me when I noticed that they gave us 0% chance of making the eight next year and only Geelong or Richmond have a chance of winning the flag.
2020 AFL Premiership Futures | AFL Ladder Predictor - Stats Insider

The one you're linking here is not the same as it would have been at the start of the 2020 season.

[Auntie.Gerald]

Faunac*

did you get a chance to read all the article as there are some key finding that provide more than 50/50 outcomes?

.......

If you can score more freely from your clearances than you allow your opponent to do from theirs, that matters more than the raw number of how many you win.

74% of teams who won this stat also won the game since 2018.

this weighted much higher when identifying teams that win games vs just being on top in clearances

[707]

You have to click it again to remove it from "multipost". It's annoying that it doesn't automatically do remove it once you've included it in a multipost response, but unfortunately it doesn't. (And BF, which has a more sophisticated forum system, has exactly the same issue.)

Ah Liz, you are still with us :-)

Assume you're just watching the rest of us pontificating about list management and the draft whilst holding your comments until you see the fullness of the clubs plans?

[Thunder Shaker]

If you can score more freely from your clearances than you allow your opponent to do from theirs, that matters more than the raw number of how many you win.

74% of teams who won this stat also won the game since 2018.

this weighted much higher when identifying teams that win games vs just being on top in clearances

The stat that I follow most closely is the score on the scoreboard. The side with the greater score at the end of the game wins 100% of its matches.

[707]

The stat that I follow most closely is the score on the scoreboard. The side with the greater score at the end of the game wins 100% of its matches.

Well done :-)

[Markwebbos]

The AFL draft prospect who stopped potential top pick Logan McDonald

The AFL draft prospect who stopped potential top pick Logan McDonald

West Australian draft prospect Denver Grainger-Barras says he took the points when he lined up on potential number one pick Logan McDonald earlier this season...

[707]

There was talk earlier about the mid season draft next year. I have found this on the AFL website from a month or so ago which shows there is proposed three sort of drafts to add players to the list and a pecking order to who can claim who which is based on "the ladder" but doesn't specify if it's the 2020 season ladder or 2021 ladder at round 4, 8 & 12. Or it may just stay with a Mid Season Draft as it did last year.

"There will be three periods where clubs can nominate a previously undrafted or eligible player to their respective rookie lists throughout the season – after round four, eight and 12.

In the case of the same player being nominated by two or more clubs, the player will go to the team lower on the ladder under a rolling process.

The AFL will discuss the model further with both AFL and state league clubs over the next month with the view to finalising whether it is introduced in the 2021 Toyota AFL Premiership Season.